Multiple decision rules for comparing several populations with a fixed known standard

Independent observations are available from k univariate distributions indexed by a real parameter θ. It is desired to select that distribution with the largest parameter value unless this value is smaller than some fixed standard θ₀ in which case no distribution is to be selected. Various single-stage procedures for this (k+l)-decision problem are discussed, using indifference zone, decision theoretic, Bayesian, and subset selection approaches.     

Testing hypotheses about covariance matrices using bootstrap methods

The usual chi-squared approximation to test statistics based on normal theory for testing covariance structures of multivariate populations is very sensitive to the normality assumption. Two general bootstrap procedures are developed in this paper to obtain approximately valid critical values for these test statistics when the data are not normally distributed. The first is based on separate sampling from individual samples, and the second is based on sampling from pooled samples. Although the second method requires more assumptions, its small sample properties are better.     

Statistical estimation for a failure model with damage accumulation in a case of small samples

A failure model with damage accumulation is considered. Damages occur according to a Poisson process and they degenerate into failures in a random time. The rate of the Poisson process and the degeneration time distribution are unknown. Two sample populations are available: a sample of intervals between damages and a sample of degeneration times. The case of small samples is considered. The purpose is to estimate the expectation and the distribution of the number of damages and failures at time t. We consider the plug-in and resampling estimators of the above mentioned characteristics. The expectations and variances of the suggested estimators are investigated. The numerical examples show that the resampling estimator has some advantages.     

Understanding the role of facial asymmetry in human face identification

Face recognition has important applications in forensics (criminal identification) and security (biometric authentication). The problem of face recognition has been extensively studied in the computer vision community, from a variety of perspectives. A relatively new development is the use of facial asymmetry in face recognition, and we present here the results of a statistical investigation of this biometric. We first show how facial asymmetry information can be used to perform three different face recognition tasks—human identification (in the presence of expression variations), classification of faces by expression, and classification of individuals according to sex. Initially, we use a simple classification method, and conduct a feature analysis which shows the particular facial regions that play the dominant role in achieving these three entirely different classification goals. We then pursue human identification under expression changes in greater depth, since this is the most important task from a practical point of view. Two different ways of improving the performance of the simple classifier are then discussed: (i) feature combinations and (ii) the use of resampling techniques (bagging and random subspaces). With these modifications, we succeed in obtaining near perfect classification results on a database of 55 individuals, a statistically significant improvement over the initial results as seen by hypothesis tests of proportions.     

FDR- and FWE-controlling methods using data-driven weights

Weighted methods are an important feature of multiplicity control methods. The weights must usually be chosen a priori, on the basis of experimental hypotheses. Under some conditions, however, they can be chosen making use of information from the data (therefore a posteriori) while maintaining multiplicity control. In this paper we provide: (1) a review of weighted methods for familywise type I error rate (FWE) (both parametric and nonparametric) and false discovery rate (FDR) control; (2) a review of data-driven weighted methods for FWE control; (3) a new proposal for weighted FDR control (data-driven weights) under independence among variables; (4) under any type of dependence; (5) a simulation study that assesses the performance of procedure of point 4 under various conditions.     

A fair evaluation of certain stage in a two-stage structure: revisiting the typical two-stage DEA approaches

The efficiency of decision processes with a two-stage structure has been studied by some modified versions of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology, such as the relational or centralized model, and the non-cooperative model. After revisiting the rationale of the centralized model provided by the literature, we find that some unfairness exist in its efficiency evaluation of certain stage. This unfairness leads to the usual underestimation of the overall efficiency by the centralized model. Furthermore, because the independent DEA model for one stage ignores its relation and coordination with the other stage and the two-stage system, externalities between these members may arise and lead to the seeming contradiction in efficiencies derived by independent DEA models for the stages and the black box system. Therefore, we argue that the efficiency of certain stage in the context of a two-stage structure should be reevaluated instead of simply using the independent DEA model. A sequence of leader-follower procedures, with data adjustment on intermediates, is proposed to eliminate the externalities and to ensure a fair evaluation. We find that, after this data adjustment, the reevaluation of the second stage for a given Decision Making Unit (DMU) yields the same result as obtained by the standard DEA model regarding the two-stage as a black box. Moreover, some explicit relations are established between the black box model, the centralized model, and the non-cooperative model. Two typical examples taken from the literature illustrate our main results. Our findings also imply that more emphasis should be placed on the game theoretic DEA approach to model the efficiency evaluation of two-stage processes.     

Prediction Intervals for Time Series: A Modified Sieve Bootstrap Approach

Traditional Box–Jenkins prediction intervals perform poorly when the innovations are not Gaussian. Nonparametric bootstrap procedures overcome this handicap, but most existing methods assume that the AR and MA orders of the process are known. The sieve bootstrap approach requires no such assumption but produces liberal coverage due to the use of residuals that underestimate the actual variance of the innovations and the failure of the methods to capture variations due to sampling error of the mean. A modified approach, that corrects these deficiencies, is implemented. Monte Carlo simulations results show that the modified version achieves nominal or near nominal coverage.     

Γ-Optimal decision procedures for selecting the best population in randomized complete block design

In randomized complete block design, we face the problem of selecting the best population. If some partial information about the unknown parameters is available, then we wish to delermine the optimal decisin rule to select the best population.

In this paper, in the class of natural selection rules, we employ the Γ-optimal criterion to determine optimal decision rules that will minimize the maximum expected risk over the class of some partial information. Furthermore, the traditional hypothesis testing is briefly discussed from the view point of ranking and selecting.     

Reflections on Meanings and Applications of Social Justice

SUMMARY

This article conveys the author's personal thoughts, views, reflections, experiences, and observations about social justice. As a value and ideal, it is what social workers and activists work toward. As a goal and result, it is an unfinished product in most organizations, institutions, communities, and societies.     

构建中国相对独立的量刑程序

独立量刑程序如何在我国刑事诉讼法中生长并发挥效用，是一个值得各方参与探讨的问题。英美法系国家定罪和量刑程序的分离模式对我国量刑专门程序的构建有重要的借鉴价值，结合我国刑事审判实际及量刑程序缺失的现状，吸收和借鉴英关法系国家先进做法，构建中国相对独立的量刑程序，具有很强的可行性和必要性。