首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   4103篇
  免费   110篇
  国内免费   18篇
管理学   201篇
民族学   11篇
人口学   55篇
丛书文集   46篇
理论方法论   31篇
综合类   543篇
社会学   56篇
统计学   3288篇
  2024年   10篇
  2023年   22篇
  2022年   37篇
  2021年   54篇
  2020年   65篇
  2019年   144篇
  2018年   188篇
  2017年   290篇
  2016年   166篇
  2015年   127篇
  2014年   168篇
  2013年   1106篇
  2012年   333篇
  2011年   143篇
  2010年   129篇
  2009年   141篇
  2008年   146篇
  2007年   104篇
  2006年   83篇
  2005年   105篇
  2004年   88篇
  2003年   69篇
  2002年   64篇
  2001年   54篇
  2000年   60篇
  1999年   50篇
  1998年   60篇
  1997年   40篇
  1996年   17篇
  1995年   27篇
  1994年   18篇
  1993年   19篇
  1992年   21篇
  1991年   9篇
  1990年   9篇
  1989年   8篇
  1988年   9篇
  1987年   5篇
  1986年   2篇
  1985年   7篇
  1984年   6篇
  1983年   7篇
  1982年   4篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   6篇
  1979年   1篇
  1978年   1篇
  1977年   5篇
  1975年   1篇
排序方式: 共有4231条查询结果,搜索用时 625 毫秒
241.
In this paper, we adopt the Bayesian approach to expectile regression employing a likelihood function that is based on an asymmetric normal distribution. We demonstrate that improper uniform priors for the unknown model parameters yield a proper joint posterior. Three simulated data sets were generated to evaluate the proposed method which show that Bayesian expectile regression performs well and has different characteristics comparing with Bayesian quantile regression. We also apply this approach into two real data analysis.  相似文献   
242.
In this note, it is shown that the finite-sample distributions of the Wald, likelihood ratio, and Lagrange multiplier statistics in the classical linear regression model are members of the generalized beta model introduced by McDonald and Xu (1995a McDonald, J.B., Xu, Y.J. (1995a). A generalization of the beta distribution with applications. J. Econom. 66:133152.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). This is useful for examining the properties of these test statistics. For example, this characterization makes it easy to find distribution, quantile, and density functions for each test statistic, makes it clear why Wald tests may overreject the null hypothesis using asymptotic critical values, and formalizes the fact that the Lagrange multiplier statistic follows a distribution with bounded support.  相似文献   
243.
The Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filtering is widely applied to decompose macroeconomic time series, such as real Gross Domestic Product, into cyclical and trend components. This paper presents a small but practically useful modification to this approach. The reason why this modified filtering is of practical use is that it provides not only identical trend estimates as the HP filtering but also extrapolations of the trend. We provide a proof based on a ridge regression representation of the modified HP filtering. This is mainly because it enhances our understanding of the approach.  相似文献   
244.
245.
In this study, a new method for the estimation of the shrinkage and biasing parameters of Liu-type estimator is proposed. Because k is kept constant and d is optimized in Liu’s method, a (k, d) pair is not guaranteed to be the optimal point in terms of the mean square error of the parameters. The optimum (k, d) pair that minimizes the mean square error, which is a function of the parameters k and d, should be estimated through a simultaneous optimization process rather than through a two-stage process. In this study, by utilizing a different objective function, the parameters k and d are optimized simultaneously with the particle swarm optimization technique.  相似文献   
246.
The Frisch–Waugh–Lovell (FWL) (partitioned regression) theorem is essential in regression analysis. This is partly because it is quite useful to derive theoretical results. The lasso regression and the ridge regression, both of which are penalized least-squares regressions, have become popular statistical techniques. This article describes that the FWL theorem remains valid for these penalized least-squares regressions. More precisely, we demonstrate that the covariates corresponding to unpenalized regression parameters in these penalized least-squares regression can be projected out. Some other results related to the FWL theorem in such penalized least-squares regressions are also presented.  相似文献   
247.
Linear mixed models have been widely used to analyze repeated measures data which arise in many studies. In most applications, it is assumed that both the random effects and the within-subjects errors are normally distributed. This can be extremely restrictive, obscuring important features of within-and among-subject variations. Here, quantile regression in the Bayesian framework for the linear mixed models is described to carry out the robust inferences. We also relax the normality assumption for the random effects by using a multivariate skew-normal distribution, which includes the normal ones as a special case and provides robust estimation in the linear mixed models. For posterior inference, we propose a Gibbs sampling algorithm based on a mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution and multivariate skew-normal distribution. The procedures are demonstrated by both simulated and real data examples.  相似文献   
248.
In this paper, a generalized difference-based estimator is introduced for the vector parameter β in partially linear model when the errors are correlated. A generalized-difference-based almost unbiased two-parameter estimator is defined for the vector parameter β. Under the linear stochastic constraint r = Rβ + e, we introduce a new generalized-difference-based weighted mixed almost unbiased two-parameter estimator. The performance of this new estimator over the generalized-difference-based estimator and generalized- difference-based almost unbiased two-parameter estimator in terms of the MSEM criterion is investigated. The efficiency properties of the new estimator is illustrated by a simulation study. Finally, the performance of the new estimator is evaluated for a real dataset.  相似文献   
249.

Background

During the last decades, there has been an alarming and dramatic increase in the number of cesarean births in both developed and undeveloped countries. This increase has not been clinically justified but, nevertheless, has raised an important number of issues.

Aim

The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors associated with the high cesarean section rates in Lebanon.

Methods

This study is based on a sample of 29,270 Lebanese women who were pregnant between 2000 and 2015. Among these, 14,327 gave birth by cesarean section and 14,943 gave birth vaginally. To identify the risk factors of cesarean section, logistic regression was applied as a statistical method using the SPSS statistical package.

Findings

Of the 29,270 pregnant women included in the study, 49% had cesarean sections while 51% gave birth vaginally. Repeat cesarean section accounted for 23% while vaginal birth after cesarean accounted for only 0.2% of deliveries. In addition, weekdays were associated with a preference of providers to carry out more cesarean sections. According to an analysis of our data using logistic regression, the risk factors associated with the increase in cesarean section rates were advanced maternal age, elective cesarean section, malpresentation of fetus, multiple birth, prolonged pregnancy, prolonged labor, and fetal distress.

Conclusion

Based on these results, it is recommended that a new health policy be implemented to reduce the number of unnecessary cesarean deliveries in Lebanon.  相似文献   
250.
大学生参与科研是高校培养双创型人才的重要途径之一,高校经管类专业学生培养存在重理论、轻实践的现象。安徽省8所高校1406名经济管理类学生科研意愿的实证分析表明:年级、学习成绩、科研重要性认知、科研了解程度和学校科研活动开展对大学生科研意愿有显著影响。高校在经管类学生培养过程中应通过加强科研宣传推广、开设科研训练课程、丰富科研活动多样性、激励教师科研指导和开拓校外实践教学基地建设等措施增强学生参与科研的积极性,提升学生的双创能力。  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号