《2666》初探

《2666》揭示出在整个人类的发展过程中人性恶的膨胀,体现了人们对自然和谐,真、善、美境界的追求与渴望。它对于研究欧美国家的社会历史文化具有很高的参考价值。     

信息崇拜与通胀写作——论网络对人文研究的负面影响

网络时代已让学人的治学、研究、写作等方式发生了深刻变化。在纸媒时代,人文研究的过程也是泡图书馆的过程,学人查找资料的过程又是回到历史现场的过程,而读书、做卡片乃至抄书等等则保证了人文研究的慢工出细活。在网媒时代,搜索引擎与数字图书馆则省略了人文研究的诸多环节,学人可以多、快、省地进入到研究之中,却有可能为信息所困而丢掉问题意识。同时,信息崇拜下的人文研究已成通胀写作,网络使论文的拼接、编辑甚至抄袭变得容易。越来越多的学人已从问题中人变成学术中人,又从学术中人变成了信息中人,另一方面,观念被信息侵吞和淹没却成为观念穷人,所以,通胀写作已成为学界值得认真面对却不易解决的时代难题。     

Perceived inflation and expected future prices in different currencies

Five experiments were conducted to investigate whether perceived inflation and expected future prices are influenced by the nominal representation of increases in product prices in different currencies. In contrast to previous research demonstrating overestimates of the perceived inflation of product prices after the transition of the domestic German Mark to Euro [Greitemeyer, T., Schultz-Hardt, S., Traut-Mattausch, E., & Frey, D. (2005). The influence of price trend expectations on price trend perceptions: Why the Euro seems to make life more expensive? Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 541–548; Traut-Mattausch, E., Schultz-Hardt, S., Greitemeyer, T., & Frey, D. (2004). Expectancy confirmation in spite of disconfirming evidence: The case of price increases due to the introduction of the Euro. European Journal of Social Psychology, 34, 739–760], the price increases were of normal magnitude (5% and 8%) and a larger set of prices was used including small weekly expenses, prices of durables, and rent. All experiments were conducted in Sweden (not member of the European monetary union) employing undergraduates who volunteered to participate in class settings without any financial compensation. The price increases were expressed in the same currency, either actual currencies (Swedish Crowns or Euros) or fictitious currencies with different units. In general inflation was underestimated, to a larger extent when the currency or the product prices were unfamiliar than familiar. It was also shown that product-specific price changes made it difficult to perceive inflationary price increases. Only marginal effects of currency unit were observed.     

现阶段我国通货膨胀的特殊成因及对策

由于影响经济运行的各种基本因素发生了变化，我国当前出现的通货膨胀的特点和机理与８０年代相比出现了显著的不同。其根本原因在于市场机制的不健全和竞争的不充分性，困而治理通货膨胀应本着坚定、逐步和稳定的方针，采取切实有力的措施。     

通货膨胀预警系统探讨及实证分析

通货膨胀并不仅仅是物价现象和货币现象,而是诸多因素影响的综合经济现象,应从相关的经济指标体系来综合评价。通过综合指标评价法计算综合指数来评价通货膨胀,并以“灯区”分类来标明其区间,最后以福建为例来具体测算通货膨胀的幅度。     

章法结构及其哲学义涵

章法所探讨的是,篇章之条理,亦即连句成节(句群)、连节成段、连段成篇的逻辑组织.这种逻辑组织或条理,对应于宇宙人生规律,完全根源于人心之理,是人人与生俱有的.所以大多数的人,包括作者本身,对它的存在虽大都不自觉,却会自然地反映在他们的思考或作品之中.这种反映出来的逻辑组织或条理,由于对应于宇宙人生规律,就必然与探讨宇宙人生规律的哲学与科学有密切之关系.本文即择要就章法之类型、规律与转化(包括移位与转位)与"多、二、一(0)"的结构等,从中国哲学的逻辑结构中,以<周易>与<老子>两种典籍为主,一一作其哲学义涵之考辨,为章法之所以是"客观的存在",而定位为篇章之逻辑条理或结构,提出有力的证明与依据.     

A Note on an Approximation of the Mobile Communications Expenditures Distribution Function Using a Mixture Model

Approximating the distribution of mobile communications expenditures (MCE) is complicated by zero observations in the sample. To deal with the zero observations by allowing a point mass at zero, a mixture model of MCE distributions is proposed and applied. The MCE distribution is specified as a mixture of two distributions, one with a point mass at zero and the other with full support on the positive half of the real line. The model is empirically verified for individual MCE survey data collected in Seoul, Korea. The mixture model can easily capture the common bimodality feature of the MCE distribution. In addition, when covariates were added to the model, it was found that the probability that an individual has non-expenditure significantly varies with some variables. Finally, the goodness-of-fit test suggests that the data are well represented by the mixture model.     

幂平均数若干性质之证明

幂平均数作为算术平均数、几何平均数、调和平均数等的一般形式,它与各具体形式之间必存在一定的关系。在目前的一些教材中,这种逻辑关系的描述是不正确的。又由于这些教材对所作的描述并未给予证明,因此,错误被隐藏起来。本文重新描述这种逻辑关系,并给予数学证明。     

通胀与通缩的交替换位及政策选择

世界各个国家在经济运行中通胀与通缩及其交替换位既有必然性又有偶然性。中国目前处在已完成了由通胀到通缩的转换但尚未实现由通缩到通胀转换的阶段。中国应在避免通胀与通缩频繁交替换位的前提下 ,采取有效政策实现由通缩到可容忍的通胀即温和通胀转换 ,实现经济的低通胀高增长。     

中国股票收益与实际经济、通货膨胀关系的实证分析

研究1995年1月至2002年1月中国实际股票收益率、通货膨胀和实际经济活动的相关关系结果表明:长期中实际股票收益率与通货膨胀呈明显负相关关系,通货膨胀与实际经济活动呈反向关系,实际股票收益与实际经济活动呈正相关关系,但短期中实际股票收益率与通货膨胀和实际经济的关系不显著,通货膨胀与实际经济呈明显负相关关系。因此,虽然中国股市短期与国民经济的发展状况不同步,但是从中长期看,它较合理地反映了1995年～2002年1月期间的国民经济总体情况,中国股市与宏观经济并没有发生背离。