Small area estimation under unit-level temporal linear mixed models

Data from past time periods and temporal correlation are rich sources of information for estimating small area parameters at the current period. This paper investigates the use of unit-level temporal linear mixed models for estimating linear parameters. Two models are considered, with domain and domain-time random effects. The first model assumes time independency and the second one AR(1)-type time correlation. They are fitted by a Fisher-scoring algorithm that calculates the residual maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters. Based on the introduced models, empirical best linear unbiased predictors of small area linear parameters are studied, and analytic estimators for evaluating the performance of their mean squared errors are proposed. Three simulation experiments are carried out to study the behaviour of the fitting algorithm, the small area predictors and the estimators of the mean squared error. By using data of the Spanish surveys of income and living conditions of 2004–2008, an application to the estimation of 2008 average normalized net annual incomes in Spanish provinces by sex is given.     

Examining mixing methods in an evaluation of a smoking cessation program

Three different methods were used in an evaluation of a smoking cessation study: surveys, focus groups, and phenomenological interviews. The results of each method were analyzed separately and then combined using both a pragmatic and dialectic stance to examine the effects of different approaches to mixing methods. Results show that the further apart the methods are philosophically, the more diverse the findings. Comparisons of decision maker opinions and costs of the different methods are provided along with recommendations for evaluators’ uses of different methods.     

A COMPARISON OF ANALYSIS METHODS FOR LATE‐STAGE VARIETY EVALUATION TRIALS

The statistical analysis of late‐stage variety evaluation trials using a mixed model is described, with one‐ or two‐stage approaches to the analysis. Two sets of trials, from Australia and the UK, were used to provide realistic scenarios for a simulation study to evaluate the different methods of analysis. This study showed that a one‐stage approach gave the most accurate predictions of variety performance overall or within each environment, across a range of models, as measured by mean squared error of prediction or realized genetic gain. A weighted two‐stage approach performed adequately for variety predictions both overall and within environments, but a two‐stage unweighted approach performed poorly in both cases. A generalized heritability measure was developed to compare methods.     

A comparison of models for clustered binary outcomes: analysis of a designed immunology experiment

The lymphocyte proliferative assay (LPA) of immune competence was conducted on 52 subjects, with up to 36 processing conditions per subject, to evaluate whether samples could be shipped or stored overnight, rather than being processed on fresh blood as currently required. The LPA study resulted in clustered binary data, with both cluster level and cluster-varying covariates. Two modelling strategies for the analysis of such clustered binary data are through the cluster-specific and population-averaged approaches. Whereas most research in this area has focused on the analysis of matched pairs data, in many situations, such as the LPA study, cluster sizes are naturally larger. Through considerations of interpretation and efficiency of these models when applied to large clusters, the mixed effect cluster-specific model was selected as most appropriate for the analysis of the LPA data. The model confirmed that the LPA response is significantly impaired in individuals infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The LPA response was found to be significantly lower for shipped and overnight samples than for fresh samples, and this effect was significantly stronger among HIV-infected individuals. Surprisingly, an anticoagulant effect was not detected.     

The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for middle-censored data

In this note, we consider data subjected to middle censoring where the variable of interest becomes unobservable when it falls within an interval of censorship. We demonstrate that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) of distribution function can be obtained by using Turnbull's (1976) EM algorithm or self-consistent estimating equation (Jammalamadaka and Mangalam, 2003) with an initial estimator which puts mass only on the innermost intervals. The consistency of the NPMLE can be established based on the asymptotic properties of self-consistent estimators (SCE) with mixed interval-censored data ( [Yu et al., 2000] and [Yu et al., 2001]).     

Mixed covering arrays of strength three with few factors

Covering arrays with mixed alphabet sizes, or mixed covering arrays, are useful generalizations of covering arrays that are motivated by software and network testing. Suppose that there are k factors, and that the ith factor takes values or levels from a set G_i of size g_i. A run is an assignment of an admissible level to each factor. A mixed covering array, MCA(N;t,k,g₁g₂…g_k), is a collection of N runs such that for any t distinct factors, i₁,i₂,…,i_t, every t-tuple from G_i1×G_i2×?×G_it occurs in factors i₁,i₂,…,i_t in at least one of the N runs. When g=g₁=g₂=?=g_k, an MCA(N;t,k,g₁g₂…g_k) is a CA(N;t,k,g). The mixed covering array number, denoted by MCAN(t,k,g₁g₂…g_k), is the minimum N for which an MCA(N;t,k,g₁g₂…g_k) exists. In this paper, we focus on the constructions of mixed covering arrays of strength three. The numbers MCAN(3,k,g₁g₂…g_k) are determined for all cases with k∈{3,4} and for most cases with k∈{5,6}.     

Management of school locations allowing for free school choice

Nearly without exception, we find in literature (school) location models with exogenously given demand. Indeed, we know from a large number of empirical studies that this assumption is unrealistic. Therefore, we propose a discrete location model for school network planning with free school choice that is based on simulated utility values for a large average sample. The objective is to maximize the standardized expected utility of all students taking into account capacity constraints and a given budget for the school network. The utility values of each student for the schools are derived from a random utility model (RUM). The proposed approach is general in terms of the RUM used. Moreover, we do not have to make assumptions about the functional form of the demand function. Our approach, which combines econometric and mathematical methods, is a linear 0–1 program although we consider endogenous demand by a highly non-linear function. The proposed program enables practicing managers to consider student demand adequately within their decision making. By a numerical investigation we show that this approach enables us to solve instances of real size optimally – or at least close to optimality – within few minutes using GAMS/Cplex.     

A Bayesian analysis of clustered discrete and continuous outcomes

Many study designs yield a variety of outcomes from each subject clustered within an experimental unit. When these outcomes are of mixed data types, it is challenging to jointly model the effects of covariates on the responses using traditional methods. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian approach for a joint regression model of the different outcome variables and show that the fully conditional posterior distributions obtained under the model assumptions allow for estimation of posterior distributions using Gibbs sampling algorithm.     

Optimal designing of a new mixed variable lot-size chain sampling plan based on the process capability index

In this paper, a new mixed sampling plan based on the process capability index (PCI) C_pk is proposed and the resultant plan is called mixed variable lot-size chain sampling plan (ChSP). The proposed mixed plan comprises of both attribute and variables inspections. The variable lot-size sampling plan can be used for inspection of attribute quality characteristics and for the inspection of measurable quality characteristics, the variables ChSP based on PCI will be used. We have considered both symmetric and asymmetric fraction non conforming cases for the variables ChSP. Tables are developed for determining the optimal parameters of the proposed mixed plan based on two points on the operating characteristic (OC) approach. In order to construct the tables, the problem is formulated as a non linear programming where the average sample number function is considered as an objective function to be minimized and the lot acceptance probabilities at acceptable quality level and limiting quality level under the OC curve are considered as constraints. The practical implementation of the proposed mixed sampling plan is explained with an illustrative real time example. Advantages of the proposed sampling plan are also discussed in terms of comparison with other existing sampling plans.     

Disliking friends of friends in schools: How positive and negative ties can co-occur in large numbers

Current network scholarship does not explain why negative and positive ties both frequently occur in large numbers in some settings, such as schools. In the present paper, I argue that this can happen when people disproportionately send negative ties to socially close individuals (‘friends of friends’). I propose a new theory—‘intensity theory’—which argues that disliking ties disproportionately occur between friends of friends in ‘intense foci’. Intense foci are settings that concentrate social relations, and in which other people are difficult to avoid. I draw on a mixed-methods case study of a boarding school and several strands of literature to substantiate the theory. In so doing, I offer a new mechanism for the initial appearance of disliking ties, propose a contextual approach to balance theory and networks in general, and suggest a more complex view of the link between positive and negative ties.