关注公民公平感——我国部分公民公平感调查报告

对我国部分普通民众进行的"公民公平感"问卷调查表明,人们在司法、医疗、住房、就业、教育、尊重和户籍制度等问题上,通过比较自己与他人、过去与现在、地区间与行业间,都对社会有着基本的认同与公平感受以及较强的纳税意愿。调查结果显示,在引起不公平感的诸多社会现象中,人们对普通百姓看不起大病重病、贫富差距拉大和普通百姓买不起房三大问题意见集中,并把对抗大病风险的医疗保障、缩小贫富差距和调控房价等方面的责任与期望赋予了政府。     

AHP法在调查队信息化建设决策中的应用

文章结合国家统计局湖南调查队系统的特点,在信息化建设决策中运用AHP法建立目标决策的层次分析模型。设计调查问卷获取决策所需数据,将数据进行统计处理后运用到模型中,分析出调查队信息化建设应关注的几个重点,并对其重要性排序,最终得出信息化建设决策的关键所在。     

基于随机森林模型的分类数据缺失值插补

缺失数据是影响调查问卷数据质量的重要因素,对调查问卷中的缺失值进行插补可以显著提高调查数据的质量。调查问卷的数据类型多以分类型数据为主,数据挖掘技术中的分类算法是处理属性分类问题的常用方法,随机森林模型是众多分类算法中精度较高的方法之一。将随机森林模型引入调查问卷缺失数据的插补研究中,提出了基于随机森林模型的分类数据缺失值插补方法,并根据不同的缺失模式探讨了相应的插补步骤。通过与其它方法的实证模拟比较,表明随机森林插补法得到的插补值准确度更优、可信度更高。     

对我国2010年人口普查事后调查工作的若干建议

人口普查不可能100％计数每一个人。世界上许多国家都在人口普查后组织事后调查,使用双系统估计量另行求得一个全国人口真实数的估计数,并以此为标准估计人口普查的净遗漏率。我国历次人口普查后都进行了事后调查,其主要缺陷是未对抽取的样本事后分层,未估计“全国真实的人口数”。建议我国2010年事后调查方案在克服这两个缺陷的基础上科学确定全国的样本总量。实行两步抽样等。     

Assessing the devolution revolution: How accurate are state-level estimates from the current population survey

The devolution of many social policy responsibilities from the Federal government to states has prompted increased interest in state-level measures of need. One data source that could be used to provide more state-level information on a variety of topics is the Current Population Survey (CPS). During the past ten years the CPS has been used to produce state-level estimates on a variety of measures. However, there has been little systematic evaluation of these data. This paper provides measures of accuracy for several state-level estimates derived from the CPS. These include standard errors for single-year estimates, three-year averages, and five-year averages of the March CPS measures; standard errors for three-year averages of 12-month CPS files; and comparison of CPS-based estimates to data from the Decennial Census. The paper also examines the relative accuracy of CPS estimates based on states' size. The information in this study will help analysts better understand the tradeoffs between timeliness and accuracy to be considered when using state-level estimates derived from the CPS.     

Multidimensional poverty: An alternative measurement approach for the United States?

International poverty research has increasingly underscored the need to use multidimensional approaches to measure poverty. Largely embraced in Europe and elsewhere, this has not had much impact on the way poverty is measured in the United States. In this paper, I use a comprehensive multidimensional framework including economic well-being, capability, and social inclusion to examine poverty in the US. Data from the 2004 General Social Survey support the interconnectedness among these poverty dimensions, indicating that the multidimensional framework utilizing a comprehensive set of information provides a compelling value added to poverty measurement. The suggested demographic characteristics of the various categories of the poor are somewhat similar between this approach and other traditional approaches. But the more comprehensive and accurate measurement outcomes from this approach help policymakers target resources at the specific groups.     

Variance estimation for the 2006 French housing survey

In the 2006 French housing survey, information is collected on many aspects of housing to describe the housing stock in France and the housing conditions of French households. The basic national sample results from a multistage sampling design. Complementary samples were selected to perform accurate estimations for socio-demographic domains. Some French regions proceeded to a regional and local extension of the national sample. The variance is estimated for a region with a regional and local extension of the basic national sample.     

Improved randomized response in additive scrambling models

Randomized response models deal with stigmatizing variables appearing in health surveys. Additive and subtractive scrambling in split sample and double response yield unbiased mean and sensitivity estimators of high precision. The split sample method is protective of privacy. The double response method is as protective only conditionally. To achieve the maximum efficiency, the scrambling variables must be similar to each other and the probability of obtaining a true response must be as large as possible. The randomized response procedures yield more efficient estimates of the average total number of classes missed by university students.     

从意见（主义）到真理——关于当前提高高校“两课”实效性的哲学审视

当前高校两课的实效性相对低下,其主要原因是教师对两课的实效性存在普遍的误解、对学生的认知规律特点缺乏科学认识、教师自身的理论素养不高等。要切实提高两课教学的实效性,可以尝试走一条“从意见（主义）到真理”的哲学化路线：提取教材内容的真理性因素使之深刻化、深度耕读教材涉及的文本真理使之大众化、加大与两课相关的基础性研究使教师专业化等。     

2002年楚辞学国际学术研讨会暨中国屈原学会第九届年会论文综述

2002年楚辞学国际学术研讨会暨中国屈原学会第九届年会于6月13日至16日在宁波大学召开,来自国内外的115位学者参加了会议。提交这次会议交流的论文74篇,论文提要16篇,内容涉及到楚辞文艺学、楚辞社会学等七个分枝学科。