Improved two-parameter estimators for the negative binomial and Poisson regression models

Negative binomial regression (NBR) and Poisson regression (PR) applications have become very popular in the analysis of count data in recent years. However, if there is a high degree of relationship between the independent variables, the problem of multicollinearity arises in these models. We introduce new two-parameter estimators (TPEs) for the NBR and the PR models by unifying the two-parameter estimator (TPE) of Özkale and Kaç?ranlar [The restricted and unrestricted two-parameter estimators. Commun Stat Theory Methods. 2007;36:2707–2725]. These new estimators are general estimators which include maximum likelihood (ML) estimator, ridge estimator (RE), Liu estimator (LE) and contraction estimator (CE) as special cases. Furthermore, biasing parameters of these estimators are given and a Monte Carlo simulation is done to evaluate the performance of these estimators using mean square error (MSE) criterion. The benefits of the new TPEs are also illustrated in an empirical application. The results show that the new proposed TPEs for the NBR and the PR models are better than the ML estimator, the RE and the LE.     

Estimation of geodesic tortuosity and constrictivity in stationary random closed sets

We investigate the problem of estimating geodesic tortuosity and constrictivity as two structural characteristics of stationary random closed sets. They are of central importance for the analysis of effective transport properties in porous or composite materials. Loosely speaking, geodesic tortuosity measures the windedness of paths, whereas the notion of constrictivity captures the appearance of bottlenecks resulting from narrow passages within a given materials phase. We first provide mathematically precise definitions of these quantities and introduce appropriate estimators. Then, we show strong consistency of these estimators for unboundedly growing sampling windows. In order to apply our estimators to real data sets, the extent of edge effects needs to be controlled. This is illustrated using a model for a multiphase material that is incorporated in solid oxide fuel cells.     

Estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with a change‐point

Recent work on point processes includes studying posterior convergence rates of estimating a continuous intensity function. In this article, convergence rates for estimating the intensity function and change‐point are derived for the more general case of a piecewise continuous intensity function. We study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with a change‐point using non‐parametric Bayesian methods. An Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is proposed to obtain estimates of the intensity function and the change‐point which is illustrated using simulation studies and applications. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 47: 604–618; 2019 © 2019 Statistical Society of Canada     

基于ANSYS的行李车改造成发电车的车架设计与分析

现代设计方法的发展和使用,使铁路车辆设计变得越来越快速高效。在行李车改造为发电车过程中,首先根据车架结构对车厢进行布局设计,其次运用有限元分析软件ANSYS对改造后的车辆车架系统从强度和刚度方面进行计算和分析。然后根据分析结果,使用APDL语言对车架薄弱环节和不合理结构进行改进。最后,对改造后车架进行模态分析和谐响应分析,确定有害频率和振型,并采取有效减振措施。从研究结果看,改造后的车辆车架能达到安全使用的设计目的。     

英语学术论文中的遁言研究

学术论文写作并非是不受作者主观影响的就事论事的客观陈述,成功的学术英语写作需要借助遁言运用以达到特定的交际目的.对遁言的运用和分布的研究结果表明:遁言是学术语篇社团成员广泛使用的一种修辞手段,学术英语中的遁言现象不仅是作者、读者、语篇三者交互的结果,也是用语言形式体现作者心理取向的产物,是一种认知情态.遁言研究对学术英语具有重要意义.     

英汉情态助动词语法及语义表达方式的对比

情态助动词是表达情态的重要手段,英语和汉语情态助动词有不同的语法和语义表达形式。根据Huddleston和Palmer关于情态助动词的理论框架,英语和汉语情态助动词被同时纳入否定、倒装、替代和强调四个语法特征进行对比,发现汉语在倒装方面与英语有很大差异,但是在其他三个特点上,均与英语具有共性。然后又将它们纳入意愿、可能和必须三个语义范畴,结合相应的语料对比、分析,发现它们的意义表达形式在三个语义范畴中表现有共性和个性。     

考虑油膜结合面的机床动态特性分析

考虑油膜结合面特性的机床主运动板的动态特性分析,对油膜的刚度分布情况作了3种假设,将假设得到的机床动态特性与不考虑油膜的特性进行比较,并用实验测试数据进行验证正确性。结果表明考虑油膜即结合面的特性对模态分析结果产生不可忽略的影响,其影响效果从第5阶模态振型开始表现明显;油膜刚度成分布幂函数最接近实验测试结果,因此可以看做油膜工作状态下分布的简化函数。     

科学思维类组的语言结构形式探讨

文章对随机抽取的被试在两难问题处理语境中问题解决方案提出的语言结构形式进行分析,结果显示:模态词、陈述句和名词可以成为实现科学思维训练的操作性目标。     

模态系统T的Herbrand定理

模态Herbrand定理研究是模态逻辑领域的重要开放问题.不含Barcan公式的模态系统T的Herbrand定理的获得必须完成两个方向的证明工作:首先是证明相对简单的从右到左方向;而对于相对复杂的从左到右方向,则可以通过在加标公式表列系统K的基础上增加特殊规则获得加标公式表列系统T,证明T的可靠性和完全性,并在此基础上完成从左到右方向的证明.同样的方法还可以用来证明模态系统D、K4、s4的Herbrand定理.     

ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN AIR POLLUTION AND HOSPITAL VISITS FOR CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES IN THE ELDERLY IN SYDNEY USING BAYESIAN STATISTICAL METHODS

Using generalized linear models (GLMs), Jalaludin  et al. (2006;  J. Exposure Analysis and Epidemiology   16 , 225–237) studied the association between the daily number of visits to emergency departments for cardiovascular disease by the elderly (65+) and five measures of ambient air pollution. Bayesian methods provide an alternative approach to classical time series modelling and are starting to be more widely used. This paper considers Bayesian methods using the dataset used by Jalaludin  et al.  (2006) , and compares the results from Bayesian methods with those obtained by Jalaludin  et al.  (2006) using GLM methods.