Estimating function method for product autoregressive models

The first-order product autoregressive (PAR(1)) model introduced by McKenzie in 1982 McKenzie, E. D. (1982). Product autoregression: A time series characterization of the gamma distribution. Journal of Applied Probability 19:463–468. [Google Scholar] did not attract the attention of practitioners due to the unavailability of a proper estimation method. This article proposes an estimating function (EF) method to fill the gap. In particular, we suggest an optimal combination of linear and quadratic EFs to overcome the problem of parameter identification. The procedure is applied to Weibull and Gamma PAR(1) models. Simulation and data analysis show that the proposed method performs better than the existing methods.     

Statistical inference for the Gompertz distribution based on Type-II progressively hybrid censored data

In this article, the statistical inference for the Gompertz distribution based on Type-II progressively hybrid censored data is discussed. The estimation of the parameters for Gompertz distribution is obtained using maximum likelihood method (MLE) and Bayesian method under three different loss functions. We also proved the existence and uniqueness of the MLE. The one-sample Bayesian prediction intervals are obtained. The work is done for different values of the parameters. We apply the Monto Carlo simulation to compare the proposed methods, also an example is discussed to construct the Prediction intervals.     

Recovery of functions from transformed moments: A unified approach

Two approximations recovering the functions from their transformed moments are proposed. The upper bounds for the uniform rate of convergence are derived. In addition, the comparisons of the estimates of the cumulative distribution function and its density function with the empirical distribution and the kernel density estimates are conducted via a simulation study. The plots of recovered functions are presented for several examples as well.     

网络语言娱乐功能实现方式及其根源研究

在网络言语交际过程中,网络语言娱乐性的表现形式、特点及其制约机制等问题一直是学界关注的话题.为从语言功能视角阐释网络语言娱乐性的实现方式及其根源等问题,运用了比较分析和例证相结合的研究方法,通过比较分析说明网络语言的内涵及其存在形式的双重性特征,介绍了语言娱乐功能的内涵和陈望道先生的“辞趣”思想,通过网络语言在形趣、音趣和意趣方面的例证分析,对“辞趣”理论实质从语言娱乐功能实现角度重新进行了梳理,指出网络语言娱乐功能具体实现的语言结构形式途径,认为网络言语交际中娱乐性的根源来自于社会物质条件和主体内在需求的合力,因为使用了网络媒介,所以才表现出独具特色的网络言语交际形式.     

被动语态在外贸函电中的应用及其语用功能

本文贸函电为例,从语用学的角度分析,被动语态有很多独特的语用功能。     

成都将军的设置及其在治理川西藏区中的作用

清乾隆年间对大小金川土司的用兵结束后,为了加强对康藏及川西藏族的统治,乾隆帝特设成都将军,统辖八旗和绿营,治理川边。成都将军在维护川西藏族地区的稳定、保持川藏大道的畅通、巩固西南边疆的安全等方面均起到了积极的作用。     

Bargaining over waiting time in ultimatum game experiments

While preference-based explanations play an increasing role in economics and sociology, the accurate measurement of social preferences deserves more attention. Most laboratory experiments measure social preferences by studying the division of “a cake that nobody had to bake” (Güth and Kliemt, 2003). This article reports results of the first ultimatum game experiment with bargaining over waiting time. The experiment was created to avoid effects of windfall gains. In contrast to donated money, time is not endowed by the experimenter and implies a natural loss to subjects. This allows for a better measurement of the inherent conflict in the ultimatum game. We implemented three anonymity conditions; one baseline condition, one condition with anonymity among subjects and one double-blind condition in which the experimenter did not know the division of waiting time. While we expected to observe less other-regarding behavior in ultimatum game bargaining over time, our experimental results rather confirm previous ultimatum game experiments, in which people bargained over money. The modal offer was half of the waiting time and only one offer was rejected. Interestingly, anonymity did not change the results significantly. In conclusion, our experiment confirms other-regarding behavior in the ultimatum game.     

区域公共治理中政治协调的功能论析

我国区域内的公共治理的一体化对于政治协调提出了新的功能要求。政治协调在区域公共治理中的功能体现在政治、经济、社会、文化四个层面。其中政治协调功能实现的路径主要在于:均衡区域政治资源配置布局,创设区域公共治理政策集群,推进区域社会管理创新。     

社会管理与政府能力建构

作为主责人类权威性价值分配和管理公共生活的组织体系,政府的能力建构永远与其价值分配导向确立、职能实现以及治理绩效紧密联系在一起。一方面,适应社会发展要求和回应公共问题挑战,能力建构为政府破解各种困局、满足民众需求、履行公共职责提供了有力的改革思路和策略;另一方面,政府能力建构的方向定位体现了政府合法性的基础和依据。中国政府正面对着前所未有的强化社会管理职能的诉求,实现社会管理职能直接关系到中国社会的成功转型,而政府建构并发展与社会管理责任相适配的能力,是完成职能,达成绩效必需的基础条件。基于此,本文阐述了政府能力建构内涵、社会管理中政府能力建构的方向与依据、社会管理三个层次的政府能力建构等三个问题。