On the statistical inference of a machine-generated autoregressive AR(1) model

We have obtained the asymptotic bias and the limiting distribution for the Yule–Walker estimator of the autoregressive parameter under a considerably weaker assumption than that of independence in the noise sequence. Among other things, these suggest robustness of the classical results and throw some light on the use of simulations based on pseudorandom numbers in verifying these results.     

A generalized semi-Pareto minification process

In this paper a generalization of the semi-Pareto autoregressive minification process of the first order is given. The necessary and sufficient condition for stationarity of the process is determined. It is shown that the process is ergodic and uniformly mixing. The joint survival function and the joint density function of the random variables X _n+h and X _n are determined. The extremes of the random variables X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _n and the geometric extremes of random variables X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _N are derived and their asymptotic distributions are discussed. The estimation of the parameters is discussed and some numerical results are given.     

Semiparametric Mixtures of Symmetric Distributions

We consider in this paper the semiparametric mixture of two unknown distributions equal up to a location parameter. The model is said to be semiparametric in the sense that the mixed distribution is not supposed to belong to a parametric family. To insure the identifiability of the model, it is assumed that the mixed distribution is zero symmetric, the model being then defined by the mixing proportion, two location parameters and the probability density function of the mixed distribution. We propose a new class of M‐estimators of these parameters based on a Fourier approach and prove that they are ‐consistent under mild regularity conditions. Their finite sample properties are illustrated by a Monte Carlo study, and a benchmark real dataset is also studied with our method.     

Goodness‐of‐fit Test for Directional Data

In this paper, we study the problem of testing the hypothesis on whether the density f of a random variable on a sphere belongs to a given parametric class of densities. We propose two test statistics based on the L² and L¹ distances between a non‐parametric density estimator adapted to circular data and a smoothed version of the specified density. The asymptotic distribution of the L² test statistic is provided under the null hypothesis and contiguous alternatives. We also consider a bootstrap method to approximate the distribution of both test statistics. Through a simulation study, we explore the moderate sample performance of the proposed tests under the null hypothesis and under different alternatives. Finally, the procedure is illustrated by analysing a real data set based on wind direction measurements.     

A Consistent Method of Estimation For The Three-Parameter Gamma Distribution

For the three-parameter gamma distribution, it is known that the method of moments as well as the maximum likelihood method have difficulties such as non-existence in some range of the parameters, convergence problems, and large variability. For this reason, in this article, we propose a method of estimation based on a transformation involving order statistics from the sample. In this method, the estimates always exist uniquely over the entire parameter space, and the estimators also have consistency over the entire parameter space. The bias and mean squared error of the estimators are also examined by means of a Monte Carlo simulation study, and the empirical results show the small-sample superiority in addition to the desirable large sample properties.     

Information theoretic methods in small domain estimation

Small area estimation techniques are becoming increasingly used in survey applications to provide estimates for local areas of interest. The objective of this article is to develop and apply Information Theoretic (IT)-based formulations to estimate small area business and trade statistics. More specifically, we propose a Generalized Maximum Entropy (GME) approach to the problem of small area estimation that exploits auxiliary information relating to other known variables on the population and adjusts for consistency and additivity. The GME formulations, combining information from the sample together with out-of-sample aggregates of the population of interest, can be particularly useful in the context of small area estimation, for both direct and model-based estimators, since they do not require strong distributional assumptions on the disturbances. The performance of the proposed IT formulations is illustrated through real and simulated datasets.     

Bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the generalized half-normal distribution

Cooray and Ananda introduced a two-parameter generalized Half-Normal distribution which is useful for modelling lifetime data, while its maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) are biased in finite samples. This motivates us to construct nearly unbiased estimators for the unknown parameters of the model. In this paper, we adopt two approaches for bias reduction of the MLEs of the parameters of generalized Half-Normal distribution. The first approach is the analytical methodology suggested by Cox and Snell and the second is based on parametric Bootstrap resampling method. Additionally, the method of moments (MMEs) is used for comparison purposes. The numerical evidence shows that the analytic bias-corrected estimators significantly outperform their bootstrapped-based counterpart for small and moderate samples as well as for MLEs and MMEs. Also, it is apparent from the results that bias- corrected estimates of shape parameter perform better than that of scale parameter. Further, the results show that bias-correction scheme yields nearly unbiased estimates. Finally, six fracture toughness real data sets illustrate the application of our methods.     

Efficient closed-form maximum a posteriori estimators for the gamma distribution

We proposed a new class of maximum a posteriori estimators for the parameters of the Gamma distribution. These estimators have simple closed-form expressions and can be rewritten as a bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimators presented by Ye and Chen [Closed-form estimators for the gamma distribution derived from likelihood equations. Am Statist. 2017;71(2):177–181]. A simulation study was carried out to compare different estimation procedures. Numerical results revels that our new estimation scheme outperforms the existing closed-form estimators and produces extremely efficient estimates for both parameters, even for small sample sizes.     

Rail infrastructure charging in Hellenic railways

In this paper we consider marginal cost estimation in Greek railways over the period 2000-2004. Marginal cost estimation has been recently an active area of research when disaggregated data by line of operation are available but factor price data are not available. We propose panel data techniques to deal with the problem of statistical efficiency of parameters estimators. Our estimates show that marginal cost in Greek railways is comparable to the estimates in other European countries.