Adaptive tests of regression functions via multiscale generalized likelihood ratios

Many applications of nonparametric tests based on curve estimation involve selecting a smoothing parameter. The author proposes an adaptive test that combines several generalized likelihood ratio tests in order to get power performance nearly equal to whichever of the component tests is best. She derives the asymptotic joint distribution of the component tests and that of the proposed test under the null hypothesis. She also develops a simple method of selecting the smoothing parameters for the proposed test and presents two approximate methods for obtaining its P‐value. Finally, she evaluates the proposed test through simulations and illustrates its application to a set of real data.     

Interpreting DNA Mixtures with Related Contributors in Subdivided Populations

Abstract.  In this paper, we study the statistical interpretation of forensic DNA mixtures with related contributors in subdivided populations. Compact general formulae for match probabilities are obtained for two situations: a relative of one tested person is an unknown contributor of a DNA mixture; and two related unknowns are contributors. The effect of kinship and population structure is illustrated using a real case example.     

Automobile prices and protection: The U.S.-Japan trade restraint

We examine the effects of the U.S.-Japan trade restraint on automobile prices and quality upgrading, for both Japanese imports and American small cars. From April 1981 to April 1984 the suggested retail price of all Japanese models increased by 15.8 percent, or 5.3 percent per year. We find that nearly the entire amount of this rise can be explained by the upgrading of individual models. This upgrading may benefit consumers who would purchase a luxury import in any case, but harms those who desire the basic imports. In addition to upgrading, we conclude that a second cost of the trade restraint has been to prevent the yen depreciation from being passed onto American consumers, in terms of lower imported auto prices. For U.S. small cars we find a 9.1 percent rise in the suggested retail price, or 3 percent per year, with a fraction of this amount due to model upgrading. If the yen depreciation had led to lower import prices without the trade restraint, then we expect that U.S. auto prices would have been lower, too.     

私人妨害原则与相邻权、地役权

文章剖析了英美物权法上“使用权”的概念 ,并解释了财产权就像“权利集束”这个常用比喻 ,并对美国普通法上财产法中的有关相邻方之间土地纠纷的法规进行了比较分析 ,其中特别比较了普通法上的私人妨害原则和中国物权法草案第 9章所规定的相邻权的概念 ,并将普通法体系中的各种私人土地使用协议和地役权与中国物权法草案第 16章的内容进行了对比。     

国民党对日派遣占领军问题浅析

战后国民党政府对日派遣占领军问题是在美国的亚洲政策及对日政策的影响下提出的,是国民党政府忙于打内战使此问题未果而终。这一结局影响中国战后对日处置一些问题的实施,进而影响战后一段时期亚太地区的国际关系。     

隐私权与知情权的冲突与协调

在现代社会中,权利与权利的冲突是一种较为普遍的现象.隐私权和知情权便是一对相互冲突的权利,正所谓"你要隐私,我要知情".因此如何解决两者之间的冲突,是我们不得不面对的理论和实践问题.     

近代早期英国的公地与土地的公共权利

土地的公共权利是公地的基本特征。在英国,这种权利从中世纪末期到近代早期逐渐衰弱。与此同时,公地面积也在削减,议会圈地运动只是其消失的最后一个环节,而土地的公共权利则依然存在于公地消失之后。     

论唐代科举制策试的匡时济俗功能

唐代士人参加科举制策试或私下模拟策试,都直言不讳地批评时弊,提出应对方案。他们的参政议政资格,只要报名科考即可自动获得。皇帝在开科诏令和策试题目中每每自谦德薄才寡,坦言施政失误,国家危难,恳请考生帮助自己。官方对于时政问题从来不规定标准答案,任随考生自主思考,自由表达。这种正视现实的勇气和征集、接受意见的诚恳态度,是唐代统治阶级自强、自信的一种体现。“上下雷同,非国家之福”,是时人共识。在这种背景下,策试才能产生一定的匡时济俗功能。然而,由统治阶级举办的策试,尽管可以揭示某些表层化的社会问题,却无力解决社会顽症;再加上残酷、复杂的政治派别斗争,策试匡时济俗功能的发挥必然受到限制。     

电力系统同步网的建设与思考

数字同步网已经成为了通信网营运的重要支柱之一。针对电力系统通信业务面向市场开放的需求 ,阐述了建设电力系统同步网的重要性 ;研究和分析了同步网中时钟配置、链路选择和同步方式、网络管理等技术问题 ,并对电力系统中同步网的发展提出了一些建议。     

婚龄性别比失衡对社会运行和发展的影响——来自吉林省延边朝鲜族自治州农村地区的调查分析

婚龄性别比失衡问题到底有什么样的社会影响?这些社会影响的性质、影响范围以及具体表现又是怎样?为了回答这些问题,我们对延边地区进行了实地调查和深度访谈,发现该地区的婚龄男女性别比失衡相当明显。在这些地区,由于婚龄女性人口的大量向城市(国外)流动,当地的很多成年男性到了婚龄,都面临着无妻可娶的窘境。由此,对社会造成了一些负面的影响,社会运行和发展出现了一定程度上的离轨。