首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   4083篇
  免费   83篇
  国内免费   14篇
管理学   214篇
民族学   1篇
人口学   38篇
丛书文集   24篇
理论方法论   30篇
综合类   338篇
社会学   31篇
统计学   3504篇
  2024年   1篇
  2023年   21篇
  2022年   36篇
  2021年   24篇
  2020年   70篇
  2019年   148篇
  2018年   168篇
  2017年   273篇
  2016年   125篇
  2015年   81篇
  2014年   118篇
  2013年   1221篇
  2012年   360篇
  2011年   100篇
  2010年   121篇
  2009年   143篇
  2008年   128篇
  2007年   97篇
  2006年   96篇
  2005年   91篇
  2004年   77篇
  2003年   60篇
  2002年   67篇
  2001年   64篇
  2000年   62篇
  1999年   64篇
  1998年   59篇
  1997年   46篇
  1996年   27篇
  1995年   22篇
  1994年   32篇
  1993年   21篇
  1992年   24篇
  1991年   9篇
  1990年   17篇
  1989年   10篇
  1988年   17篇
  1987年   12篇
  1986年   6篇
  1985年   4篇
  1984年   14篇
  1983年   13篇
  1982年   8篇
  1981年   6篇
  1980年   1篇
  1979年   6篇
  1978年   5篇
  1977年   2篇
  1975年   2篇
  1973年   1篇
排序方式: 共有4180条查询结果,搜索用时 14 毫秒
61.
The partial attributable risk (PAR) has been introduced as a tool for partitioning the responsibility for causing an adverse event between various risk factors. It has arisen from epidemiology, but it is also a valid general risk allocation concept, which can, for example, be applied to data from customer satisfaction surveys. So far, a variance formula for the PAR has been missing so that the confidence intervals were not directly available. This paper provides the asymptotic normal distribution for the PAR determined from a cross-sectional study.  相似文献   
62.
A multivariate modified histogram density estimate depending on a reference density g and a partition P has been proved to have good consistency properties according to several information theoretic criteria. Given an i.i.d. sample, we show how to select automatically both g and P so that the expected L 1 error of the corresponding selected estimate is within a given constant multiple of the best possible error plus an additive term which tends to zero under mild assumptions. Our method is inspired by the combinatorial tools developed by Devroye and Lugosi [Devroye, L. and Lugosi, G., 2001, Combinatorial Methods in Density Estimation (New York, NY: Springer–Verlag)] and it includes a wide range of reference density and partition models. Results of simulations are also presented.  相似文献   
63.
The estimation problem for varying coefficient models has been studied by many authors. We consider the problem in the case that the unknown functions admit different degrees of smoothness. In this paper we propose a reducing component local polynomial method to estimate the unknown functions. It is shown that all of our estimators achieve the optimal convergence rates. The asymptotic distributions of our estimators are also derived. The established asymptotic results and the simulation results show that our estimators outperform the the existing two-step estimators when the coefficient functions admit different degrees of smoothness. We also develop methods to speed up the estimation of the model and the selection of the bandwidths.  相似文献   
64.
65.
There is a considerable amount of literature dealing with inference about the parameters in a heteroscedastic one-way random-effects ANOVA model. In this paper, we primarily address the problem of improved quadratic estimation of the random-effect variance component. It turns out that such estimators with a smaller mean squared error compared with some standard unbiased quadratic estimators exist under quite general conditions. Improved estimators of the error variance components are also established.  相似文献   
66.
The mathematical problems of the – in an communication [3] described – principle for the calculation of individual thermodynamic activity coefficients of single ionic species in concentrated electrolyte solutions are specified. It is the Newtonian approximation method that makes possible the evaluation of the constants b 1,…b 4 in the concentration function (0.1) for the product of the activity coefficients.

The efficiency of the method is represented by the example of the activity coefficients of pure and of – with other electrolytes – mixed solutions of NaCIO4. The individual activity coefficients of the single ionic species are evaluated for several electrolytes of the concentration range from m = 0 to m = 10 mole/kg and published at another place [3, 17, 18].  相似文献   
67.
In this paper, within the framework of a Bayesian model, we consider the problem of sequentially estimating the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson process with a linear exponential (LINEX) loss function and a fixed cost per unit time. An asymptotically pointwise optimal (APO) rule is proposed. It is shown to be asymptotically optimal for the arbitrary priors and asymptotically non-deficient for the conjugate priors in a similar sense of Bickel and Yahav [Asymptotically pointwise optimal procedures in sequential analysis, in Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Vol. 1, University of California Press, Berkeley, CA, 1967, pp. 401–413; Asymptotically optimal Bayes and minimax procedures in sequential estimation, Ann. Math. Statist. 39 (1968), pp. 442–456] and Woodroofe [A.P.O. rules are asymptotically non-deficient for estimation with squared error loss, Z. Wahrsch. verw. Gebiete 58 (1981), pp. 331–341], respectively. The proposed APO rule is illustrated using a real data set.  相似文献   
68.
Jin Zhang 《Statistics》2013,47(4):792-799
The Pareto distribution is an important distribution in statistics, which has been widely used in finance, physics, hydrology, geology, astronomy, and so on. Even though the parameter estimation for the Pareto distribution has been well established in the literature, the estimation problem for the truncated Pareto distribution becomes complex. This article investigates the bias and mean-squared error of the maximum-likelihood estimation for the truncated Pareto distribution, and some useful results are obtained.  相似文献   
69.
The family of skew distributions introduced by Azzalini and extended by others has received widespread attention. However, it suffers from complicated inference procedures. In this paper, a new family of skew distributions that overcomes the difficulties is introduced. This new family belongs to the exponential family. Many properties of this family are studied, inference procedures developed and simulation studies performed to assess the procedures. Some particular cases of this family, evidence of its flexibility and a real data application are presented. At least 10 advantages of the new family over Azzalini's distributions are established.  相似文献   
70.
This paper concludes our comprehensive study on point estimation of model parameters of a gamma distribution from a second-order decision theoretic point of view. It should be noted that efficient estimation of gamma model parameters for samples ‘not large’ is a challenging task since the exact sampling distributions of the maximum likelihood estimators and its variants are not known. Estimation of a gamma scale parameter has received less attention from the earlier researchers compared to shape parameter estimation. What we have observed here is that improved estimation of the shape parameter does not necessarily lead to improved scale estimation if a natural moment condition (which is also the maximum likelihood restriction) is satisfied. Therefore, this work deals with the gamma scale parameter estimation as a separate new problem, not as a by-product of the shape parameter estimation, and studies several estimators in terms of second-order risk.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号