Yu-Ling Tsai  Debbie J. Dupuis  Duncan J. Murdoch 《Statistics》2013,47(1):172-183

We show that the existing tests for asymptotic independence are sensitive to outliers. A robust test is proposed. The new test is made stable under contamination through a shrinkage scheme. Simulations show that the new test performs well in the presence of contaminated data while maintaining good properties when there is no contamination. An application to real data shows the added value of our new robust approach.  相似文献   

    

Chunfeng Huang 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(6):1101-1107

Regular smoothing splines are known to have a type of boundary bias problem that can reduce their estimation efficiency. In this paper, a boundary corrected smoothing spline with general order is designed in a way that the risk will decay at an optimal rate. An O(n) algorithm is also developed to compute the resultant estimator efficiently.  相似文献   

    

David A. Rolls  Owen D. Jones 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(13):2674-2688

We present a new test for the “continuous martingale hypothesis”. That is, a test for the hypothesis that observed data are from a process which is a continuous local martingale. The basis of the test is an embedded random walk at first passage times, obtained from the well-known representation of a continuous local martingale as a continuous time-change of Brownian motion. With a variety of simulated diffusion processes our new test shows higher power than existing tests using either the crossing tree or the quadratic variation, including the situation where non-negligible drift is present. The power of the test in the presence of jumps is also explored with a variety of simulated jump diffusion processes. The test is also applied to two sequences of high-frequency foreign exchange trade-by-trade data. In both cases the continuous martingale hypothesis is rejected at times less than hourly and we identify significant dependence in price movements at these small scales.  相似文献   

    

Kiranmoy Chatterjee  Diganta Mukherjee 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(4):1047-1062

ABSTRACT

Every large census operation should undergo evaluation programs to find the sources and extent of inherent coverage errors. In this article, we briefly discuss the statistical methodology to estimate the omission rate in Indian census using dual-system estimation (DSE) technique. We have explicitly studied the correlation bias factor involved in the estimate, its extent, and consequences. A new potential source of bias in the estimate is identified and discussed. During the survey, more efficient enumerators compared to the census operations are appointed, and this fact may inflate the dependency between two lists and lead to a significant bias. Some examples are given to demonstrate this argument in various plausible situations. We have suggested one simple and flexible approach which can control this bias. Our proposed estimator can efficiently overcome the potential bias by achieving the desired degree of accuracy (almost unbiased) with relatively higher efficiency. Overall improvements in the results are explored through simulation study on different populations.  相似文献   

    

Philip H. Ramsey  Patricia P. Ramsey 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(2):233-248

A number of robust methods for testing variability have been reported in previous literature. An examination of these procedures for a wide variety of populations confirms their general robustness. Shoemaker's improvement of the F test extends that test use to a realistic variety of population shapes. However, a combination of the Brown–Forsythe and O'Brien methods based on testing kurtosis is shown to be conservative for a wide range of sample sizes and population distributions. The composite test is also shown to be more powerful in most conditions than other conservative procedures.  相似文献   

    

Kohji Yamamura  Akihiro Hino 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(5):949-957

Group testing procedures, in which groups containing several units are tested without testing each unit, are widely used as cost-effective procedures in estimating the proportion of defective units in a population. A problem arises when we apply these procedures to the detection of genetically modified organisms (GMOs), because the analytical instrument for detecting GMOs has a threshold of detection. If the group size (i.e., the number of units within a group) is large, the GMOs in a group are not detected due to the dilution even if the group contains one unit of GMOs. Thus, most people conventionally use a small group size (which we call conventional group size) so that they can surely detect the existence of defective units if at least one unit of GMOs is included in the group. However, we show that we can estimate the proportion of defective units for any group size even if a threshold of detection exists; the estimate of the proportion of defective units is easily obtained by using functions implemented in a spreadsheet. Then, we show that the conventional group size is not always optimal in controlling a consumer's risk, because such a group size requires a larger number of groups for testing.  相似文献   

    

Chien-Wei Wu  W. L. Pearn  C. S. Chang  H. C. Chen 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(3):657-697

We consider asymmetric kernel estimates based on grouped data. We propose an iterated scheme for constructing such an estimator and apply an iterated smoothed bootstrap approach for bandwidth selection. We compare our approach with competing methods in estimating actuarial loss models using both simulations and data studies. The simulation results show that with this new method, the estimated density from grouped data matches the true density more closely than with competing approaches.  相似文献   

    

Jitendra Ganju  Xinxin Yu  Guoguang Ma 《Pharmaceutical statistics》2013,12(5):282-290

Formal inference in randomized clinical trials is based on controlling the type I error rate associated with a single pre‐specified statistic. The deficiency of using just one method of analysis is that it depends on assumptions that may not be met. For robust inference, we propose pre‐specifying multiple test statistics and relying on the minimum p‐value for testing the null hypothesis of no treatment effect. The null hypothesis associated with the various test statistics is that the treatment groups are indistinguishable. The critical value for hypothesis testing comes from permutation distributions. Rejection of the null hypothesis when the smallest p‐value is less than the critical value controls the type I error rate at its designated value. Even if one of the candidate test statistics has low power, the adverse effect on the power of the minimum p‐value statistic is not much. Its use is illustrated with examples. We conclude that it is better to rely on the minimum p‐value rather than a single statistic particularly when that single statistic is the logrank test, because of the cost and complexity of many survival trials. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

    

Yiannis C. Bassiakos  Panos C. Katerelos 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):1019-1026

A method is proposed for the sample size calculation in the case of therapeutic equivalence of two pharmaceuticals, when the decision is based on post-treatment differences and the post-treatment values are dependent on the pretreatment ones. When the correlation coefficient is large (over 0.7), it is shown that sample size calculation (and the corresponding hypothesis test) based on the sample statistic formed by the mean difference of the post–pre differences of each group has smaller variance and hence leads to smaller sample sizes.  相似文献   

    

Haruhiko Ogasawara 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(1):177-199

ABSTRACT

Asymptotic distributions of the standardized estimators of the squared and non squared multiple correlation coefficients under nonnormality were obtained using Edgeworth expansion up to O(1/n). Conditions for the normal-theory asymptotic biases and variances to hold under nonnormality were derived with respect to the parameter values and the weighted sum of the cumulants of associated variables. The condition for the cumulants indicates a compensatory effect to yield the robust normal-theory lower-order cumulants. Simulations were performed to see the usefulness of the formulas of the asymptotic expansions using the model with the asymptotic robustness under nonnormality, which showed that the approximations by Edgeworth expansions were satisfactory.  相似文献