A stochastic Newton-Raphson method

A stochastic approximation procedure of the Robbins-Monro type is considered. The original idea behind the Newton-Raphson method is used as follows. Given n approximations X₁,…, X_n with observations Y₁,…, Y_n, a least squares line is fitted to the points (X_m, Y_m),…, (X_n, Y_n) where m<n may depend on n. The (n+1)st approximation is taken to be the intersection of the least squares line with y=0. A variation of the resulting process is studied. It is shown that this process yields a strongly consistent sequence of estimates which is asymptotically normal with minimal asymptotic variance.     

Consistent Estimation of the Regression Coefficient Through Weighted Arithmetic Mean of the Inconsistent Estimators in Replicated Ultrastructural Model

The problem of consistent estimation of the slope parameter in an ultrastructural model with replicated observations is considered in this article. A consistent estimator based on a weighted arithmetic mean of two inconsistent least squares estimators is proposed which is independent of any unknown quantity. The efficiency properties of this estimator are studied.     

Efficient Use of Two Decks of Cards in Randomized Response Sampling

This paper extends the work of Russell (1976). Proof Is given that, for many parameter sets, all O:XB designs belonging to the set are connected. It is shown how an (M,S)-optinal design nay be selected from the M-optimal designs of a given parameter set. The efficiencies of these (M,S)-optimal designs are displayed, and it is concluded that the (M,S)-optimality criterion is useful for selecting designs of high efficiency.     

The Asymptotic Covariance Matrix of the Least Squares Estimator in the Stochastic Linear Regression Model: The Case of Elliptically Symmetric Distribution

This article considers the unconditional asymptotic covariance matrix of the least squares estimator in the linear regression model with stochastic explanatory variables. The asymptotic covariance matrix of the least squares estimator of regression parameters is evaluated relative to the standard asymptotic covariance matrix when the joint distribution of the dependent and explanatory variables is in the class of elliptically symmetric distributions. An empirical example using financial data is presented. Numerical examples and simulation experiments are given to illustrate the difference of the two asymptotic covariance matrices.     

Weighted Searching Probability for Classes of Equivalent Search Designs Comparison

Search design is searching and estimating for a few non zero effects in a large set of effects along with estimation of elements in a set of unknown parameters. In presence of noise, the probability of discrimination between the true non zero effect from an alternative one depends on the design and an unknown parameter, say ρ. We develop a new criterion for design comparison which is independent of ρ and for a family density weight function show that it discriminates and ranks the designs precisely. This criterion is invariance to the variable noise which may be present between designs due to noise factors. This allows us to extend the design comparison to classes of equivalent designs.     

An Extension of Economic Design of x-Bar Control Charts for Non Normally Distributed Data Under Weibull Shock Models

Three parameters—sample size, sampling intervals, and the control limits—must be determined when the x bar chart to monitor a manufacturing process. The constant sampling intervals were widely employed because of its administrative simplicity. However, the variable sampling interval (VSI) has recently been shown to give substantially faster detection of most process shifts than fixed-sampling-interval (FSI) for x-bar charts. In addition, these measurements in the subgroup are assumed to be normally distributed. That assumption may not be tenable. This investigation compares the economic design of x-bar control charts for non normal data under Weibull shock models with various sampling avenues.     

Confidence Bounds for Multiplicative Comparisons

Statements that are inherently multiplicative have historically been justified using ratios of random variables. Although recent work on ratios has extended the classical theory to produce confidence bounds conditioned on a positive denominator, this current article offers a novel perspective that eliminates the need for such a condition. Although seemingly trivial, this new perspective leads to improved lower confidence bounds to support multiplicative statements. This perspective is also more satisfying as it allows comparisons that are inherently multiplicative in nature to be properly analyzed as such.     

On Blest’s Measure of Kurtosis Adjusted for Skewness

We reconsider the derivation of Blest’s (2003) skewness adjusted version of the classical moment-based coefficient of kurtosis and propose an adaptation of it which generally eliminates the effects of asymmetry a little more successfully. Lower bounds are provided for the two skewness adjusted kurtosis moment measures as functions of the classical coefficient of skewness. The results from a Monte Carlo experiment designed to investigate the sampling properties of numerous moment-based estimators of the two skewness adjusted kurtosis measures are used to identify those estimators with lowest mean squared error for small to medium sized samples drawn from distributions with varying levels of asymmetry and tailweight.     

Non parametric portmanteau tests for detecting non linearities in high dimensions

ABSTRACT

We propose two non parametric portmanteau test statistics for serial dependence in high dimensions using the correlation integral. One test depends on a cutoff threshold value, while the other test is freed of this dependence. Although these tests may each be viewed as variants of the classical Brock, Dechert, and Scheinkman (BDS) test statistic, they avoid some of the major weaknesses of this test. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of both portmanteau tests. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we investigate the small sample properties of the tests for a variety of data generating processes with normally and uniformly distributed innovations. We show that asymptotic theory provides accurate inference in finite samples and for relatively high dimensions. This is followed by a power comparison with the BDS test, and with several rank-based extensions of the BDS tests that have recently been proposed in the literature. Two real data examples are provided to illustrate the use of the test procedure.     

Quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimation for a non stationary GARCH(1,1) model

ABSTRACT

This article investigates a quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimator(QMELE) for a non stationary generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH(1,1)) model. Asymptotic normality of this estimator is derived under a non stationary condition. A simulation study and a real example are given to evaluate the performance of QMELE for this model.