全文获取类型
收费全文 | 17726篇 |
免费 | 638篇 |
国内免费 | 226篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2062篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 69篇 |
人才学 | 3篇 |
人口学 | 365篇 |
丛书文集 | 931篇 |
理论方法论 | 461篇 |
综合类 | 8094篇 |
社会学 | 730篇 |
统计学 | 5873篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 25篇 |
2023年 | 143篇 |
2022年 | 239篇 |
2021年 | 264篇 |
2020年 | 410篇 |
2019年 | 517篇 |
2018年 | 588篇 |
2017年 | 730篇 |
2016年 | 611篇 |
2015年 | 621篇 |
2014年 | 970篇 |
2013年 | 2345篇 |
2012年 | 1284篇 |
2011年 | 1137篇 |
2010年 | 943篇 |
2009年 | 912篇 |
2008年 | 1016篇 |
2007年 | 967篇 |
2006年 | 888篇 |
2005年 | 753篇 |
2004年 | 653篇 |
2003年 | 546篇 |
2002年 | 478篇 |
2001年 | 404篇 |
2000年 | 265篇 |
1999年 | 194篇 |
1998年 | 109篇 |
1997年 | 111篇 |
1996年 | 84篇 |
1995年 | 67篇 |
1994年 | 49篇 |
1993年 | 43篇 |
1992年 | 43篇 |
1991年 | 44篇 |
1990年 | 27篇 |
1989年 | 20篇 |
1988年 | 19篇 |
1987年 | 9篇 |
1986年 | 8篇 |
1985年 | 17篇 |
1984年 | 9篇 |
1983年 | 13篇 |
1982年 | 5篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 4篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
马莉 《长春理工大学学报(高教版)》2006,(1)
本文针对现代大学生学习计算机专业“基础原理”课程存在的种种客观问题,通过分析这些问题找出其中原因,并介绍对这些问题所采取的解决方案。教学实践表明,这些方案对学生学习“基础原理课”起到了较好的效果,提高了这类课程的教学质量。 相似文献
42.
黄俊彦 《吉林工程技术师范学院学报》2005,(8)
语言学的发展一直在不断地影响着翻译理论的发展,只不过有时这种影响很间接,尼达的译学思想在中国翻译界一向占据着重要的地位,但这位大师最近宣布其观点已经发生根本变化,尼达学术观点的变化无疑会给目前译学建设带来一定的负面影响。本文着重从翻译理论的作用、翻译标准及语言学与翻译的关系三个角度对尼达翻译思想的转变加以分析;重新阐述理论在译学框架中的地位及作用,理论和实践的关系及翻译理论的意义。 相似文献
43.
Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
R. A. Rigby D. M. Stasinopoulos 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2005,54(3):507-554
Summary. A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models. 相似文献
44.
造粒塔内液滴传热数学模型的建立 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
通过在竖直向上流动的空气中逆向运动的颗粒的速率方程.单颗粒与流动气流间的Ranz和Marshall传热关联式.以及能量守恒方程和传热速率方程建立简化的液滴粒径与塔高间的定量关系.从而为研究喷雾造粒工艺提供参考. 相似文献
45.
Point processes are the stochastic models most suitable for describing physical phenomena that appear at irregularly spaced
times, such as the earthquakes. These processes are uniquely characterized by their conditional intensity, that is, by the
probability that an event will occur in the infinitesimal interval (t, t+Δt), given the history of the process up tot. The seismic phenomenon displays different behaviours on different time and size scales; in particular, the occurrence of
destructive shocks over some centuries in a seismogenic region may be explained by the elastic rebound theory. This theory
has inspired the so-called stress release models: their conditional intensity translates the idea that an earthquake produces
a sudden decrease in the amount of strain accumulated gradually over time along a fault, and the subsequent event occurs when
the stress exceeds the strength of the medium. This study has a double objective: the formulation of these models in the Bayesian
framework, and the assignment to each event of a mark, that is its magnitude, modelled through a distribution that depends
at timet on the stress level accumulated up to that instant. The resulting parameter space is constrained and dependent on the data,
complicating Bayesian computation and analysis. We have resorted to Monte Carlo methods to solve these problems. 相似文献
46.
在分析政府形象效能评价系统和信息置信度的基础上,建立了基于信度函数的政府形象评价模型。运用该函数建模分析了政府形象评估中的理念识别系统、行为识别系统、视觉识别系统、环境识别系统以及个人识别系统等五大不确定性评价问题。经过理论分析,该函数对政府形象的评估有较大的参考价值。此外,该函数也可以用于对其他类似复杂性系统的效能评估,具有普遍适用性。 相似文献
47.
Detection and correction of artificial shifts in climate series 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Henri Caussinus Olivier Mestre 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2004,53(3):405-425
Summary. Many long instrumental climate records are available and might provide useful information in climate research. These series are usually affected by artificial shifts, due to changes in the conditions of measurement and various kinds of spurious data. A comparison with surrounding weather-stations by means of a suitable two-factor model allows us to check the reliability of the series. An adapted penalized log-likelihood procedure is used to detect an unknown number of breaks and outliers. An example concerning temperature series from France confirms that a systematic comparison of the series together is valuable and allows us to correct the data even when no reliable series can be taken as a reference. 相似文献
48.
单亦祯 《河北理工大学学报(社会科学版)》2003,3(1):114-117
大比例多项选择考试模式在大学英语四、六级考试中己实施多年 ,它对推动我国的外语教育功不可没。但在我国的国情发生了巨大变化、整个国家正朝着国际化社会快速发展、社会各界急需实用型外语人才的今天 ,多年不变的大比例多项选择考试模式己经显示出它的不足。特别是IELTS;ESOL等国际实用性测试模式不断引入我国 ,它的确面临着改进和完善的挑战。 相似文献
49.
50.
We used two statistical methods to identify prognostic factors: a log-linear model (logistic and COX regression, based on the notions of linearity and multiplicative relative risk), and the CORICO method (ICOnography of CORrelations) based on the geometric significance of the correlation coefficient. We applied the methods to two different situations (a "case-control study' and a "historical cohort'). We show that the geometric exploratory tool is particularly suited to the analysis of small samples with a large number of variables. It could save time when setting up new study protocols. In this instance, the geometric approach highlighted, without preconceived ideas, the potential role of multihormonality in the course of pituitary adenoma and the unexpected influence of the date of tumour excision on the risk attached to haemorrhage. 相似文献