首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   20078篇
  免费   624篇
  国内免费   234篇
管理学   2003篇
劳动科学   2篇
民族学   70篇
人才学   4篇
人口学   323篇
丛书文集   877篇
理论方法论   394篇
综合类   8746篇
社会学   571篇
统计学   7946篇
  2024年   21篇
  2023年   145篇
  2022年   240篇
  2021年   265篇
  2020年   433篇
  2019年   556篇
  2018年   649篇
  2017年   843篇
  2016年   658篇
  2015年   682篇
  2014年   1020篇
  2013年   3164篇
  2012年   1530篇
  2011年   1196篇
  2010年   996篇
  2009年   985篇
  2008年   1075篇
  2007年   1041篇
  2006年   937篇
  2005年   812篇
  2004年   687篇
  2003年   575篇
  2002年   494篇
  2001年   450篇
  2000年   311篇
  1999年   228篇
  1998年   137篇
  1997年   161篇
  1996年   101篇
  1995年   92篇
  1994年   70篇
  1993年   58篇
  1992年   53篇
  1991年   56篇
  1990年   40篇
  1989年   28篇
  1988年   30篇
  1987年   20篇
  1986年   14篇
  1985年   21篇
  1984年   14篇
  1983年   17篇
  1982年   9篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   5篇
  1978年   5篇
  1977年   4篇
  1976年   1篇
  1975年   2篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
111.
The estimation problem for varying coefficient models has been studied by many authors. We consider the problem in the case that the unknown functions admit different degrees of smoothness. In this paper we propose a reducing component local polynomial method to estimate the unknown functions. It is shown that all of our estimators achieve the optimal convergence rates. The asymptotic distributions of our estimators are also derived. The established asymptotic results and the simulation results show that our estimators outperform the the existing two-step estimators when the coefficient functions admit different degrees of smoothness. We also develop methods to speed up the estimation of the model and the selection of the bandwidths.  相似文献   
112.
113.
There is a considerable amount of literature dealing with inference about the parameters in a heteroscedastic one-way random-effects ANOVA model. In this paper, we primarily address the problem of improved quadratic estimation of the random-effect variance component. It turns out that such estimators with a smaller mean squared error compared with some standard unbiased quadratic estimators exist under quite general conditions. Improved estimators of the error variance components are also established.  相似文献   
114.
This article examines a semiparametric test for checking the constancy of serial dependence via copula models for Markov time series. A semiparametric score test is proposed for testing the constancy of the copula parameter against stochastically varying copula parameter. The asymptotic null distribution of the test is established. A semiparametric bootstrap procedure is employed for the estimation of the variance of the proposed score test. Illustrations are given based on simulated series and historic interest rate data.  相似文献   
115.
V.B. Melas 《Statistics》2013,47(1):45-59
This paper is concerned with the optimal design problem for the particular case of non-linear parametrisation:the parameters to be estimated are included in exponents.Some properties of locally optimal designs as functions of estimated parameters are investigated and a table of such designs in given.We consider also designs to be optimal in the sense of minimax approach.  相似文献   
116.
In this paper, an exact sufficient condition for the dominance of the Stein-type shrinkage estimator over the usual unbiased estimator in a partial linear model is exhibited. Comparison result is then done under the balanced loss function. It is assumed that the vector of disturbances is typically distributed according to the law belonging to the sub-class of elliptically contoured models. It is also shown that the dominance condition is robust. Furthermore, a nonparametric estimation after estimation of the linear part is added for detecting the efficiency of the obtained results.  相似文献   
117.
The interval-censored survival data appear very frequently, where the event of interest is not observed exactly but it is only known to occur within some time interval. In this paper, we propose a location-scale regression model based on the log-generalized gamma distribution for modelling interval-censored data. We shall be concerned only with parametric forms. The proposed model for interval-censored data represents a parametric family of models that has, as special submodels, other regression models which are broadly used in lifetime data analysis. Assuming interval-censored data, we consider a frequentist analysis, a Jackknife estimator and a non-parametric bootstrap for the model parameters. We derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes and present some techniques to perform global influence.  相似文献   
118.
In this paper, we consider the estimation of the stress–strength parameter R=P(Y<X) when X and Y are independent and both are modified Weibull distributions with the common two shape parameters but different scale parameters. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling method is used for posterior inference of the reliability of the stress–strength model. The maximum-likelihood estimator of R and its asymptotic distribution are obtained. Based on the asymptotic distribution, the confidence interval of R can be obtained using the delta method. We also propose a bootstrap confidence interval of R. The Bayesian estimators with balanced loss function, using informative and non-informative priors, are derived. Different methods and the corresponding confidence intervals are compared using Monte Carlo simulations.  相似文献   
119.
Jin Zhang 《Statistics》2013,47(4):792-799
The Pareto distribution is an important distribution in statistics, which has been widely used in finance, physics, hydrology, geology, astronomy, and so on. Even though the parameter estimation for the Pareto distribution has been well established in the literature, the estimation problem for the truncated Pareto distribution becomes complex. This article investigates the bias and mean-squared error of the maximum-likelihood estimation for the truncated Pareto distribution, and some useful results are obtained.  相似文献   
120.
Well-known estimation methods such as conditional least squares, quasilikelihood and maximum likelihood (ML) can be unified via a single framework of martingale estimating functions (MEFs). Asymptotic distributions of estimates for ergodic processes use constant norm (e.g. square root of the sample size) for asymptotic normality. For certain non-ergodic-type applications, however, such as explosive autoregression and super-critical branching processes, one needs a random norm in order to get normal limit distributions. In this paper, we are concerned with non-ergodic processes and investigate limit distributions for a broad class of MEFs. Asymptotic optimality (within a certain class of non-ergodic MEFs) of the ML estimate is deduced via establishing a convolution theorem using a random norm. Applications to non-ergodic autoregressive processes, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic-type processes, and super-critical branching processes are discussed. Asymptotic optimality in terms of the maximum random limiting power regarding large sample tests is briefly discussed.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号