首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   5817篇
  免费   277篇
  国内免费   111篇
管理学   387篇
民族学   13篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   109篇
丛书文集   238篇
理论方法论   126篇
综合类   1461篇
社会学   326篇
统计学   3544篇
  2024年   14篇
  2023年   86篇
  2022年   112篇
  2021年   140篇
  2020年   170篇
  2019年   261篇
  2018年   300篇
  2017年   381篇
  2016年   263篇
  2015年   222篇
  2014年   302篇
  2013年   1031篇
  2012年   392篇
  2011年   249篇
  2010年   216篇
  2009年   215篇
  2008年   228篇
  2007年   232篇
  2006年   203篇
  2005年   209篇
  2004年   177篇
  2003年   140篇
  2002年   100篇
  2001年   110篇
  2000年   94篇
  1999年   64篇
  1998年   64篇
  1997年   44篇
  1996年   27篇
  1995年   32篇
  1994年   25篇
  1993年   16篇
  1992年   19篇
  1991年   11篇
  1990年   12篇
  1989年   5篇
  1988年   8篇
  1987年   7篇
  1986年   6篇
  1985年   6篇
  1984年   6篇
  1983年   5篇
  1980年   1篇
排序方式: 共有6205条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
101.
现阶段,随着图书馆馆藏图书的增多,使中文编目数据的工作量逐渐增大,为了进一步提高工作效率和质量,有必要对中文编目数据过程中难以控制的因素进行分析,并采取相应的手段加以控制,就中文编目数据工作过程中难以控制的因素展开探讨。  相似文献   
102.
This paper considers the optimal design problem for multivariate mixed-effects logistic models with longitudinal data. A decomposition method of the binary outcome and the penalized quasi-likelihood are used to obtain the information matrix. The D-optimality criterion based on the approximate information matrix is minimized under different cost constraints. The results show that the autocorrelation coefficient plays a significant role in the design. To overcome the dependence of the D-optimal designs on the unknown fixed-effects parameters, the Bayesian D-optimality criterion is proposed. The relative efficiencies of designs reveal that both the cost ratio and autocorrelation coefficient play an important role in the optimal designs.  相似文献   
103.
In this paper the Bayesian analysis of incomplete categorical data under informative general censoring proposed by Paulino and Pereira (1995) is revisited. That analysis is based on Dirichlet priors and can be applied to any missing data pattern. However, the known properties of the posterior distributions are scarce and therefore severe limitations to the posterior computations remain. Here is shown how a Monte Carlo simulation approach based on an alternative parameterisation can be used to overcome the former computational difficulties. The proposed simulation approach makes available the approximate estimation of general parametric functions and can be implemented in a very straightforward way.  相似文献   
104.
Transductive methods are useful in prediction problems when the training dataset is composed of a large number of unlabeled observations and a smaller number of labeled observations. In this paper, we propose an approach for developing transductive prediction procedures that are able to take advantage of the sparsity in the high dimensional linear regression. More precisely, we define transductive versions of the LASSO (Tibshirani, 1996) and the Dantzig Selector (Candès and Tao, 2007). These procedures combine labeled and unlabeled observations of the training dataset to produce a prediction for the unlabeled observations. We propose an experimental study of the transductive estimators that shows that they improve the LASSO and Dantzig Selector in many situations, and particularly in high dimensional problems when the predictors are correlated. We then provide non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees for these estimation methods. Interestingly, our theoretical results show that the Transductive LASSO and Dantzig Selector satisfy sparsity inequalities under weaker assumptions than those required for the “original” LASSO.  相似文献   
105.
Binary response models are often applied in dose–response settings where the number of dose levels is limited. Commonly, one can find cases where the maximum likelihood estimation process for these models produces infinite values for at least one of the parameters, often corresponding to the ‘separated data’ issue. Algorithms for detecting such data have been proposed, but are usually incorporated directly into in the parameter estimation. Additionally, they do not consider the use of asymptotes in the model formulation. In order to study this phenomenon in greater detail, we define the class of specifiably degenerate functions where this can occur (including the popular logistic and Weibull models) that allows for asymptotes in the dose–response specification. We demonstrate for this class that the well-known pool-adjacent-violators algorithm can efficiently pre-screen for non-estimable data. A simulation study demonstrates the frequency with which this problem can occur for various response models and conditions.  相似文献   
106.
Motivated by classification issues that arise in marine studies, we propose a latent-class mixture model for the unsupervised classification of incomplete quadrivariate data with two linear and two circular components. The model integrates bivariate circular densities and bivariate skew normal densities to capture the association between toroidal clusters of bivariate circular observations and planar clusters of bivariate linear observations. Maximum-likelihood estimation of the model is facilitated by an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that treats unknown class membership and missing values as different sources of incomplete information. The model is exploited on hourly observations of wind speed and direction and wave height and direction to identify a number of sea regimes, which represent specific distributional shapes that the data take under environmental latent conditions.  相似文献   
107.
Modeling cylindrical data, comprised of a linear component and a directional component, can be done using Fourier series expansions if we consider the conditional distribution of the linear component given the angular component. This paper presents the second order model which is a natural extension of the Mardia and Sutton (1978) first order model. This model can be parameterized either in polar or Cartesian coordinates, and allows for parameter estimation using standard multiple linear regression. Characteristic of the new model, how to compare the adequacy of the fit for first and second order models, and an example involving wind direction and temperature are presented.  相似文献   
108.
Kleinbaum (1973) developed a generalized growth curve model for analyzing incomplete longitudinal data. In this paper the small sample properties of several related test statistics are investigated via Monte Carlo techniques. The covariance matrix is estimated by each of three non-iterative methods. The null and non-null distributions of these test statistics are examined.  相似文献   
109.
The benchmark dose (BMD) approach has gained acceptance as a valuable risk assessment tool, but risk assessors still face significant challenges associated with selecting an appropriate BMD/BMDL estimate from the results of a set of acceptable dose‐response models. Current approaches do not explicitly address model uncertainty, and there is an existing need to more fully inform health risk assessors in this regard. In this study, a Bayesian model averaging (BMA) BMD estimation method taking model uncertainty into account is proposed as an alternative to current BMD estimation approaches for continuous data. Using the “hybrid” method proposed by Crump, two strategies of BMA, including both “maximum likelihood estimation based” and “Markov Chain Monte Carlo based” methods, are first applied as a demonstration to calculate model averaged BMD estimates from real continuous dose‐response data. The outcomes from the example data sets examined suggest that the BMA BMD estimates have higher reliability than the estimates from the individual models with highest posterior weight in terms of higher BMDL and smaller 90th percentile intervals. In addition, a simulation study is performed to evaluate the accuracy of the BMA BMD estimator. The results from the simulation study recommend that the BMA BMD estimates have smaller bias than the BMDs selected using other criteria. To further validate the BMA method, some technical issues, including the selection of models and the use of bootstrap methods for BMDL derivation, need further investigation over a more extensive, representative set of dose‐response data.  相似文献   
110.
In this paper, we introduce classical and Bayesian approaches for the Basu–Dhar bivariate geometric distribution in the presence of covariates and censored data. This distribution is considered for the analysis of bivariate lifetime as an alternative to some existing bivariate lifetime distributions assuming continuous lifetimes as the Block and Basu or Marshall and Olkin bivariate distributions. Maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are presented. Two examples are considered to illustrate the proposed methodology: an example with simulated data and an example with medical bivariate lifetime data.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号