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901.
In this work, we propose a new model called generalized symmetrical partial linear model, based on the theory of generalized linear models and symmetrical distributions. In our model the response variable follows a symmetrical distribution such a normal, Student-t, power exponential, among others. Following the context of generalized linear models we consider replacing the traditional linear predictors by the more general predictors in whose case one covariate is related with the response variable in a non-parametric fashion, that we do not specified the parametric function. As an example, we could imagine a regression model in which the intercept term is believed to vary in time or geographical location. The backfitting algorithm is used for estimating the parameters of the proposed model. We perform a simulation study for assessing the behavior of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators. We use the quantile residuals for checking the assumption of the model. Finally, we analyzed real data set related with pH rivers in Ireland. 相似文献
902.
We present a new measure for evaluating the performance of control charts to detect abrupt changes of finite matrix sequences. The objective is to minimize the probability that the control chart fails to raise the alarm at unknown change point time for a given in-control average run length. We construct and prove the optimal control chart with dynamic control limits in different pre- and post-change distributions. We validate the optimality of the proposed chart by conducting exhaustive experiments on both simulation study and real-world data. 相似文献
903.
A Combined Monte Carlo and Possibilistic Approach to Uncertainty Propagation in Event Tree Analysis 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In risk analysis, the treatment of the epistemic uncertainty associated to the probability of occurrence of an event is fundamental. Traditionally, probabilistic distributions have been used to characterize the epistemic uncertainty due to imprecise knowledge of the parameters in risk models. On the other hand, it has been argued that in certain instances such uncertainty may be best accounted for by fuzzy or possibilistic distributions. This seems the case in particular for parameters for which the information available is scarce and of qualitative nature. In practice, it is to be expected that a risk model contains some parameters affected by uncertainties that may be best represented by probability distributions and some other parameters that may be more properly described in terms of fuzzy or possibilistic distributions. In this article, a hybrid method that jointly propagates probabilistic and possibilistic uncertainties is considered and compared with pure probabilistic and pure fuzzy methods for uncertainty propagation. The analyses are carried out on a case study concerning the uncertainties in the probabilities of occurrence of accident sequences in an event tree analysis of a nuclear power plant. 相似文献
904.
Kanti V. Mardia 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(6):1132-1144
In application areas like bioinformatics, multivariate distributions on angles are encountered which show significant clustering. One approach to statistical modeling of such situations is to use mixtures of unimodal distributions. In the literature (Mardia et al., 2012), the multivariate von Mises distribution, also known as the multivariate sine distribution, has been suggested for components of such models, but work in the area has been hampered by the fact that no good criteria for the von Mises distribution to be unimodal were available. In this article we study the question about when a multivariate von Mises distribution is unimodal. We give sufficient criteria for this to be the case and show examples of distributions with multiple modes when these criteria are violated. In addition, we propose a method to generate samples from the von Mises distribution in the case of high concentration. 相似文献
905.
906.
This research is motivated by the fact that many random variables of practical interest have a finite support. For fixed a < b, we consider the distribution of a random variable X = (a + Ymod(b ? a)), where Y is a phase type (PH) random variable. We demonstrate that as we traverse for Y the entire set of PH distributions (or even any subset thereof like Coxian that is dense in the class of distributions on [0, ∞)), we obtain a class of matrix exponential distributions dense in (a, b). We call these Finite Support Phase Type Distributions (FSPH) of the first kind. A simple example shows that though dense, this class by itself is not very efficient for modeling; therefore, we introduce (and derive the EM algorithms for) two other classes of finite support phase type distributions (FSPH). The properties of denseness, connection to Markov chains, the EM algorithm, and ability to exploit matrix-based computations should all make these classes of distributions attractive not only for applied probability but also for a much wider variety of fields using statistical methodologies. 相似文献
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Consider a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials and assume that the odds of success (or failure) or the probability of success (or failure) at the ith trial varies (increases or decreases) geometrically with rate (proportion) q, for increasing i=1,2,…. Introducing the notion of a geometric sequence of trials as a sequence of Bernoulli trials, with constant probability, that is terminated with the occurrence of the first success, a useful stochastic model is constructed. Specifically, consider a sequence of independent geometric sequences of trials and assume that the probability of success at the jth geometric sequence varies (increases or decreases) geometrically with rate (proportion) q, for increasing j=1,2,…. On both models, let Xn be the number of successes up the nth trial and Tk (or Wk) be the number of trials (or failures) until the occurrence of the kth success. The distributions of these random variables turned out to be q-analogues of the binomial and Pascal (or negative binomial) distributions. The distributions of Xn, for n→∞, and the distributions of Wk, for k→∞, can be approximated by a q -Poisson distribution. Also, as k→0, a zero truncated negative q -binomial distribution Uk=Wk|Wk>0 can be approximated by a q-logarithmic distribution. These discrete q-distributions and their applications are reviewed, with critical comments and additions. Finally, consider a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials and assume that the probability of success (or failure) is a product of two sequences of probabilities with one of these sequences depending only the number of trials and the other depending only on the number of successes (or failures). The q-distributions of the number Xn of successes up to the nth trial and the number Tk of trials until the occurrence of the kth success are similarly reviewed. 相似文献