民主革命时期毛泽东保护和发展私营经济思想论析

在民主革命时期,毛泽东同志根据中国经济落后的现实国情和中国革命的性质、任务,提出了利用、保护和发展私营经济的思想.这既是对我党历史经验的凝重总结,也是对中国社会政治经济走向的深层思考.这一认识过程的曲折反复也折射出探索中国革命道路的复杂与艰辛.     

An Application of Matrix Power Series to Linear Models

In the system of two seemingly unrelated regressions, employing a matrix power series, we show that the two-stage estimator is better than the ordinary least square estimator (OLSE) in terms of the mean square error matrix (MSEM) criterion. The result enriches the existing literature and can be applied to many fields of applications related to economics and statistics.     

Akaike Information Criterion for Selecting Variables in the Nested Error Regression Model

The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) is developed for selecting the variables of the nested error regression model where an unobservable random effect is present. Using the idea of decomposing the likelihood into two parts of “within” and “between” analysis of variance, we derive the AIC when the number of groups is large and the ratio of the variances of the random effects and the random errors is an unknown parameter. The proposed AIC is compared, using simulation, with Mallows' C _p , Akaike's AIC, and Sugiura's exact AIC. Based on the rates of selecting the true model, it is shown that the proposed AIC performs better.     

Modeling bivariate survival data using shared inverse Gaussian frailty model

ABSTRACT

The shared frailty models are often used to model heterogeneity in survival analysis. The most common shared frailty model is a model in which hazard function is a product of a random factor (frailty) and the baseline hazard function which is common to all individuals. There are certain assumptions about the baseline distribution and the distribution of frailty. In this paper, we consider inverse Gaussian distribution as frailty distribution and three different baseline distributions, namely the generalized Rayleigh, the weighted exponential, and the extended Weibull distributions. With these three baseline distributions, we propose three different inverse Gaussian shared frailty models. We also compare these models with the models where the above-mentioned distributions are considered without frailty. We develop the Bayesian estimation procedure using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique to estimate the parameters involved in these models. We present a simulation study to compare the true values of the parameters with the estimated values. A search of the literature suggests that currently no work has been done for these three baseline distributions with a shared inverse Gaussian frailty so far. We also apply these three models by using a real-life bivariate survival data set of McGilchrist and Aisbett (1991 McGilchrist, C.A., Aisbett, C.W. (1991). Regression with frailty in survival analysis. Biometrics 47:461–466.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) related to the kidney infection data and a better model is suggested for the data using the Bayesian model selection criteria.     

Robust two-level regular fractional factorial designs

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce the concept of model quality for two-level regular fractional factorial designs. Under the effect hierarchy principle, this paper raises the definition of model quality and introduces robust model-number pattern (RP) to choose the optimal robust design. Some theoretical results on this optimality and comparisons with GMC and MEC criterion are given.     

Asymptotic non-null distribution of a test connected with exponential populations

In this paper asymptotic expansions of the non-null distribution of the likelihood ratio criterion for testing the equality of several one parameter exponential distributions are obtained under local alternatives. These expansions are in terms of Chi-square distributions.     

Likelihood-based cross-validation score for selecting the smoothing parameter in maximum penalized likelihood estimation

Maximum penalized likelihood estimation is applied in non(semi)-para-metric regression problems, and enables us exploratory identification and diagnostics of nonlinear regression relationships. The smoothing parameter A controls trade-off between the smoothness and the goodness-of-fit of a function. The method of cross-validation is used for selecting A, but the generalized cross-validation, which is based on the squared error criterion, shows bad be¬havior in non-normal distribution and can not often select reasonable A. The purpose of this study is to propose a method which gives more suitable A and to evaluate the performance of it.

A method of simple calculation for the delete-one estimates in the likeli¬hood-based cross-validation (LCV) score is described. A score of similar form to the Akaike information criterion (AIC) is also derived. The proposed scores are compared with the ones of standard procedures by using data sets in liter¬atures. Simulations are performed to compare the patterns of selecting A and overall goodness-of-fit and to evaluate the effects of some factors. The LCV-scores by the simple calculation provide good approximation to the exact one if λ is not extremeiy smaii Furthermore the LCV scores by the simple size it possible to select X adaptively They have the effect, of reducing the bias of estimates and provide better performance in the sense of overall goodness-of fit. These scores are useful especially in the case of small sample size and in the case of binary logistic regression.     

Extended BIC for linear regression models with diverging number of relevant features and high or ultra-high feature spaces

In many conventional scientific investigations with high or ultra-high dimensional feature spaces, the relevant features, though sparse, are large in number compared with classical statistical problems, and the magnitude of their effects tapers off. It is reasonable to model the number of relevant features as a diverging sequence when sample size increases. In this paper, we investigate the properties of the extended Bayes information criterion (EBIC) (Chen and Chen, 2008) for feature selection in linear regression models with diverging number of relevant features in high or ultra-high dimensional feature spaces. The selection consistency of the EBIC in this situation is established. The application of EBIC to feature selection is considered in a SCAD cum EBIC procedure. Simulation studies are conducted to demonstrate the performance of the SCAD cum EBIC procedure in finite sample cases.     

The best subset of parameters in min-max linear regression

These Fortran-77 subroutines provide building blocks for Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) (Craven and Wahba, 1979) calculations in data analysis and data smoothing including ridge regression (Golub, Heath, and Wahba, 1979), thin plate smoothing splines (Wahba and Wendelberger, 1980), deconvolution (Wahba, 1982d), smoothing of generalized linear models (O'sullivan, Yandell and Raynor 1986, Green 1984 and Green and Yandell 1985), and ill-posed problems (Nychka et al., 1984, O'sullivan and Wahba, 1985). We present some of the types of problems for which GCV is a useful method of choosing a smoothing or regularization parameter and we describe the structure of the subroutines.Ridge Regression: A familiar example of a smoothing parameter is the ridge parameter X in the ridge regression problem which we write.     

乡村振兴背景下民族非遗文旅融合研究——以凉山州越西县尝新米节为例克其热哈木

在乡村振兴背景下,关注民族非遗如何守正创新,如何以现代性的姿态实现民族文化传统的传承和发展,无疑成为当前亟待解决的现实问题之一。尝新节是我国多民族共有的庆祝丰收的节日,基于文化功能理论,依托田野调查和文献资料的方法,结合口承式的彝族民间传说故事,通过记录和分析凉山州越西县尝新米节的来源及仪式过程,揭示仪式深层文化内涵和功能,挖掘该节日习俗的现代价值,并针对尝新米节现状,探析其保护、传承和发展路径,进而促进其价值转换。这有利于承继民族优秀文化,凝聚民族精神,为当地文旅发展提供精神力量和文化支撑,助力乡村振兴,同时对促进当地健康、和谐、可持续发展也具有一定的现实意义。