首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   3511篇
  免费   99篇
  国内免费   21篇
管理学   155篇
民族学   31篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   187篇
丛书文集   163篇
理论方法论   56篇
综合类   1221篇
社会学   111篇
统计学   1706篇
  2024年   4篇
  2023年   13篇
  2022年   15篇
  2021年   19篇
  2020年   43篇
  2019年   78篇
  2018年   93篇
  2017年   133篇
  2016年   73篇
  2015年   80篇
  2014年   150篇
  2013年   748篇
  2012年   255篇
  2011年   189篇
  2010年   150篇
  2009年   121篇
  2008年   139篇
  2007年   159篇
  2006年   167篇
  2005年   127篇
  2004年   119篇
  2003年   120篇
  2002年   120篇
  2001年   119篇
  2000年   98篇
  1999年   63篇
  1998年   37篇
  1997年   39篇
  1996年   41篇
  1995年   24篇
  1994年   9篇
  1993年   15篇
  1992年   16篇
  1991年   7篇
  1990年   9篇
  1989年   6篇
  1988年   8篇
  1987年   1篇
  1986年   4篇
  1985年   3篇
  1984年   2篇
  1983年   3篇
  1982年   1篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   3篇
  1979年   3篇
  1978年   2篇
  1977年   1篇
  1975年   1篇
排序方式: 共有3631条查询结果,搜索用时 562 毫秒
81.
Sedentary behavior has already been associated with mortality, cardiovascular disease, and cancer. Questionnaires are an affordable tool for measuring sedentary behavior in large epidemiological studies. Here, we introduce and evaluate two statistical methods for quantifying measurement error in questionnaires. Accurate estimates are needed for assessing questionnaire quality. The two methods would be applied to validation studies that measure a sedentary behavior by both questionnaire and accelerometer on multiple days. The first method fits a reduced model by assuming the accelerometer is without error, while the second method fits a more complete model that allows both measures to have error. Because accelerometers tend to be highly accurate, we show that ignoring the accelerometer's measurement error, can result in more accurate estimates of measurement error in some scenarios. In this article, we derive asymptotic approximations for the mean-squared error of the estimated parameters from both methods, evaluate their dependence on study design and behavior characteristics, and offer an R package so investigators can make an informed choice between the two methods. We demonstrate the difference between the two methods in a recent validation study comparing previous day recalls to an accelerometer-based ActivPal.  相似文献   
82.
由于在文献分类编目工作中会遇到各种内容相同,而在装帧形式、版本形式等方面不同的“同类书”,而将这些“同类书”在目录组织进而在分类排架中组织在一起十分困难,为了方便读者对比和选择使用,阐述了采用种次号加辅助区分号将这些“同类书”集中的具体方法,结果表明,此种方法不仅目录组织清晰,还有助于读者对图书的检索和利用。  相似文献   
83.
当前理论界对文化产业内部结构划分没有一个令人信服的方法,本文提出“核心要素”的新视角,将文化产业划分为资源型文化产业、制造型文化产业和创意型文化产业。文化产业内部结构的演进是一个客观的历史进程,遵循着由资源型文化产业向制造型文化产业再到创意型文化产业的发展路径。解构文化产业结构并深入研究其演进规律,对文化产业的发展具有重要的指导意义。  相似文献   
84.
武汉市固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
固定资产投资是经济增长的一个重要因素,对经济增长具有直接的拉动作用,同时对投资的调节也成为国家宏观调控的一个重要手段。以武汉市为例,选取了年固定资产投资与国内生产总值的数据进行协整分析,并建立了误差修正模型,得出了二者之间存在长期均衡关系。  相似文献   
85.
This paper analyses child labour participation and its key determinants using data sets from Peru and Pakistan. The results include tests of the ‘Luxury’ and ‘Substitution’ hypotheses that play key roles in recent studies on child labour and child schooling. The results reject both hypotheses in the context of child labour in Pakistan and suggest that income and related variables do not have the expected negative effect on children's work input. Rising wages of adult female labour in Pakistan, and falling adult male wage in Peru lead to increased participation of children in the labour market. The results on the combined country data formally establish the presence of strong individual country effects in the estimated regressions. For example, ceteris paribus, a Peruvian child is more likely to experience schooling than a Pakistani child. However, both countries agree on the positive role that adult female education and infrastructure investment in basic amenities can play in discouraging child labour and encouraging child schooling. Received: 24 August 1998/Accepted: 10 March 1999  相似文献   
86.
This paper analyses how governments should tax labour income accruing to a group of highly skilled and geographically mobile individuals who divide their time or career between several jurisdictions. The analysis differs from previous models on migration and taxation by addressing optimal regulation when agents work for several principals. Optimal taxation is developed for social welfare functions with exogenous and endogenous welfare weights. Marginal income taxes are applied for screening purposes, and the rates are lower with endogenous than with exogenous welfare weights. Received: 22 January 1998/Accepted: 3 July 1999)  相似文献   
87.
通过对MCAI课件《爬行纲分类》的制作,探讨了在设计MCAI课件时所需要注意的问题。  相似文献   
88.
We evaluate the fit of several generalized expected utility models under homoscedasticity and three different heteroscedastic error structures for the data set first reported in Hey and Orme (1994). Standard chi-squared tests are used for nested tests, and both the Akaike (1973) information criterion and its consistent version (Hurvich and Tsai, 1989) are used for non-nested ranking of these models. A testing framework is developed that explicitly accounts for the path-dependent nature of the model selection problem. Not only does the selection of preference models depend on the error structure assumed, but the reverse is also true: the selection of the error structure depends on the preference structure assumed. An erratum to this article is available at .  相似文献   
89.
In this paper we investigate the asymptotic critical value behaviour of certain multiple decision procedures as e.g. simultaneous confidence intervals and simultaneous as well as stepwise multiple test procedures. Supposing that n hypotheses or parameters of interest are under consideration we investigate the critical value behaviour when n increases. More specifically, we answer e.g. the question by which amount the lengths of confidence intervals increase when an additional parameter is added to the statistical analysis. Furthermore, critical values of different multiple decision procedures as for instance step-down and step-up procedures will be compared. Some general theoretic results are derived and applied for various distributions.  相似文献   
90.
The authors consider the correlation between two arbitrary functions of the data and a parameter when the parameter is regarded as a random variable with given prior distribution. They show how to compute such a correlation and use closed form expressions to assess the dependence between parameters and various classical or robust estimators thereof, as well as between p‐values and posterior probabilities of the null hypothesis in the one‐sided testing problem. Other applications involve the Dirichlet process and stationary Gaussian processes. Using this approach, the authors also derive a general nonparametric upper bound on Bayes risks.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号