排序方式: 共有89条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
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Point and interval estimators for small domains based exclusively on current and domain specific sample observations are generally ineffective because of inadequate sample-sizes. So, borrowing strength from sample values for analogous domains and simultaneously from all relevant past and auxiliary data is useful in deriving improved small domain statistics. Postulating for simplicity a linear regression model with a single covariate and a zero intercept but a time-specific domain-invariant slope we start with “synthetic” generalized regression predictors for the domain totals. These borrow across only domains. For further improvements a simple autoregressive model is postulated for the slope parameters. Employing Kalman filtering the previous predictors are revised to borrow supplementary strength across time. As drastic simplifying assumptions are needed in such predictions the efficacy of the procedure is examined through an empirical exercise using live data as well as simulations. The numerical findings turn out encouraging. 相似文献
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Arijit Chaudhuri 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2020,49(22):5419-5426
AbstractUsing a model-assisted approach, this paper studies asymptotically design-unbiased (ADU) estimation of a population “distribution function” and extends to deriving an asymptotic and approximate unbiased estimator for a population quantile from a sample chosen with varying probabilities. The respective asymptotic standard errors and confidence intervals are then worked out. Numerical findings based on an actual data support the theory with efficient results. 相似文献
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《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(6):783-795
Binary data are often of interest in business surveys, particularly when the aim is to characterize grouping in the businesses making up the survey population. When small area estimates are required for such binary data, use of standard estimation methods based on linear mixed models (LMMs) becomes problematic. We explore two model-based techniques of small area estimation for small area proportions, the empirical best predictor (EBP) under a generalized linear mixed model and the model-based direct estimator (MBDE) under a population-level LMM. Our empirical results show that both the MBDE and the EBP perform well. The EBP is a computationally intensive method, whereas the MBDE is easy to implement. In case of model misspecification, the MBDE also appears to be more robust. The mean-squared error (MSE) estimation of MBDE is simple and straightforward, which is in contrast to the complicated MSE estimation for the EBP. 相似文献
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《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(4):824-838
In this paper, we consider the prediction of a future observation based on a type-I hybrid censored sample when the lifetime distribution of experimental units is assumed to be a Weibull random variable. Different classical and Bayesian point predictors are obtained. Bayesian predictors are obtained using squared error and linear-exponential loss functions. We also provide a simulation consistent method for computing Bayesian prediction intervals. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the different methods, and one data analysis has been presented for illustrative purposes. 相似文献
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Larry W. Taylor 《Econometric Reviews》2013,32(1):109-118
Abstract: The predictor that minimizes mean-squared prediction error is used to derive a goodness-of-fit measure that offers an asymptotically valid model selection criterion for a wide variety of regression models. In particular, a new goodness-of-fit criterion (cr2) is proposed for censored or otherwise limited dependent variables. The new goodness-of-fit measure is then applied to the analysis of duration. 相似文献
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《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(3):639-659
Abstract In many experimental situations, the average treatment performance within its own group is used as a benchmark to be compared with each individual treatment. Multiple comparison procedures with the average (MCA) are thus proposed. A simulation comparison study of the traditional MCA, the single-stage MCA and the two-stage MCA for normal distribution under heteroscedasticity is investigated by the Monte-Carlo techniques in this paper. It was found that the two-stage MCA has shorter confidence length than the single-stage MCA for most cases and it is also more robust for non-normal distributions. Therefore, the two-stage MCA is recommended. But when the additional samples at the second stage could be costly, the data-analysis oriented single-stage MCA can be used. A biometrical example to illustrate the single-stage MCA and the two-stage MCA with equal confidence length is also given in this article. 相似文献
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Nicole H. Augustin Stefan Lang Monica Musio Klaus von Wilpert 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2007,56(1):29-50
Summary. The data that are analysed are from a monitoring survey which was carried out in 1994 in the forests of Baden-Württemberg, a federal state in the south-western region of Germany. The survey is part of a large monitoring scheme that has been carried out since the 1980s at different spatial and temporal resolutions to observe the increase in forest damage. One indicator for tree vitality is tree defoliation, which is mainly caused by intrinsic factors, age and stand conditions, but also by biotic (e.g. insects) and abiotic stresses (e.g. industrial emissions). In the survey, needle loss of pine-trees and many potential covariates are recorded at about 580 grid points of a 4 km × 4 km grid. The aim is to identify a set of predictors for needle loss and to investigate the relationships between the needle loss and the predictors. The response variable needle loss is recorded as a percentage in 5% steps estimated by eye using binoculars and categorized into healthy trees (10% or less), intermediate trees (10–25%) and damaged trees (25% or more). We use a Bayesian cumulative threshold model with non-linear functions of continuous variables and a random effect for spatial heterogeneity. For both the non-linear functions and the spatial random effect we use Bayesian versions of P -splines as priors. Our method is novel in that it deals with several non-standard data requirements: the ordinal response variable (the categorized version of needle loss), non-linear effects of covariates, spatial heterogeneity and prediction with missing covariates. The model is a special case of models with a geoadditive or more generally structured additive predictor. Inference can be based on Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques or mixed model technology. 相似文献
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Mohammad Z. Raqab 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(7):1553-1568
In this paper we establish an optimal asymptotic linear predictor which does not involve the finite-sample variance-covariance structure. Extensions to the problem of finding the best linear unbiased and simple linear unbiased predictors for k samples are given. Moreover, we obtain alternative linear predictors by modifying the covariance matrix by either an identity matrix or a diagonal matrix. For normal, logistic and Rayleigh samples of size 10, the alternative linear predictors with these modifications have high efficiency when compared with the best linear unbiased predictor. 相似文献