Computation of standard errors in seemingly unrelated regression equation models

In a seemingly unrelated regression equation model, the feasible generalized least squares estimators are used for estimating the coefficients. In this paper, the standard errors associated with these estimators are obtained.     

我国基金经理个人因素对业绩影响的实证分析

在本文中，我们将多元回归分析的方法来对我国开放式基金的基金经理个人特征因素对业绩影响进行建模分析。研究发现，基金经理的任期、学历、年龄等因素对基金的收益率影响较为显著。     

Efficiency of reduced logistic regression models

One feature of the usual polychotomous logistic regression model for categorical outcomes is that a covariate must be included in all the regression equations. If a covariate is not important in all of them, the procedure will estimate unnecessary parameters. More flexible approaches allow different subsets of covariates in different regressions. One alternative uses individualized regressions which express the polychotomous model as a series of dichotomous models. Another uses a model in which a reduced set of parameters is simultaneously estimated for all the regressions. Large-sample efficiencies of these procedures were compared in a variety of circumstances in which there was a common baseline category for the outcome and the covariates were normally distributed. For a correctly specified model, the reduced estimates were over 100% efficient for nonzero slope parameters and up to 500% efficient when the baseline frequency and the effect of interest were small. The individualized estimates could have efficiencies less than 50% when the effect of interest was large, but were also up to 130% efficient when the baseline frequency was large and the effect of interest was small. Efficiency was usually enhanced by correlation among the covariates. For an underspecified reduced model, asymptotic bias in the reduced estimates was approximately proportional to the magnitude of the omitted parameter and to the reciprocal of the baseline frequency.     

Packages for Estimating Finite Mixtures: A Review

We review five packages for estimating finite mixtures, BINOMIX, C.A. MAN, MIX, and the maximum likelihood routines of BMDP and STATA. The focus of the review is on numerical issues rather than matters such as user interface because the success or failure of an algorithm to yield a mixture model is likely to be the most important issue facing a researcher. The problem of suitable initial values is discussed throughout.     

Estimation of a rare sensitive attribute in probability proportional to size measures using Poisson distribution

We propose new variants of Land et al.’s [Estimation of a rare sensitive attribute using Poisson distribution. Statistics. 2011. DOI: 10.1080/02331888.2010.524300] randomized response model when a population consists of some clusters and the population is stratified with some clusters in each stratum. The estimator for the mean number of persons who possess a rare sensitive attribute, its variance, and the variance estimator are suggested when the parameter of a rare unrelated attribute is assumed to be known and unknown. The clusters are selected with and without replacement. When they are selected with replacement, the selecting probabilities for each cluster are defined depending on the cluster sizes and with equal probability. In addition, the variance comparison between a probability proportional to size (PPS) and PPS for stratification are performed. When the parameters vary in clusters, the stratified PPS has better efficiency than the PPS.     

Long Memory Regressors and Predictive Testing: A Two-stage Rebalancing Approach

Predictability tests with long memory regressors may entail both size distortion and incompatibility between the orders of integration of the dependent and independent variables. Addressing both problems simultaneously, this paper proposes a two-step procedure that rebalances the predictive regression by fractionally differencing the predictor based on a first-stage estimation of the memory parameter. Extensive simulations indicate that our procedure has good size, is robust to estimation error in the first stage, and can yield improved power over cases in which an integer order is assumed for the regressor. We also extend our approach beyond the standard predictive regression context to cases in which the dependent variable is also fractionally integrated, but not cointegrated with the regressor. We use our procedure to provide a valid test of forward rate unbiasedness that allows for a long memory forward premium.     

A Note on Two-Way ECM Estimation of SUR Systems on Unbalanced Panel Data

This article considers the two-way error components model (ECM) estimation of seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) on unbalanced panel by generalized least squares (GLS). As suggested by Biørn (2004 Biørn , E. ( 2004 ). Regression systems for unbalanced panel data: a stepwise maximum likelihood procedure . Journal of Econometrics 122 : 281 – 291 . [Google Scholar]) for the one-way case, in order to use the standard results for the balanced case the individuals are arranged in groups according to the number of times they are observed. Thus, the GLS estimator can be interpreted as a matrix weighted average of the group specific GLS estimators with weights equal to the inverse of their respective covariance matrices.     

Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?

We introduce easy-to-implement, regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of about 1000 daily financial assets. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily financial information and provide real-time forecast updates of the current (nowcasting) and future quarters of real GDP growth.     

SUR Approach for IV Estimation of Canonical Contagion Models

Seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method is applied to the instrumental variable (IV) estimation of the canonical contagion models. A finite sample Monte Carlo experiment shows that the resulting estimator, IV-SUR estimator, is substantially better than the existing IV estimator in terms of both bias and mean squares error under diverse circumstance of instrument, conditional heteroscedasticity, and cross-section correlation.     

A modified two-stage randomized response model for estimating the proportion of stigmatized attribute

The survey related to stigmatized characteristics leads to the non-response problem if it is conducted according to classical (direct) methods, especially, developed for non-sensitive issues; therefore, it needs to be applied appropriate survey methodology to get a reliable response from respondents in incriminating issues. Randomized response model is one of the most recent methods which is attracting the attention of survey practitioners to deal with the problems of non-response because it protects the privacy of individuals in order to acquire the truthful response. The present work proposes a new two-stage randomized response model to get rid of misleading response or non-response due to the stigmatized nature of attribute under the study. The proposed randomized response model results in the unbiased estimator of population proportion possessing the sensitive attribute. The properties of the resultant estimator have been studied and empirical comparisons are performed to show its dominance over existing estimators. Suitable recommendations have been put forward to the survey practitioners.