自动往返电动小汽车的设计原理与制作方法

本文介绍了采用脉冲主动采集、计数程序控制、虚拟脉冲复位、撞击转向的方式完成自动往返电动小汽车的构思、设计及制作的方法。     

Efficient sequential estimation in multiplicative counting processes

The problem of efficient sequential estimation is counting processes with multiplicative intensity processes is considered. A sequential version of Cramér-Rao type information inequality is obtained and all the 'efficient' triples (S, f, g) are characterized: the variance of an unbiased estimator f for g attains the lower bound under a sampling plan S. Applications to Poisson processes, Markov processes, birth and death processes and Markov branching processes with immigration are also considered.     

Reference Priors for Poisson Processes Involving Nuisance Parameters

A Bayesian reference analysis for determining the posterior distribution of the strength of a radiation source is performed. The only pieces of information available are the numbers of counts gathered in a gross and a background measurement along with the respective counting times and a state-of-knowledge distribution for the efficiency. This situation is addressed by combining the calculations of a “one-at-a-time” reference prior and a reference prior with partial information. The posterior distribution of the source strength obtained with the reference prior leads to credible intervals that have better frequentist coverage than corresponding intervals founded on uniform or Jeffreys’ priors.     

Simulations on the Jelinski-Moranda model of software reliability; application of some parametric bootstrap methods

In software reliability theory many different models have been proposed and investigated. some of these models intuitively match reality better than others. The properties of certain statistical estimation procedures in connection with these models are also model-dependent. In this paper we investigate how well the maximum likelihood estimation procedure and the parametric bootstrap behave in the case of the very well-known software reliability model suggested by Jelinski and Moranda (1972). For this study we will make use of simulated data.     

Testing for the Proportionality of Hazards in Two Samples Against the Increasing Cumulative Hazard Ratio Alternative

A number of tests of the proportional hazards hypothesis have been proposed in the past. In recent years, researchers have proposed tests geared specially for the alternative hypothesis of increasing hazard ratio, keeping in mind the case of crossing hazards. This alternative may be too restrictive in many situations. In this paper we develop a test of the proportional hazards model for the weaker increasing cumulative hazard ratio alternative. The work is motivated by a data analytic example given by Gill & Schumacher (1987) where their test fails to reject the null hypothesis even though the faster ageing of one group is quite apparent from a plot. The normalized test statistic proposed here has an asymptotically normal distribution under either hypothesis. We also present two graphical methods related to our analytical test.     

Estimating the Basic Reproductive Number in the General Epidemic Model with an Unknown Initial Number of Susceptible Individuals

Abstract. In any epidemic, there may exist an unidentified subpopulation which might be naturally immune or isolated and who will not be involved in the transmission of the disease. Estimation of key parameters, for example, the basic reproductive number, without accounting for this possibility would underestimate the severity of the epidemics. Here, we propose a procedure to estimate the basic reproductive number ( R ₀ ) in an epidemic model with an unknown initial number of susceptibles. The infection process is usually not completely observed, but is reconstructed by a kernel‐smoothing method under a counting process framework. Simulation is used to evaluate the performance of the estimators for major epidemics. We illustrate the procedure using the Abakaliki smallpox data.     

A Bivariate Generalization of the Noncentral Negative Binomial Distribution

This article proposes a bivariate generalization of the noncentral negative binomial distribution which arises as a model in photon and neural counting. This bivariate generalization is derived as a mixed shifted bivariate negative binomial distribution. Various properties and parameter estimation, especially by a minimum distance method based on the probability generating function, are considered. To show the practical usefulness of the bivariate distribution proposed, an application to model low-flux astronomical images is discussed and a real data set has been analyzed.     

On the number of 2n-p fractional factorials of resolution III

An algorithm is specified and demonstrated which will compute the total number of ways a 2ⁿ factorial design may be partitioned into 2^p mutually exclusive 2^n-p fractional factorial designs, each having resolution III. The results of its application to all designs possessing resolution III fractions for n=5,…,20 are also given.     

模糊数学在评价教学质量中的应用

:教学质量的评判是典型的模糊事件。用模糊数学综合评判方法对教师的教学质量进行评价。提出的方法是试图将模糊数学引入学校管理工作的初步尝试     

Multiplicative Bias Correction in Kernel Hazard Estimation

A multiplicative bias reducing technique is introduced for kernel hazard estimation. Similar methods were introduced by Linton & Nielsen (1994) in non-parametric regression and Jones et al . (1995) in non-parametric density estimation. A simulation study indicates good performance of the method. An application is provided on the development of Danish mortality.