"水经"引路武陵拾珠--杨嗣昌<沅水风光组诗>述论

杨嗣昌《沅水风光组诗》共 1 1首 ,写于乙丑 (1 62 5年 )冬日舟游沅江之时。该组诗展示了沅水下游及洞庭湖尾闾部分 1 30公里左右两岸的秀丽风光和悠久的文化传统 ,抒发了作者对家乡山水的热爱与对隐居生活的流连 ,意境清新明朗 ,风格隽永典雅 ,具有较高的艺术成就     

失独家庭有限代孕权利的国家保障

我国失独家庭数量甚为庞大，其特殊保障问题已为社会关注热点，尤其是最为突出的再生育问题。由于失独家庭大都丧失生育能力，代孕乃是其实现再生育的主要途径。基于失独家庭的特殊性，对其有限开放代孕并不违反伦理道德，在法理和情理上也均具有合理性，且失独家庭因遵守国家计划生育政策而承受了失独的不利后果，故其选择代孕方式实现再生育的行为应当获得国家保障。国家不仅应当通过代孕类型、代孕条件、代孕程序等方面的制度构建来保障代孕的有序运行，还应通过扶助模式、扶助资金、扶助标准等方面的制度构建来对失独家庭代孕予以必要救助。     

核准制IPO定价实证分析

本文用信息经济学的理论和计量经济学的实证分析方法研究了我国核准制下的新股定价问题 ,指出市场主体决策时的信息差异是造成新股发行价和上市价相背离的主要原因 ,并构建多元回归模型对这一假设进行了检验。     

Psychological taxing in Flemish municipalities

We analyse whether the psychological pricing in the private sector has a public sector counterpart in tax policy. Analysing the main theoretical arguments for the existence of price points, and applying them to the public sector, suggests that psychological taxing reveals itself by the use of non-0 ending tax rates. The tax rate endings of the local income taxes, which are set by 308 Flemish municipalities in the fiscal year 1998, suggests the presence of psychological taxing. Non-0 endings occur more frequently in municipalities where demand for public policy is more elastic (and where, therefore, the benefits to the politicians from setting a tax just below a tax point is higher). The pre-tax income inequality and the level of the tax rate positively affect psychological taxing. The latter effect is reinforced in those municipalities where the existing tax rate is above the average tax rate in neighbouring municipalities and below their neighbours’ minimum, although this effect has a limited effect and is offset the further below the minimum the tax is set.     

从国际法看巴勒斯坦建国

巴勒斯坦建国问题是巴以冲突中悬而未决的棘手问题，在当前巴以和平进程受挫情况下，它渐渐成为巴以和谈的重要议题，且有可能成为和谈的突破口．本文从国际法角度，结合历史，分析了巴建国问题在法理上具备了哪些条件，缺哪些条件，据此对巴建国前景作个预测．     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

生物多样性保护与知识产权

生物多样性保护与知识产权存在较大的关联性,《生物多样性条约》的相关条款与知识产权密切相关,围绕生物资源保护与利用的知识产权理论不断发展,我国的相关法律制度也应加以完善。     

潜隐的文化情结--《呐喊》、《彷徨》对传统文化的眷念

《呐喊》、《彷徨》在文学史研究中一直被认为是五四新文学的经典性文本,代表着新文化的“反传统”特征。其实这并不完全符合这两本小说集的实际。《呐喊》、《彷徨》既表现了新文化的价值立场,也保留着一定的传统文化的价值立场。这种新与旧、现代与传统的错综纠缠,体现了鲁迅一种特有的文化情结,构成了《呐喊》、《彷徨》价值判断的多元性和思想意蕴的复杂性。     

中国近30 年来的农村改革发展历程回顾与展望

文章重点从农村改革的整体性、综合性、协调性和党在农村政策的稳定性、连续性、实效性等方面入手,把我国近30年来的农村改革发展历程划分为三个不同的时期:即从1978年到1988年,是农村改革的起步阶段,出现了第一个“黄金发展期”;从1988年到1998年,是农村改革的停滞阶段,出现了“三农综合症”;从1998年10月至今,是农村改革的快速推进阶段,出现了第二个“黄金发展期”。全面准确地认识和把握我国农村改革的历史进程,对于科学制定农村综合改革的整体方案及相关配套政策措施至关重要。     

对新时期高校政治辅导员的角色认识

从高等学校思想政治工作的现实意义出发,结合目前高校人才培养的新内涵,对政治辅导员的角色进行了定位,即思想政治素质提高的导师;大学生文明修身的引路人;大学生未来职业生涯的设计师;大学生择业创业的导师;大学校园文化的引导者和创造者以及大学生心理健康的培育者。