E-Bayesian estimation of the exponentiated distribution family parameter under LINEX loss function

This paper is concerned with using the E-Bayesian method for computing estimates of the exponentiated distribution family parameter. Based on the LINEX loss function, formulas of E-Bayesian estimation for unknown parameter are given, these estimates are derived based on a conjugate prior. Moreover, property of E-Bayesian estimation—the relationship between of E-Bayesian estimations under different prior distributions of the hyper parameters are also provided. A comparison between the new method and the corresponding maximum likelihood techniques is conducted using the Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, combined with the golfers income data practical problem are calculated, the results show that the proposed method is feasible and convenient for application.     

M-estimation and model identification based on double SCAD penalization

M-estimation is a widely used method for robust statistical inference. In this article, using a B-spline series approximation with a double smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalization, we solve the problem of simultaneous variable selection and parametric component identification in a non parametric additive model. The theoretical properties of the double non concave penalized M-estimation are established. The proposed approach is resistant to heavy-tailed errors or outliers in the responses. Simulation studies for finite-sample cases are conducted and a real dataset is also analyzed for illustration of this new approach.     

基于矩阵奇异值分解的空间谱估计算法

本文提出了一种利用矩阵奇异值分解来作空间谱估计的方法,即对由天线阵获取的数据所构成的数据矩阵作奇异值分解、删除来自噪声的贡献的诸最小奇异值以改善信噪比,并利用噪声奇异向量和天线阵的方向向量正交的性质来计算空间谱。除了奇异值分解算法本身给计算稳定性带来好处外,本方法的谱估计性能和计算量均优于近几年来国外广泛关注的一种谱估计算法——MUSIC算法。本方法可用于高分辨的测向系统中。     

Distributions minimizing fisher information for scale in kolmogorov neighbourhoods

We construct those distributions minimizing Fisher information for scale in Kolmogorov neighbourhoods K_?(G) = {F|sup_x|F(x) - G(x| ? ?} of d.f.'s G satisfying certain mild conditions. The theory is sufficiently general to include those cases in which G is normal, Laplace, logistic, Student's t, etc. As well, we consider G(x) = 1 - e^-x, ? 0, and correct some errors in the literature concerning this case.     

Analytic Bayesian Solution of the Two-Stage Poisson-Type Problem in Probabilistic Risk Analysis

The basic purpose of probabilistic risk analysis is to make inferences about the probabilities of various postulated events, with an account of all relevant information such as prior knowledge and operating experience with the specific system under study, as well as experience with other similar systems. Estimation of the failure rate of a Poisson-type system leads to an especially simple Bayesian solution in closed form if the prior probability implied by the invariance properties of the problem is properly taken into account. This basic simplicity persists if a more realistic prior, representing order of magnitude knowledge of the rate parameter, is employed instead. Moreover, the more realistic prior allows direct incorporation of experience gained from other similar systems, without need to postulate a statistical model for an underlying ensemble. The analytic formalism is applied to actual nuclear reactor data.     

A Discrete Time Parametric Model for the Analysis of Failure Time Data

This paper introduces a parametric discrete failure time model which allows a variety of smooth hazard function shapes, including shapes which are not readily available with continuous failure time models. The model is easy to fit, and statistical inference is simple. Further, it is readily extended to allow for differences between subjects while retaining the ease of fit and simplicity of statistical inference. The performance of the discrete time analysis is demonstrated by application to several data sets.     

Comparison of a genetic algorithm and simulated annealing in an application to statistical image reconstruction

Genetic algorithms (GAs) are adaptive search techniques designed to find near-optimal solutions of large scale optimization problems with multiple local maxima. Standard versions of the GA are defined for objective functions which depend on a vector of binary variables. The problem of finding the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate of a binary image in Bayesian image analysis appears to be well suited to a GA as images have a natural binary representation and the posterior image probability is a multi-modal objective function. We use the numerical optimization problem posed in MAP image estimation as a test-bed on which to compare GAs with simulated annealing (SA), another all-purpose global optimization method. Our conclusions are that the GAs we have applied perform poorly, even after adaptation to this problem. This is somewhat unexpected, given the widespread claims of GAs' effectiveness, but it is in keeping with work by Jennison and Sheehan (1995) which suggests that GAs are not adept at handling problems involving a great many variables of roughly equal influence.We reach more positive conclusions concerning the use of the GA's crossover operation in recombining near-optimal solutions obtained by other methods. We propose a hybrid algorithm in which crossover is used to combine subsections of image reconstructions obtained using SA and we show that this algorithm is more effective and efficient than SA or a GA individually.     

Developments in sample survey theory: An appraisal

Recent developments in sample survey theory include the following topics: foundational aspects of inference, resampling methods for variance and confidence interval estimation, imputation for nonresponse and analysis of complex survey data. An overview and appraisal of some of these developments are presented.     

标准伽玛分布族参数的EB估计的收敛速度

本文构造了标准伽玛分布族参数的EB估计，并给出了该估计的收敛速度。在适当的条件下，该速度可以分别充分接近于1／2和1。     

分析传动误差的时序模型法

介绍了齿轮传动链误差的时序建模及其几种典型时序谱估计的比较,并提出一种适于表示传动误差的时序模型。