首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   4849篇
  免费   121篇
  国内免费   24篇
管理学   146篇
民族学   8篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   15篇
丛书文集   104篇
理论方法论   39篇
综合类   1105篇
社会学   45篇
统计学   3531篇
  2024年   1篇
  2023年   19篇
  2022年   21篇
  2021年   25篇
  2020年   81篇
  2019年   118篇
  2018年   156篇
  2017年   260篇
  2016年   137篇
  2015年   136篇
  2014年   175篇
  2013年   1417篇
  2012年   418篇
  2011年   187篇
  2010年   181篇
  2009年   205篇
  2008年   197篇
  2007年   174篇
  2006年   139篇
  2005年   136篇
  2004年   129篇
  2003年   92篇
  2002年   70篇
  2001年   83篇
  2000年   79篇
  1999年   59篇
  1998年   46篇
  1997年   49篇
  1996年   24篇
  1995年   21篇
  1994年   21篇
  1993年   19篇
  1992年   13篇
  1991年   14篇
  1990年   13篇
  1989年   7篇
  1988年   11篇
  1987年   6篇
  1986年   3篇
  1985年   8篇
  1984年   10篇
  1983年   9篇
  1982年   9篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   5篇
  1979年   2篇
  1978年   2篇
  1977年   2篇
  1976年   1篇
  1975年   3篇
排序方式: 共有4994条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
71.
The components of a reliability system subjected to a common random environment usually have dependent lifetimes. This paper studies the stochastic properties of such a system with lifetimes of the components following multivariate frailty models and multivariate mixed proportional reversed hazard rate (PRHR) models, respectively. Through doing stochastic comparison, we devote to throwing a new light on how the random environment affects the number of working components of a reliability system and on assessing the performance of a k-out-of-n system.  相似文献   
72.
In recent years, calibration estimation has become an important field of research in survey sampling. This paper proposes a new calibration estimator for the population mean in the presence of two auxiliary variables in stratified sampling. The theory of new calibration estimator is given and optimum calibration weights are derived. A simulation study is carried out to performance of the proposed calibration estimator over other existing calibration estimators. The results reveal that the proposed calibration estimators are more efficient than other existing calibration estimators in stratified sampling.  相似文献   
73.
An extended single‐index model is considered when responses are missing at random. A three‐step estimation procedure is developed to define an estimator for the single‐index parameter vector by a joint estimating equation. The proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal. An algorithm for computing this estimator is proposed. This algorithm only involves one‐dimensional nonparametric smoothers, thereby avoiding the data sparsity problem caused by high model dimensionality. Some simulation studies are conducted to investigate the finite sample performances of the proposed estimators.  相似文献   
74.
It is essential to test the goodness of fit of the model before making inferences based on it. Multilevel modeling of ordinal categorical responses is not as developed as for continuous responses. Assessing model adequacy in terms of the goodness of fit with ordinal categorical responses is still being developed and no satisfactory tests are available so far. As a consequence of that, this study concentrates on developing such a goodness of fit test for Multilevel Proportional Odds models and to study the properties of the test.  相似文献   
75.
In this article, we consider an ergodic Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its jump intensity depend on unknown parameters. Considering the process discretely observed at high frequency, we derive the local asymptotic normality property. To obtain this result, Malliavin calculus and Girsanov’s theorem are applied to write the log-likelihood ratio in terms of sums of conditional expectations, for which a central limit theorem for triangular arrays can be applied.  相似文献   
76.
Toxicologists and pharmacologists often describe toxicity of a chemical using parameters of a nonlinear regression model. Thus estimation of parameters of a nonlinear regression model is an important problem. The estimates of the parameters and their uncertainty estimates depend upon the underlying error variance structure in the model. Typically, a priori the researcher would not know if the error variances are homoscedastic (i.e., constant across dose) or if they are heteroscedastic (i.e., the variance is a function of dose). Motivated by this concern, in this paper we introduce an estimation procedure based on preliminary test which selects an appropriate estimation procedure accounting for the underlying error variance structure. Since outliers and influential observations are common in toxicological data, the proposed methodology uses M-estimators. The asymptotic properties of the preliminary test estimator are investigated; in particular its asymptotic covariance matrix is derived. The performance of the proposed estimator is compared with several standard estimators using simulation studies. The proposed methodology is also illustrated using a data set obtained from the National Toxicology Program.  相似文献   
77.
78.
This paper considers the optimal design problem for multivariate mixed-effects logistic models with longitudinal data. A decomposition method of the binary outcome and the penalized quasi-likelihood are used to obtain the information matrix. The D-optimality criterion based on the approximate information matrix is minimized under different cost constraints. The results show that the autocorrelation coefficient plays a significant role in the design. To overcome the dependence of the D-optimal designs on the unknown fixed-effects parameters, the Bayesian D-optimality criterion is proposed. The relative efficiencies of designs reveal that both the cost ratio and autocorrelation coefficient play an important role in the optimal designs.  相似文献   
79.
Minimum information bivariate distributions with uniform marginals and a specified rank correlation are studied in this paper. These distributions play an important role in a particular way of modeling dependent random variables which has been used in the computer code UNICORN for carrying out uncertainty analyses. It is shown that these minimum information distributions have a particular form which makes simulation of conditional distributions very simple. Approximations to the continuous distributions are discussed and explicit formulae are determined. Finally a relation is discussed to DAD theorems, and a numerical algorithm is given (which has geometric rate of covergence) for determining the minimum information distributions.  相似文献   
80.
《Journal of homosexuality》2012,59(10):1356-1381
In a study with 17,785 subjects obtained over the Internet from the United States and 47 other countries, Kinsey's hypothesis that sexual orientation lies on a continuum was supported. Self-identifications of subjects as gay, straight, bisexual, and other corresponded to broad, skewed distributions, suggesting that such terms are misleading for many people. Sexual orientation range—roughly, how much flexibility someone has in expressing sexual orientation—was also measured. The results support a fluid-continuum model of sexual orientation, according to which genetic and environmental factors determine both the size of the sexual orientation range and the point at which an individual's sexual orientation is centered on the continuum.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号