全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1184篇 |
免费 | 26篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 65篇 |
人口学 | 13篇 |
丛书文集 | 18篇 |
理论方法论 | 27篇 |
综合类 | 167篇 |
社会学 | 4篇 |
统计学 | 919篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 6篇 |
2022年 | 5篇 |
2021年 | 12篇 |
2020年 | 16篇 |
2019年 | 41篇 |
2018年 | 30篇 |
2017年 | 60篇 |
2016年 | 31篇 |
2015年 | 25篇 |
2014年 | 38篇 |
2013年 | 334篇 |
2012年 | 98篇 |
2011年 | 45篇 |
2010年 | 44篇 |
2009年 | 36篇 |
2008年 | 33篇 |
2007年 | 39篇 |
2006年 | 26篇 |
2005年 | 39篇 |
2004年 | 33篇 |
2003年 | 15篇 |
2002年 | 25篇 |
2001年 | 21篇 |
2000年 | 23篇 |
1999年 | 17篇 |
1998年 | 13篇 |
1997年 | 17篇 |
1996年 | 10篇 |
1995年 | 8篇 |
1994年 | 11篇 |
1993年 | 7篇 |
1992年 | 7篇 |
1991年 | 8篇 |
1990年 | 6篇 |
1989年 | 3篇 |
1988年 | 4篇 |
1987年 | 3篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 3篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 3篇 |
排序方式: 共有1213条查询结果,搜索用时 265 毫秒
11.
Statistik für bivariate gemischte Poisson–Prozesse am Beispiel der Kraftfahrthaftpflichtversicherung
Mathias Zocher 《Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv》2005,89(4):383-402
Zusammenfassung: In diesem Artikel wird der Weg von einem univariaten gemischten Poisson–Prozess, der in vielen Bereichen zum Z?hlen von Ereignissen
benutzt wird, zu einem bivariaten gemischten Poisson–Prozess aufgezeigt. Dazu werden einige Eigenschaften des bivariaten Prozesses
angegeben. Im zweiten Teil der Arbeit wird gezeigt, wie mit Hilfe dieses Prozesses der übergang von einem herk?mmlichen Bonus–Malus–System
in der Kraftfahrthaftpflichtversicherung zu einem Bonus–Malus–System mit Berücksichtigung der Schadenart beschritten werden
kann. Dazu wird zuerst eine Modellprüfung der gegebenen Daten vorgenommen und sodann werden für verschiedene mischende Verteilungen
die Verteilungsparameter gesch?tzt und Nettopr?mien angegeben sowie die Prognosegenauigkeit getestet.
Summary: In this paper we show that the model of the bivariate mixed Poisson process arises in a natural way from the univariate mixed Poisson process, which is used in several areas for counting certain events. Furthermore we state some properties of the bivariate process. In the second part of the paper we illustrate how by means of the bivariate mixed Poisson process a bonus–malus system handling different types of accidents can be derived from the classical bonus–malus system in third–party liability insurance. To this end we first check the model on the given data and then estimate distribution parameters and compute net premiums for different mixing distributions as well as test the prediction probabilities.
* Vortrag am Dresdner Forum zur Versicherungsmathematik: Tarifierung in Erst- und Rückversicherung am 25. Juni 2004. Für die Unterstützung zu dieser Arbeit m?chte der Autor Lothar Partzsch, Klaus D. Schmidt (beide Dresden) und Friedemann Spies (München) recht herzlich danken. 相似文献
12.
试论宗教对话的层次性、基本中介与普遍模式——三论21世纪基督宗教的对话形态 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
段德智 《武汉大学学报(人文科学版)》2002,55(4):423-428
宗教对话不仅是一个关乎当代人类文明健康发展的大问题 ,而且还是一个关乎当代宗教和平乃至当代和平的大问题。为此 ,我们从学理上阐述宗教对话的层次性、基本中介和普遍模式 ,以及揭露希克宗教多元主义的要害在于宗教对话的“平面化”。 相似文献
13.
Grard Letac 《Revue canadienne de statistique》1991,19(2):229-232
This note exhibits two independent random variables on integers, X1 and X2, such that neither X1 nor X2 has a generalized Poisson distribution, but X1 + X2 has. This contradicts statements made by Professor Consul in his recent book. 相似文献
14.
Janusz L. Wywiał 《Statistical Papers》2008,49(2):277-289
The sampling designs dependent on sample moments of auxiliary variables are well known. Lahiri (Bull Int Stat Inst 33:133–140,
1951) considered a sampling design proportionate to a sample mean of an auxiliary variable. Sing and Srivastava (Biometrika
67(1):205–209, 1980) proposed the sampling design proportionate to a sample variance while Wywiał (J Indian Stat Assoc 37:73–87,
1999) a sampling design proportionate to a sample generalized variance of auxiliary variables. Some other sampling designs
dependent on moments of an auxiliary variable were considered e.g. in Wywiał (Some contributions to multivariate methods in,
survey sampling. Katowice University of Economics, Katowice, 2003a); Stat Transit 4(5):779–798, 2000) where accuracy of some
sampling strategies were compared, too.These sampling designs cannot be useful in the case when there are some censored observations
of the auxiliary variable. Moreover, they can be much too sensitive to outliers observations. In these cases the sampling
design proportionate to the order statistic of an auxiliary variable can be more useful. That is why such an unequal probability
sampling design is proposed here. Its particular cases as well as its conditional version are considered, too. The sampling
scheme implementing this sampling design is proposed. The inclusion probabilities of the first and second orders were evaluated.
The well known Horvitz–Thompson estimator is taken into account. A ratio estimator dependent on an order statistic is constructed.
It is similar to the well known ratio estimator based on the population and sample means. Moreover, it is an unbiased estimator
of the population mean when the sample is drawn according to the proposed sampling design dependent on the appropriate order
statistic. 相似文献
15.
Edi Karni 《Journal of Risk and Uncertainty》1992,5(2):107-125
This article generalizes Savage's theory to include event-dependent preferences. The state space is partitioned into finitely many events. The induced preferences over consequences are assumed independent of the underlying states within, but not across, these events. This results in an additively separable representation of preferences over acts. The dependence of the preference relation over consequences on the events is represented by event-dependent mappings of the set of consequences onto itself. Given these mappings, the preferences on acts are represented by the expectation of event-dependent utilities on the consequences with respect to unique subjective probabilities on the states.Helpful discussions with David Schmeidler are gratefully acknowledged. 相似文献
16.
Michael Weba 《Statistical Papers》2002,43(3):445-452
n possibly different success probabilities p
1, p
2, ..., p
n
is frequently approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter λ = p
1 + p
2 + ... + p
n
. LeCam's bound p
2
1 + p
2
2 + ... + p
n
2 for the total variation distance between both distributions is particularly useful provided the success probabilities are
small.
The paper presents an improved version of LeCam's bound if a generalized d-dimensional Poisson binomial distribution is to be approximated by a compound Poisson distribution.
Received: May 10, 2000; revised version: January 15, 2001 相似文献
17.
考虑由一个分销中心和N个零售商组成的两级分销库存系统.假设两级库存补充均采取周期订货策略,在每个零售商处的客户需求是随机的,且服从Poisson分布.当给定的某一货物缺货时,顾客愿意等待特别订货的概率是一确定的常数,在满足给定的客户服务水平的条件下,寻求该供应链总费用的最小化.对库存费用的计算进行了精确的推导,并且得到了最优的订货策略.最后给出了一个算例,根据所得到的公式由电子表格获得了两级最优库存水平. 相似文献
18.
The paper surveys the currently available axiomatizations of common belief (CB) and common knowledge (CK) by means of modal propositional logics. (Throughout, knowledge — whether individual or common — is defined as true belief.) Section 1 introduces the formal method of axiomatization followed by epistemic logicians, especially the syntax-semantics distinction, and the notion of a soundness and completeness theorem. Section 2 explains the syntactical concepts, while briefly discussing their motivations. Two standard semantic constructions, Kripke structures and neighbourhood structures, are introduced in Sections 3 and 4, respectively. It is recalled that Aumann's partitional model of CK is a particular case of a definition in terms of Kripke structures. The paper also restates the well-known fact that Kripke structures can be regarded as particular cases of neighbourhood structures. Section 3 reviews the soundness and completeness theorems proved w.r.t. the former structures by Fagin, Halpern, Moses and Vardi, as well as related results by Lismont. Section 4 reviews the corresponding theorems derived w.r.t. the latter structures by Lismont and Mongin. A general conclusion of the paper is that the axiomatization of CB does not require as strong systems of individual belief as was originally thought — onlymonotonicity has thusfar proved indispensable. Section 5 explains another consequence of general relevance: despite the infinitary nature of CB, the axiom systems of this paper admit of effective decision procedures, i.e., they aredecidable in the logician's sense. 相似文献
19.
Robert F. Nau 《Journal of Risk and Uncertainty》1995,10(1):71-91
This article explores the extent to which a decision maker's probabilities can be measured separately from his/her utilities by observing his/her acceptance of small monetary gambles. Only a partial separation is achieved: the acceptable gambles are partitioned into a set of belief gambles, which reveals probabilities distorted by marginal utilities for money, and a set of preference gambles, which reveals utilities reciprocally distorted by marginal utilities for money. However, the information in these gambles still enables us to solve the decision maker's problem: his/her utility-maximizing decision is the one that avoids arbitrage (i.e., incoherence or Dutch books). 相似文献
20.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(1):135-150
Many if not most lifetime distributions are motivated only by mathematical interest. Here, a new three-parameter distribution motivated mainly by lifetime issues is introduced. Some properties of the new distribution including estimation procedures, univariate generalizations and bivariate generalizations are derived. A real data application is described to show its superior performance versus at least that of 15 of the known lifetime models. 相似文献