全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2453篇 |
免费 | 50篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 205篇 |
民族学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 12篇 |
丛书文集 | 16篇 |
理论方法论 | 8篇 |
综合类 | 108篇 |
社会学 | 9篇 |
统计学 | 2146篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 8篇 |
2022年 | 9篇 |
2021年 | 26篇 |
2020年 | 44篇 |
2019年 | 76篇 |
2018年 | 106篇 |
2017年 | 176篇 |
2016年 | 69篇 |
2015年 | 67篇 |
2014年 | 79篇 |
2013年 | 875篇 |
2012年 | 188篇 |
2011年 | 76篇 |
2010年 | 72篇 |
2009年 | 71篇 |
2008年 | 49篇 |
2007年 | 51篇 |
2006年 | 48篇 |
2005年 | 45篇 |
2004年 | 41篇 |
2003年 | 39篇 |
2002年 | 39篇 |
2001年 | 34篇 |
2000年 | 18篇 |
1999年 | 25篇 |
1998年 | 36篇 |
1997年 | 22篇 |
1996年 | 13篇 |
1995年 | 9篇 |
1994年 | 4篇 |
1993年 | 5篇 |
1992年 | 4篇 |
1991年 | 8篇 |
1990年 | 9篇 |
1989年 | 5篇 |
1988年 | 10篇 |
1987年 | 3篇 |
1986年 | 3篇 |
1985年 | 10篇 |
1984年 | 4篇 |
1983年 | 12篇 |
1982年 | 4篇 |
1981年 | 2篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有2506条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
21.
Janusz L. Wywiał 《Statistical Papers》2008,49(2):277-289
The sampling designs dependent on sample moments of auxiliary variables are well known. Lahiri (Bull Int Stat Inst 33:133–140,
1951) considered a sampling design proportionate to a sample mean of an auxiliary variable. Sing and Srivastava (Biometrika
67(1):205–209, 1980) proposed the sampling design proportionate to a sample variance while Wywiał (J Indian Stat Assoc 37:73–87,
1999) a sampling design proportionate to a sample generalized variance of auxiliary variables. Some other sampling designs
dependent on moments of an auxiliary variable were considered e.g. in Wywiał (Some contributions to multivariate methods in,
survey sampling. Katowice University of Economics, Katowice, 2003a); Stat Transit 4(5):779–798, 2000) where accuracy of some
sampling strategies were compared, too.These sampling designs cannot be useful in the case when there are some censored observations
of the auxiliary variable. Moreover, they can be much too sensitive to outliers observations. In these cases the sampling
design proportionate to the order statistic of an auxiliary variable can be more useful. That is why such an unequal probability
sampling design is proposed here. Its particular cases as well as its conditional version are considered, too. The sampling
scheme implementing this sampling design is proposed. The inclusion probabilities of the first and second orders were evaluated.
The well known Horvitz–Thompson estimator is taken into account. A ratio estimator dependent on an order statistic is constructed.
It is similar to the well known ratio estimator based on the population and sample means. Moreover, it is an unbiased estimator
of the population mean when the sample is drawn according to the proposed sampling design dependent on the appropriate order
statistic. 相似文献
22.
Robin Willink 《Revue canadienne de statistique》2008,36(4):623-637
If the unknown mean of a univariate population is sufficiently close to the value of an initial guess then an appropriate shrinkage estimator has smaller average squared error than the sample mean. This principle has been known for some time, but it does not appear to have found extension to problems of interval estimation. The author presents valid two‐sided 95% and 99% “shrinkage” confidence intervals for the mean of a normal distribution. These intervals are narrower than the usual interval based on the Student distribution when the population mean lies in such an “effective interval.” A reduction of 20% in the mean width of the interval is possible when the population mean is sufficiently close to the value of the guess. The author also describes a modification to existing shrinkage point estimators of the general univariate mean that enables the effective interval to be enlarged. 相似文献
23.
Any continuous bivariate distribution can be expressed in terms of its margins and a unique copula. In the case of extreme‐value distributions, the copula is characterized by a dependence function while each margin depends on three parameters. The authors propose a Bayesian approach for the simultaneous estimation of the dependence function and the parameters defining the margins. They describe a nonparametric model for the dependence function and a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of the Bayesian estimator. They show through simulations that their estimator has a smaller mean integrated squared error than classical nonparametric estimators, especially in small samples. They illustrate their approach on a hydrological data set. 相似文献
24.
Song Xi Chen Wolfgang Härdle Ming Li 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2003,65(3):663-678
Summary. Standard goodness-of-fit tests for a parametric regression model against a series of nonparametric alternatives are based on residuals arising from a fitted model. When a parametric regression model is compared with a nonparametric model, goodness-of-fit testing can be naturally approached by evaluating the likelihood of the parametric model within a nonparametric framework. We employ the empirical likelihood for an α -mixing process to formulate a test statistic that measures the goodness of fit of a parametric regression model. The technique is based on a comparison with kernel smoothing estimators. The empirical likelihood formulation of the test has two attractive features. One is its automatic consideration of the variation that is associated with the nonparametric fit due to empirical likelihood's ability to Studentize internally. The other is that the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is free of unknown parameters, avoiding plug-in estimation. We apply the test to a discretized diffusion model which has recently been considered in financial market analysis. 相似文献
25.
Estimation for Continuous Branching Processes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Ludger Overbeck 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》1998,25(1):111-126
The maximum-likelihood estimator for the curved exponential family given by continuous branching processes with immigration is investigated. These processes originated from population biology but also model the dynamics of interest rates and development of the state of technology in economics. It is proved that in contrast to branching processes with discrete space and/or time the MLE gives a unified approach to the inference. In order to include singular subdomains of the parameter space we modify the MLE slightly. Consistency and asymptotic normality for the MLE are considered. Concerning the asymptotic theory of the experiments, all three properties LAQ, LAN, and LAMN occur for different submodels 相似文献
26.
Local linear curve estimators are typically constructed using a compactly supported kernel, which minimizes edge effects and (in the case of the Epanechnikov kernel) optimizes asymptotic performance in a mean square sense. The use of compactly supported kernels can produce numerical problems, however. A common remedy is ridging, which may be viewed as shrinkage of the local linear estimator towards the origin. In this paper we propose a general form of shrinkage, and suggest that, in practice, shrinkage be towards a proper curve estimator. For the latter we propose a local linear estimator based on an infinitely supported kernel. This approach is resistant against selection of too large a shrinkage parameter, which can impair performance when shrinkage is towards the origin. It also removes problems of numerical instability resulting from using a compactly supported kernel, and enjoys very good mean squared error properties. 相似文献
27.
The Big Five personality factors and team performance: implications for selecting successful product design teams 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In the pursuit of faster product development, product design teams are a growing phenomenon in many organizations. In order to be successful, these teams must be composed of people who work well together. However, despite the benefit of selecting the optimal combination of team members, this topic has received little attention. Personality has been identified as a potentially helpful selection variable in the determination of optimal team composition. This study examines the relationships between the ‘Big Five’ personality factors (Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Neuroticism, Agreeableness, and Openness to Experience) and objective team performance for three-member product design teams. In addition to this, the potential incremental contribution of personality to the variance in team performance over that accounted for by established selection measures such as general cognitive ability was investigated. In the short duration of the study, it became apparent that some teams were capable of success, and some were not. Successful teams were characterized by higher levels of general cognitive ability, higher extraversion, higher agreeableness, and lower neuroticism than their unsuccessful counterparts. In successful teams, the heterogeneity of conscientiousness was negatively related to increments in product performance. Implications for the selection of product design teams and future directions for research are discussed. 相似文献
28.
Application of software for manufacturing processes is one of the resolutions many enterprises have resorted to in the 21st century. This has been a result of increased complexity of products, globalization, rapid changes in technology and so on. The idea was that application of software especially for product development would increase the competitive advantage of industry nevertheless the irony has been that most of the investment in software has not achieved the expected results. We carry out a case study to introduce a methodology, the analytical network process as a multiattribute strategic decision making approach to help in the selection of appropriate software to suit the product development process of a particular product. 相似文献
29.
The impact and management of cognitive gap in high performance product development organizations 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Kathryn W. Jablokow David E. Booth 《Journal of Engineering and Technology Management》2006,23(4):313-336
The close alignment of applied research and development units with manufacturing operational structures can provide excellent opportunities for maintaining robust product pipelines and reducing product development cycle times. Within such an integrated organizational model (IOM), however, lies a potentially disruptive psychological mechanism that can lead to the dissolution of this delicate partnership if it is not handled properly. This mechanism is cognitive gap, which can take several basic forms: first, as differences between the nature and difficulty of the problem at hand and the cognitive resources of the problem solvers tasked with its solution; and second, as differences between the cognitive abilities and approaches of the problem solvers themselves. In this paper, we define and discuss cognitive gap within the context of Kirton's Adaption-Innovation theory, a useful framework for understanding problem solving (and problem solvers) in general. Specific implications (both favourable and potentially destructive) of cognitive gaps for high performance product development organizations are discussed, and suggestions for their effective management are offered. 相似文献
30.
Tatiene C. Souza Tarciana L. Pereira Francisco Cribari-Neto Verônica M. C. Lima 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2016,45(2):625-642
We consider testing inference in inflated beta regressions subject to model misspecification. In particular, quasi-z tests based on sandwich covariance matrix estimators are described and their finite sample behavior is investigated via Monte Carlo simulations. The numerical evidence shows that quasi-z testing inference can be considerably more accurate than inference made through the usual z tests, especially when there is model misspecification. Interval estimation is also considered. We also present an empirical application that uses real (not simulated) data. 相似文献