Stochastic comparisons of series and parallel systems with independent heterogeneous lower-truncated Weibull components

Abstract

In this paper, we discuss stochastic comparisons of series and parallel systems with independent heterogeneous lower-truncated Weibull components. When a system with possibly different shape and scale parameters and its matrix of parameters changes to another matrix in a certain mathematical sense, we study the hazard rate order of lifetimes of series systems and the usual stochastic order of lifetimes of parallel systems.     

Best Linear Classification Rule for Multivariate Interval Screened Data

In classification analysis, the target variable is often in practice defined by an underlying multivariate interval screening scheme. This engenders the problem of properly characterizing the screened populations as well as that of obtaining a classification procedure. Such problems paved the way for the development of yet another linear classification procedure and the incorporation of a class of skew-elliptical distributions for describing evolutions in the populations. To render the linear procedure effective, this article considers derivation and properties of the classification procedure as well as efficient estimation. The procedure is illustrated in applications to real and simulation data.     

A general algorithm fob,univariate and multivariate goodness of pit tests based on graphical representation

This paper presents a general algorithm tor assessing the distributional assumptions. Empirical distributions of the corresponding test statistics are obtained and examples are given to illustrate various applications of the proposed test. By using the squared radii and angles, it is shown that the problem of assessing multivariate normality can be reduced to that of testing for a univariate distribution. A limited comparison is made to investigate the power of the proposed test. This work was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under Grant NO.G88135. Support from the Computer Applications ami Software Engineering (CASE) Center of Syracuse University is also gratefully acknowledged     

Convergence Behavior of the em algorithm for the multivariate t -distribution

Iterative reweighting (IR) is a popular method for computing M-estimates of location and scatter in multivariate robust estimation. When the objective function comes from a scale mixture of normal distributions the iterative reweighting algorithm can be identified as an EM algorithm. The purpose of this paper is to show that in the special case of the multivariate t-distribution, substantial improvements to the convergence rate can be obtained by modifying the EM algorithm.     

Book Reviews

This article uses a Bayesian unit-root test in stochastic volatility models. The time series of interest is the volatility that is unobservable. The unit-root testing is based on the posterior odds ratio, which is approximated by Markov-chain Monte Carlo methods. Simulations show that the testing procedure is efficient for moderate sample size. The unit-root hypothesis is rejected in seven market indexes, and some evidence of nonstationarity is observed in the TWSI of Taiwan.     

Testing for Common Features

This article introduces a class of statistical tests for the hypothesis that some feature that is present in each of several variables is common to them. Features are data properties such as serial correlation, trends, seasonality, heteroscedasticity, autoregressive conditional hetero-scedasticity, and excess kurtosis. A feature is detected by a hypothesis test taking no feature as the null, and a common feature is detected by a test that finds linear combinations of variables with no feature. Often, an exact asymptotic critical value can be obtained that is simply a test of overidentifying restrictions in an instrumental variable regression. This article tests for a common international business cycle.     

Finite sample distributions of statistics in change point analysis

This paper is concerned with derivation of finite sampling distributions of some statistics which appear frequently in change point analysis. The exact distribution of cusum test statistic is approximated by two methods. Approximations are presented and their accuracies are measured. We first consider the change point in mean problem and we study the exact distribution of change point estimator. Finally, we consider the change point in variance case.     

Multivariate Generalized Distributions of Order k

Abstract

The study of multivariate distributions of order k, two of which are the multivariate negative binomial of order k and the multinomial of the same order, was introduced in Philippou et al. (Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L., Tripsiannis, G. A. (1988 Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L. and Tripsiannis, G. A. 1988. Multivariate distributions of order k. Statistics and Probability Letters, 7(3): 207–216.  [Google Scholar]). Multivariate distributions of order k. Statistics and Probability Letters 7(3):207–216.), and Philippou et al. (Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L., Tripsiannis, G. A. (1990 Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L. and Tripsiannis, G. A. 1990. Multivariate distributions of order k, part II. Statistics and Probability Letters, 10(1): 29–35.  [Google Scholar]). Multivariate distributions of order k, part II. Statistics and Probability Letters 10(1):29–35.). Recently, an order k (or cluster) generalized negative binomial distribution and a multivariate negative binomial distribution were derived in Sen and Jain (Sen, K., Jain, R. (1996 Sen, K. and Jain, R. 1996. “Cluster generalized negative binomial distribution”. In Probability Models and Statistics Medhi Festschrift, A. J., on the Occasion of his 70th Birthday Edited by: Borthakur, A. C. 227–241. New Delhi: New Age International Publishers.  [Google Scholar]). Cluster generalized negative binomial distribution. In: Borthakur et al. A. C., Eds.; Probability Models and Statistics Medhi Festschrift, A. J., on the Occasion of his 70th Birthday. New Age International Publishers: New Delhi, 227–241.) and Sen and Jain (Sen, K., Jain, R. (1997 Sen, K. and Jain, R. 1997. A multivariate generalized Polya-Eggenberger probability model-first passage approach. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods, 26: 871–884. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). A multivariate generalized Polya-Eggenberger probability model-first passage approach. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 26:871–884.), respectively. In this paper, all four distributions are generalized to a multivariate generalized negative binomial distribution of order k by means of an appropriate sampling scheme and a first passage event. This new distribution includes as special cases several known and new multivariate distributions of order k, and gives rise in the limit to multivariate generalized logarithmic, Poisson and Borel-Tanner distributions of the same order. Applications are indicated.     

Sparse moving maxima models for tail dependence in multivariate financial time series

The multivariate maxima of moving maxima (M4) model has the potential to model both the cross-sectional and temporal tail-dependence for a rich class of multivariate time series. The main difficulty of applying M4 model to real data is due to the estimation of a large number of parameters in the model and the intractability of its joint likelihood. In this paper, we consider a sparse M4 random coefficient model (SM4R), which has a parsimonious number of parameters and it can potentially capture the major stylized facts exhibited by devolatized asset returns found in empirical studies. We study the probabilistic properties of the newly proposed model. Statistical inference can be made based on the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. We also demonstrate through real data analysis that the SM4R model can be effectively used to improve the estimates of the Value-at-Risk (VaR) for portfolios consisting of multivariate financial returns while ignoring either temporal or cross-sectional tail dependence could potentially result in serious underestimate of market risk.     

Factor Stochastic Volatility in Mean Models: A GMM Approach

This paper provides a semiparametric framework for modeling multivariate conditional heteroskedasticity. We put forward latent stochastic volatility (SV) factors as capturing the commonality in the joint conditional variance matrix of asset returns. This approach is in line with common features as studied by Engle and Kozicki (1993 Engle , R. F. , Kozicki , S. ( 1993 ). Testing for common features . Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 11 ( 4 ): 369 – 395 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and it allows us to focus on identication of factors and factor loadings through first- and second-order conditional moments only. We assume that the time-varying part of risk premiums is based on constant prices of factor risks, and we consider a factor SV in mean model. Additional specification of both expectations and volatility of future volatility of factors provides conditional moment restrictions, through which the parameters of the model are all identied. These conditional moment restrictions pave the way for instrumental variables estimation and GMM inference.