贝叶斯方法和频率方法比较研究

频率学派和贝叶斯学派作为统计推理中的两个最重要的方法,对于这两种对立的研究方式的站队选择显然影响着研究者的研究活动。占有霸主地位的频率学派尽管是后来者,显然占有着优势的地位,而今年以来贝叶斯方法的复苏,重新向频率派发起挑战。文章从概率的产生作为开始,简单地介绍了统计的发展历程,并分别对这两种方法选择的实用、重要的可操作标准给予分析,认为两种方法各有利弊,对两种方法的选择应结合实际情况选择。     

论《学记》教学思想的当代启示

《学记》里蕴含着丰富的教学思想,对我们今天的教育教学仍有很大的参考价值。     

任务导向教学法在高职“商务英语口笔译”课程中的应用

本文探讨任务导向教学法在高职院校"商务英语翻译"教学中的实施和运用。     

论苏区邮政检查的操作方法与纪律

为了获得情报,肃清内奸,加强宣传,反制敌方邮检,苏区实行了邮检制度。邮检对象包括：密写、密函信件,记录有军政情报内容的胶卷、录音带、录像带、报刊杂志,夹藏有显微点以及炸弹、毒品、恐吓信、内容反动的信件或者出版物。邮检方式主要有四种。对受检邮件的处理方式有三种。总之,苏区对邮检极为重视,除严格选拔邮检员外,还制定了纪律,操作也较规范。     

人力资源价值计量方法演进路径及发展动态研究

人力资源价值计量方法问题是人力资源管理理论与实践中的一个重要"瓶颈"问题。文章在对相关问题的研究状况进行深入剖析的基础上,对人力资源价值计量方法问题研究的演进路径进行了详细梳理,进而分析了现有研究成果存在的主要问题,并对未来人力资源价值计量方法问题的研究趋势进行了预测,从而为未来合理解决人力资源价值计量方法问题提供了重要的参考与启示。     

浅谈行动导向教学法在教学中的实践

主要以怠速控制阀的结构、原理及检测学习任务为例,阐述了如何在教学中实践以培养关键能力为核心的"行动导向教学法"。     

基于Mo-RVIKOR的混合多属性决策方法

针对复杂性和不确定性多属性决策问题,考虑定量和定性融合的属性形式,提出了模块化随机多准则妥协解排序法（Modular Random VlseKriterijumska Opti-mizacija I Kompromisno Resenje,Mo-RVIKOR）,该方法无需将信息统一,就能处理多种信息形式存在的多属性决策问题。采用精确数、随机变量处理定量评价信息,用概率语义术语集处理定性评价信息;通过改进离差最大化法确定属性权重;根据Mo-RVIKOR对决策对象进行排序;最后以某公司C2B定制化服务质量评测项目为例,验证了所提方法的有效性。     

The impact of the European Youth Guarantee on active labour market policies: A convergence analysis

The European Union’s (EU) Youth Guarantee aims to improve the labour market situation of young people. Rather than prescribing a uniform policy model, it acknowledges that supportive measures need to align with national, regional and local circumstances. It thus seeks to promote mutual policy learning through the open method of coordination. As an innovative measure, the EU has deployed funding programmes to support the domestic measures related to the Youth Guarantee. We therefore examined in this study whether this mix of recommendations and financial incentives has entailed a convergence of member state policies. Our analysis of policy outputs for the period 2007?2014 yields a mixed empirical picture. There is catching‐up convergence regarding policies’ sectoral coverage but increasing divergence concerning the number of adopted policy instruments. The first two years of financial incentives did not produce any effect on enhancing policy experimentation among less active member states. We offer an optimistic and a pessimistic interpretation of these findings.     

基于雨课堂的电工电子学混合式智慧教学方法研究

《电工电子学》是高等学校针对非电类工科专业开设的一门有关电工、电子技术的重要专业基础课。针对《电工电子学》传统理论教学空洞乏味、师生互动不足、学生学习兴趣不足等问题,在《电工电子学》课程教学中引入雨课堂智慧教学工具,论述了雨课堂从课前、课上和课后三个方面实践的特点和使用方法,实践表明,基于PPT和微信的雨课堂混合传统教学的教学方法可以实现师生实时线上互动,建立多元化科学评价机制,激发学生学习主动性,活跃课堂气氛,提高学生学习积极性,改善本门课程的教学效果。     

Causal factor relations of supply chain competitiveness via fuzzy DEMATEL method for Thai automotive industry

Abstract

The automotive industry is complex and global. An automotive supply chain involves multiple manufacturers and service providers in different parts of the chain across different countries. Diffusion of the global production system creates both opportunities and challenges for the supply chain itself as well as production base countries. Thailand is a production base for over 15 automotive brands. The industry contributes significantly to the Thai economy and employs approximately half a million people. To address competitiveness of the Thai automotive industry, its supply chain is studied in this paper. Ten factors affecting the competitiveness of the Thai automotive supply chain are analysed through the fuzzy DEMATEL method. The method forms a structural model that categorises the causal or effect roles of the factors, and the degree at which they impact the supply chain. This study focuses on Tier 1 and Tier 2 manufacturers of the supply chain. The results reveal that there are three common causal factors and four common effects in both tiers. The other four factors play different roles in different tiers. Managerial implications relating to these factors are also discussed and certain recommendations proposed in order to enhance the competitiveness of the Thai automotive supply chain.