论乐器在影片中的作用

电影音乐是电影话语的一个重要组成部分,而器乐以其丰富的表现力起着独特的作用。不同乐器的不同音色能突现电影音乐主题、刻画电影人物和渲染影片情节及风格。     

新闻言论散论

新闻言论写作要有感而发,要有自己的见解,要巧妙构思,要简炼,可以恰当用典.     

浅谈虚静的静中之“动”

本文从心理学角度探讨了中国古代文论中虚静的内在活动机制对创作的重要作用。作者认为，虚静中有深层心理活动，外“静”(理性抑制)为内“动”(无意识兴奋)提供了心理空间，并导致“动”的产生，引起个人无意识、集体无意识的活跃，为构思创作既带上个人风格，又具有共性奠定基础。另外，通过虚静与醉、梦的比较，进一步分析了虚静的动态心理特征。     

A Universal QQ-Plot for Continuous Non-homogeneous Populations

This article presents a universal quantile-quantile (QQ) plot that may be used to assess the fit of a family of absolutely continuous distribution functions in a possibly non-homogeneous population. This plot is more general than probability plotting papers because it may be used for distributions having more than two parameters. It is also more general than standard quantile-quantile plots because it may be used for families of not-necessarily identical distributions. In particular, the universal QQ plot may be used in the context of non-homogeneous Poisson processes, generalized linear models, and other general models.     

The Expected Value of Information and the Probability of Surprise

Risk assessors attempting to use probabilistic approaches to describe uncertainty often find themselves in a data-sparse situation: available data are only partially relevant to the parameter of interest, so one needs to adjust empirical distributions, use explicit judgmental distributions, or collect new data. In determining whether or not to collect additional data, whether by measurement or by elicitation of experts, it is useful to consider the expected value of the additional information. The expected value of information depends on the prior distribution used to represent current information; if the prior distribution is too narrow, in many risk-analytic cases the calculated expected value of information will be biased downward. The well-documented tendency toward overconfidence, including the neglect of potential surprise, suggests this bias may be substantial. We examine the expected value of information, including the role of surprise, test for bias in estimating the expected value of information, and suggest procedures to guard against overconfidence and underestimation of the expected value of information when developing prior distributions and when combining distributions obtained from multiple experts. The methods are illustrated with applications to potential carcinogens in food, commercial energy demand, and global climate change.     

三种方法求解Z=X+Y的概率密度

本文通过一道例题揭示了Z=X+Y的三种解决方法,方便同学们根据自己的情况选择适合自己的方法。     

AN INVESTIGATION OF MOTIVATIONAL BIAS IN SUBJECTIVE PREDICTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS*

In this paper the problem of conscious motivational bias in the assessment of subjective predictive probability distributions is explored. The primary purpose of this research is to discover how subjects express their bias. Results of an experiment are reported in which subjective distributions were assessed by subjects, first in the absence of a biasing incentive and then in the presence of an incentive to bias upward coupled with an incentive to be “credible.” In the biased task, subjects reported manipulating up to five characteristics of their distribution, such as location, shape, and dispersion. Furthermore, subjects reported using combinations of the characteristics strategically. Dominant strategies included shifting the mode upward and redistributing probability to the left, shifting the mode upward a small amount and redistributing probability to the right, and shifting the mode upward and tightening the distribution. The location of the mode was mentioned first by nearly all subjects, suggesting that they first locate their biased distribution and then manipulate other characteristics to express their bias, need for credibility, and other concerns.     

论《弃儿汤姆·琼斯的历史》的时空体

时空体理论是俄国著名理论家巴赫金的核心理论之一,对理解和分析文学作品的艺术成就有非常重要的指导作用。运用巴赫金的\     

人身买卖犯罪的司法适用及立法评析--兼析最高院颁布的两个案例

拐卖妇女、儿童罪和收买被拐卖的妇女、儿童罪的法益是人格尊严 ,且系超个人法益。前罪是状态犯 ,后罪是继续犯 ,两罪既遂的标志是买卖行为完成。只有违背成年妇女意志强行与其性交的和与幼女发生性关系的 ,才是“奸淫被拐卖的妇女”。教唆他人拐卖妇女、儿童给自己收买的只需以拐卖妇女、儿童罪 (教唆犯 )一罪定罪处罚。我国刑法应取消拐卖妇女、儿童罪 ,代之以拐卖人口罪     

佳色功名两不朽 诗人意兴托风情——《游仙窟》的文学特质与美学价值

通过对唐传奇中的名篇《游仙窟》的分析 ,可以发现 ,唐传奇主要表现了一种普遍的“青楼意识” ,它具有独具的文化特质、美学价值。其情节进程的展开、整体的结构形式都具有独特的意义。思想的表达及写作的独特性更使其具有现代西方小说的显著特征。诗散皆备形式等更对后世文学产生了颇大的影响。