首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   6108篇
  免费   137篇
  国内免费   71篇
管理学   645篇
劳动科学   2篇
民族学   34篇
人口学   73篇
丛书文集   317篇
理论方法论   168篇
综合类   2141篇
社会学   306篇
统计学   2630篇
  2025年   2篇
  2024年   19篇
  2023年   48篇
  2022年   48篇
  2021年   55篇
  2020年   132篇
  2019年   154篇
  2018年   183篇
  2017年   269篇
  2016年   161篇
  2015年   159篇
  2014年   231篇
  2013年   995篇
  2012年   482篇
  2011年   253篇
  2010年   245篇
  2009年   232篇
  2008年   265篇
  2007年   318篇
  2006年   293篇
  2005年   287篇
  2004年   246篇
  2003年   244篇
  2002年   204篇
  2001年   182篇
  2000年   126篇
  1999年   67篇
  1998年   51篇
  1997年   52篇
  1996年   55篇
  1995年   34篇
  1994年   27篇
  1993年   28篇
  1992年   28篇
  1991年   19篇
  1990年   9篇
  1989年   14篇
  1988年   21篇
  1987年   12篇
  1986年   7篇
  1985年   10篇
  1984年   10篇
  1983年   7篇
  1982年   7篇
  1981年   5篇
  1980年   3篇
  1979年   4篇
  1978年   6篇
  1977年   3篇
  1975年   3篇
排序方式: 共有6316条查询结果,搜索用时 406 毫秒
71.
This article characterizes uniform convergence rate for general classes of wavelet expansions of stationary Gaussian random processes. The convergence in probability is considered.  相似文献   
72.
A statistical distribution of a random variable is uniquely represented by its normal-based quantile function. For a symmetrical distribution it is S-shaped (for negative kurtosis) and inverted S-shaped (otherwise). As skewness departs from zero, the quantile function gradually transforms into a monotone convex function (positive skewness) or concave function (otherwise). Recently, a new general modeling platform has been introduced, response modeling methodology, which delivers good representation to monotone convex relationships due to its unique “continuous monotone convexity” property. In this article, this property is exploited to model the normal-based quantile function, and explored using a set of 27 distributions.  相似文献   
73.
Search design is searching and estimating for a few non zero effects in a large set of effects along with estimation of elements in a set of unknown parameters. In presence of noise, the probability of discrimination between the true non zero effect from an alternative one depends on the design and an unknown parameter, say ρ. We develop a new criterion for design comparison which is independent of ρ and for a family density weight function show that it discriminates and ranks the designs precisely. This criterion is invariance to the variable noise which may be present between designs due to noise factors. This allows us to extend the design comparison to classes of equivalent designs.  相似文献   
74.
The max X2 technique for estimating rhe order of autoregressive processes (McClave (1976)) is extended to moving average models. The autöregressive-moving average duality is exploited by using the inverse autocorrelation function and the subset autoregression algorithm. The technique is demonstrated via simulations, and is applied to Box and Jenkins (1970) Series A.  相似文献   
75.
In the context of time-sequential studies, progressively censored tests for a simple regression model based on weighted empirical distributions are considered for ungrouped as well as grouped data situations. Early decision rules based on such tests are formulated. The asymptotic theory of the proposed tests rests on a construction of suitable empirical processes and their convergence (in distribution) to appropriate Gaussian functions. Critical values of the proposed test statistics are obtained by simulation, For a hypothetical example (of practical interest), a comparative study is made for the empirical powers and stopping times for some rival tests.  相似文献   
76.
This paper deals with the probability density functions of quotient of order statistics. We use the Mellin transform technique, to find the distribution of the quotient Z= X/Xwhere X.,X(i < j) are the ith and jth order statistics from the Pareto, Power and Weibull distributions  相似文献   
77.
Information on several auxiliary variables correlated with the variable under study is available in most of the sample survey studies. This paper attempts an optimal use of several auxiliary variables in the form of a single auxiliary variable obtained as a linear function of these variables. The performance of this condensed auxiliary variable has been studied in selecting the sample.  相似文献   
78.
The discrete stable family constitutes an interesting two-parameter model of distributions on the non-negative integers with a Paretian tail. The practical use of the discrete stable distribution is inhibited by the lack of an explicit expression for its probability function. Moreover, the distribution does not possess moments of any order. Therefore, the usual tools—such as the maximum-likelihood method or even the moment method—are not feasible for parameter estimation. However, the probability generating function of the discrete stable distribution is available in a simple form. Hence, we initially explore the application of some existing estimation procedures based on the empirical probability generating function. Subsequently, we propose a new estimation method by minimizing a suitable weighted L 2-distance between the empirical and the theoretical probability generating functions. In addition, we provide a goodness-of-fit statistic based on the same distance.  相似文献   
79.
Time series smoothers estimate the level of a time series at time t as its conditional expectation given present, past and future observations, with the smoothed value depending on the estimated time series model. Alternatively, local polynomial regressions on time can be used to estimate the level, with the implied smoothed value depending on the weight function and the bandwidth in the local linear least squares fit. In this article we compare the two smoothing approaches and describe their similarities. Through simulations, we assess the increase in the mean square error that results when approximating the estimated optimal time series smoother with the local regression estimate of the level.  相似文献   
80.
This article examines a test procedure for checking the constancy of serial dependence via copulas for Markov time series data. It also provides a copula-based modeling approach for the dynamic serial dependence. Various parametric families of copulas offering different dependent structures are investigated. A score test is proposed for checking the constancy of a copula parameter. The score test is constructed and its asymptotic null distribution established under a two-stage estimation procedure. The test does not require specification of the probability distribution for the copula parameter. To capture the dynamics of dependence structure over time, autoregressive moving average and exponential type models are proposed. Illustrations are given based on simulated data and historic coffee prices data.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号