Applying fuzzy logic to personnel assessment: a case study

The main results of a research project spanning over several years are presented in this paper. The aim of the research was the improvement of the effectiveness of personnel assessment within a large Italian corporation operating in the research sector. The first step of the research consisted of the analysis of the raters’ behavior, so as to elicit the judgement categories and prototypes they used in the judgement formulation, based on the rating method adopted in the corporation. The second step consisted of improving the rating method using fuzzy logic. The corporate management tested the new rating method and found it more efficient and reliable than the previous one.     

Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Risk Analysis, and Bayesian Uncertainty Assessment

Standard statistical methods understate the uncertainty one should attach to effect estimates obtained from observational data. Among the methods used to address this problem are sensitivity analysis, Monte Carlo risk analysis (MCRA), and Bayesian uncertainty assessment. Estimates from MCRAs have been presented as if they were valid frequentist or Bayesian results, but examples show that they need not be either in actual applications. It is concluded that both sensitivity analyses and MCRA should begin with the same type of prior specification effort as Bayesian analysis.     

论地主阶级改革派学习西方的历史进步作用

地主阶级改革派借法自强,延缓了中国的半殖民地化进程,具体表现在:军事上,造船造炮、编练海军之举,增强了抗敌实力,减杀了洋枪洋炮的凌厉攻势;经济上,兴办洋务实业,打破了外国资本垄断,削弱了列强的经济侵略。地主阶级改革派兴办实业,促进了中国资本主义的产生和发展,具体表现在:引进机器大生产,突破了自然经济的封闭体系;洋务企业的兴办使中国自己的资本主义从无到有,最终奠定了资产阶级革命的物质基础。      

对国际金融双语教学的一点探讨

教材和教学方法是双语教学成功的关键。结合国际金融双语教学的实践,通过对比国内外教材,剖析国外原版教材的优缺点;同时就国际金融双语教学方法进行探讨并提出了自己的见解。     

市场营销研究技术的演变及发展

介绍了市场营销研究技术的演变过程 ,分析了欧美市场营销研究技术的应用现状 ,提出了市场营销技术方法的发展方向 ,认为在现有技术方法广泛运用基础上 ,非线性预测技术、混沌理论与方法、不确定型决策技术、群决策技术、模糊数学与优化方法以及定性与定量分析相结合方法等的开发和应用是市场营销研究技术方法的发展趋势。     

论南京国民政府时期的中医师考试制度与办法

在中医界的不断努力下 ,南京国民政府考试院于 1946年陆续出台了一系列的中医师考试、检核须知与办法 ,开辟了南京国民政府中医师考试的先河 ,从而进一步肯定了中医师的官方地位。同时 ,它形成了一套较为完整和规范的中医师考试制度与办法 ,有利于中医师管理 ,其某些具体措施对当代中医的发展仍具有一定的借鉴意义     

现代人格论

现代人格是现代人具有之诸种优秀素质与能力的集中表现 ,是“一言一行独立自主方显生命本质”的人生品质 ,自由开放不断探索的思维精神素质 ,不达目的决不罢休的生命意志境界。现代人格的复杂成因、动力和建构原理决定了它的培育生长决非是自发的或仅由环境决定的。     

英汉语对比和大学英语英汉翻译教学

英译翻译是大学英语教学中一项重要的转换机能 ,在教学中应得到应有的重视。要培养学生的这项机能 ,关键在于原则的合理、方法的适宜。以对原文的理解作为前提 ,从英汉语对比的角度 ,适当地采用翻译原则和技巧 ,来加强大学英语的英汉翻译教学     

Optimal sampling times in population pharmacokinetic studies

We propose a simulation-based approach to decision theoretic Bayesian optimal design. The underlying probability model is a population pharmacokinetic model which allows for correlated responses (drug concentrations) and patient-to-patient heterogeneity. We consider the problem of choosing sampling times for the anticancer agent paclitaxel, using criteria related to the total area under the curve, the time above a critical threshold and the sampling cost.     

A class of accelerated means regression models for recurrent event data

In this article, we propose a general class of accelerated means regression models for recurrent event data. The class includes the proportional means model, the accelerated failure time model and the accelerated rates model as special cases. The new model offers great flexibility in formulating the effects of covariates on the mean functions of counting processes while leaving the stochastic structure completely unspecified. For the inference on the model parameters, estimating equation approaches are developed and both large and final sample properties of the proposed estimators are established. In addition, some graphical and numerical procedures are presented for model checking. An illustration with multiple-infection data from a clinic study on chronic granulomatous disease is also provided.