对应原理的推广及其创新内涵

将玻尔的对应原理加以推广,指出其作用不仅限于是经典物理和量子物理之间的联系,而且普遍存在于物理学中任何高一级理论和低一级理论之间以及理想模型与客观真实之间的联系中;分析了对应原理的思想内核--极限条件下的转化标准和科学创新精神等内涵.     

Preliminary phi-divergence test estimators for linear restrictions in a logistic regression model

The problem of estimation of the parameters in a logistic regression model is considered under multicollinearity situation when it is suspected that the parameter of the logistic regression model may be restricted to a subspace. We study the properties of the preliminary test based on the minimum ϕ -divergence estimator as well as in the ϕ -divergence test statistic. The minimum ϕ -divergence estimator is a natural extension of the maximum likelihood estimator and the ϕ -divergence test statistics is a family of the test statistics for testing the hypothesis that the regression coefficients may be restricted to a subspace.     

Wavelet-based estimators of multivariable mean regression function with long-memory data

Wavelet analysis has been proved to be a powerful statistical technique in the non parametric regression. In this paper, we propose non linear wavelet-based estimators for multivariable mean regression function with long-memory data. We also provide an asymptotic expansion for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of the function estimators. This MISE expansion still works even when the underlying mean regression function is only piecewise smooth. This paper extends the corresponding results in the literature for single variable to multivariable case.     

Asymptotic normality and mean consistency for the weighted estimator in nonparametric regression models

In this paper, we mainly study the asymptotic properties of weighted estimator for the nonparametric regression model based on linearly negative quadrant dependent (LNQD, for short) errors. We obtain the rate of uniformly asymptotic normality of the weighted estimator which is nearly $O\left(n^{?1∕4}\right)$ when the moment condition is appropriate. The results generalize the corresponding ones of Yang (2003) from NA samples to LNQD samples and improve or extend the corresponding one of Li et al. (2012) for LNQD samples. Moreover, we obtain some results on mean consistency, uniformly mean consistency, and the rate of mean consistency for the weighted estimator. Finally we carry out some simulations to verify the validity of our results.     

Pooling means under uncertain prior information with application to discrete distributions

The problem of pooling means is considered based on two samples in presence of the uncertain prior information that these samples are taken from possibly identical populations. Two discrete models, Poisson and binomial are considered in particular. Three estimators, i.e. the unrestricted estimator, shrinkage restricted estimator and estimators based on preliminary test are proposed. Their asymptotic mean squared errors are derived and compared. It is demonstrated via asymptotic results that the range of the parameter space in which shrinkage preliminary test estimator dominates the unrestricted estimator is wider than that of the usual preliminary test estimator. A Monte Carlo study for Poisson model is presented to compare the performance of the estimators for small samples.     

Estimation of P(Y < X) for Weibull Distribution Under Progressive Type-II Censoring

Based on progressively Type II censored samples, we consider the estimation of R = P(Y < X) when X and Y are two independent Weibull distributions with different shape parameters, but having the same scale parameter. The maximum likelihood estimator, approximate maximum likelihood estimator, and Bayes estimator of R are obtained. Based on the asymptotic distribution of R, the confidence interval of R are obtained. Two bootstrap confidence intervals are also proposed. Analysis of a real data set is given for illustrative purposes. Monte Carlo simulations are also performed to compare the different proposed methods.     

Powerful Trend Function Tests That Are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation,With an Application to the Prebisch–Singer Hypothesis

We propose tests for hypotheses on the parameters of the deterministic trend function of a univariate time series. The tests do not require knowledge of the form of serial correlation in the data, and they are robust to strong serial correlation. The data can contain a unit root and still have the correct size asymptotically. The tests that we analyze are standard heteroscedasticity autocorrelation robust tests based on nonparametric kernel variance estimators. We analyze these tests using the fixed-b asymptotic framework recently proposed by Kiefer and Vogelsang. This analysis allows us to analyze the power properties of the tests with regard to bandwidth and kernel choices. Our analysis shows that among popular kernels, specific kernel and bandwidth choices deliver tests with maximal power within a specific class of tests. Based on the theoretical results, we propose a data-dependent bandwidth rule that maximizes integrated power. Our recommended test is shown to have power that dominates a related test proposed by Vogelsang. We apply the recommended test to the logarithm of a net barter terms of trade series and we find that this series has a statistically significant negative slope. This finding is consistent with the well-known Prebisch–Singer hypothesis.     

Multiproduct cost-volume-profit model with product limits

A multiproduct cost-volume-profit model is extended to incorporate sales or product capacity limits for each product, required rate of return on sales, and the tax rate depending on profit levels as determined by the government. The model also deals with overhead costs that are traceable to a group of products but which cannot be allocated to individual products within the group to any reasonable accuracy. To solve the model, an algorithm is constructed to determine the required volume for each product that will achieve the best possible rate of return on sales revenue. Based upon the dBase Database Management System and the CVP model, a user-friendly menu-driven interactive decision support system is developed. The model algorithm and decision support system is illustrated with an example consisting of five products. Various reports generated by the interactive decision support system are also presented.     

Multivariate Saddlepoint test for the wrapped normal model

In this article we show the effectiveness and the accuracy of the test statistic based on the expnnent of the saddlepoint approximation for the density of M-estimators, proposed by Robinson, Ronchetti and Young (1999), for testing simultaneous hypotheses on the mean and on the variance of a wrapped normal distribution. We base this test statistic on the trigonometric method of moments estimator proposed by Gatto and Jammalamadaka (l999b), which admits the M-estimator representation necessary for this test. This test statistic has an approximate chi-squared distribution, asympiotically up to the second order, and the high accuracy of this approximation is shown by numerical simulations.     

基于我国高储蓄特征的存款保险限额研究

能否有效设计存款保险制度的保护，将直接影响到存款保险制度作用的发挥。基于我国高储蓄特征的情况，文章认为我国应当采用金额存款保险与部分限额保险相结合的设计方式；通过对我国居民金融投资构成分析，我国应设定较高的存款保险保护比例。