Some Limit Behaviors for Linear EV Model with Replicate Observations

In this article, we establish the asymptotic normality for the LS estimators of the unknown parameters in the linear errors-in-variables (EV) model with replicate observations, which weaken the moment conditions of Zhang and Chen (2002 Zhang, S.G., Chen, X.R. (2002). On asymptotic normality of parameters in linear EV model. Chin. Ann. Math. Ser. B 23(4):495506.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Furthermore, the moderate and large deviations principles for the LS estimators are obtained also.     

Extension of some large deviation results for posterior distributions

We consider a family of statistical models with positive unknown parameter (which includes some well-known models for censored exponential data) and some statistical models for samples from stationary Gaussian processes. We prove large deviation results for posterior distributions and, in some cases, also for maximum likelihood estimators.     

Large deviation properties for empirical quantile-type production functions

Three examples of point processes are given where the autocovariance decays in an inverse power law, but which are not fractal.     

Moderate deviations for the random weighted sums of WUOD random variables with consistently varying tails

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the moderate deviations for random weighted sums of widely upper orthant dependent (WUOD) random variables with consistently varying tails, which are not necessarily identically distributed. In the end, we obtain the asymptotic relations for random weighted sums of random variables.     

Large and moderate deviations for the total population in the nearly unstable INAR(1) model

This paper considers the non negative integer-valued autoregressive process with order one (INAR(1)), where the autoregression parameter is close to unity. Using the methods introduced by Yu, Wang, and Chen (2016 Yu, S. H., D. H. Wang, and X. Chen. 2016. Large and moderate deviations for the total population arising from a sub-critical Galton-Watson process with immigration. Journal of Theoretical Probabiltiy, doi:10.1007/s10959-016-0706-4.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), the large and moderate deviations with explicit rate functions for the total population of this process can be obtained.     

Precise large deviations for sums of WUOD and φ-mixing random variables with dominated variation

In this paper, we investigate the precise large deviations for sums of not identical distributed random variables which are widely upper orthant dependent (WUOD, in short) and φ-mixing. The asymptotic relations for sums of random variables with dominated variation are obtained.     

出口边际网络特征及国家二元身份匹配适度区间研究

基于1995-2013年BACI数据库HS-6分位5017种产品218国家之间的双边贸易大样本数据,构建出口扩展边际和集约边际网络,从“关联”的角度考察国家在整个出口边际网络中的身份和地位,并探讨国家在二元网络中身份匹配的适度区间。研究结果表明：扩展边际网络存在“轴心-辐条”的格局特征,而集约边际网络的结构分布比较均衡,中国在扩展边际网络中处于“桥梁”和“枢纽”地位,但出口和进口对象还需进一步多元化。一国应实现与其出口广度相匹配、适度的出口强度。尽管中国出口的产品-国家组合已比较广泛,但在纺织服装和鞋类产品、其他低技术产品、加工产品、工程产品、电力设备这些产品出口集中程度仍超出适度的范围。     

“单元政治冶:国家与社会有效治理的空间形态与规模研究

当前,大量学者认为较小的“基本单元冶有利于村民自治的实现。 而基本单元的形成是国家权力和社会认同共同作用的结果,其有效性取决于治理主体是否独立、治理规则是否具有公共性、治理秩序是否能够有效供给三个维度。 在现代民族国家建构过程中,我国并未经历西方血缘单元解体的过程,基本单元的确立既受到传统血缘关系的影响,也受国家建构的影响,因此存在“较小规模冶与“较大规模冶之争。 以“行政村冶为基本单元开展村民自治尽管存在规模过大,内生性不足等问题,但是其所依赖的治理主体、治理规则更加符合现代治理的需要。 当前在以自然村或村民小组这一较小基本单元挖掘传统治理要素过程中仍然应注意其可能面临的治理主体独立性缺乏,治理规则公共性不足等限度。