Adaptive tests of regression functions via multiscale generalized likelihood ratios

Many applications of nonparametric tests based on curve estimation involve selecting a smoothing parameter. The author proposes an adaptive test that combines several generalized likelihood ratio tests in order to get power performance nearly equal to whichever of the component tests is best. She derives the asymptotic joint distribution of the component tests and that of the proposed test under the null hypothesis. She also develops a simple method of selecting the smoothing parameters for the proposed test and presents two approximate methods for obtaining its P‐value. Finally, she evaluates the proposed test through simulations and illustrates its application to a set of real data.     

Interpreting DNA Mixtures with Related Contributors in Subdivided Populations

Abstract.  In this paper, we study the statistical interpretation of forensic DNA mixtures with related contributors in subdivided populations. Compact general formulae for match probabilities are obtained for two situations: a relative of one tested person is an unknown contributor of a DNA mixture; and two related unknowns are contributors. The effect of kinship and population structure is illustrated using a real case example.     

关于函数列收敛与一致收敛的一点思考

通过定义、定理、正反对比的例题论述了函数列收敛、一致收敛、内闭一致收敛及其之间的关系与差异。     

Data tilting for time series

Summary. We develop a general methodology for tilting time series data. Attention is focused on a large class of regression problems, where errors are expressed through autoregressive processes. The class has a range of important applications and in the context of our work may be used to illustrate the application of tilting methods to interval estimation in regression, robust statistical inference and estimation subject to constraints. The method can be viewed as 'empirical likelihood with nuisance parameters'.     

中小企业增长与发展的创新驱动

中小企业的增长与发展是两个既有联系又有区别的概念。增长需要创新,转化为发展时更需要创新作为张力。本文分析了中小企业创新系统并探讨了创新内容以及创新活动中应该注意的问题。     

二元方程式F(x,y)=0确定的函数曲线渐近线的探讨

给出二元方程式F(x,y)=0确定的函数曲线渐近线的几个结果。     

试论英语教学中教师的主导作用

本文从道德教育、文化传播、知识传授和能力培养等四个方面论述了在英语教学中教师的主导作用,阐述了英语教学中教师主导作用的重要性。     

Choice of the primary analysis in longitudinal clinical trials

Missing data, and the bias they can cause, are an almost ever‐present concern in clinical trials. The last observation carried forward (LOCF) approach has been frequently utilized to handle missing data in clinical trials, and is often specified in conjunction with analysis of variance (LOCF ANOVA) for the primary analysis. Considerable advances in statistical methodology, and in our ability to implement these methods, have been made in recent years. Likelihood‐based, mixed‐effects model approaches implemented under the missing at random (MAR) framework are now easy to implement, and are commonly used to analyse clinical trial data. Furthermore, such approaches are more robust to the biases from missing data, and provide better control of Type I and Type II errors than LOCF ANOVA. Empirical research and analytic proof have demonstrated that the behaviour of LOCF is uncertain, and in many situations it has not been conservative. Using LOCF as a composite measure of safety, tolerability and efficacy can lead to erroneous conclusions regarding the effectiveness of a drug. This approach also violates the fundamental basis of statistics as it involves testing an outcome that is not a physical parameter of the population, but rather a quantity that can be influenced by investigator behaviour, trial design, etc. Practice should shift away from using LOCF ANOVA as the primary analysis and focus on likelihood‐based, mixed‐effects model approaches developed under the MAR framework, with missing not at random methods used to assess robustness of the primary analysis. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

分析Chiral分层媒质特性的一般方法(英文)

提出了一套系统方法用于求解任意导体片位于界面的Chiral分层媒质的谐振频率,衰减因子和电磁场分布。文中的分析是在Fourier变换域的并矢格林函数和矩阵分析的基础上来进行的,给出的公式的最大价值在于它提供了求解Chiral分层媒质问题的方法论。     

基于绿色GDP的政府管理重理

当前在环境保护的加强和可持续发展战略的实施中,绿色GDP一词成为时尚,政府管理越来越强调与其相适应的法律制度、行政体制、管理制度等的建设,以最终实现最优生产、最适消费、最少废弃。本文从理论和实践的角度,探讨基于绿色GDP核算体系如何重理政府管理,改变政府管理的传统方式,发展科学的循环经济,完善全面的政绩考核和调节决策体系等,在一定程度上对政府职能的变革和完善提出了一些创新性的建议。