全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4523篇 |
免费 | 100篇 |
国内免费 | 19篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 512篇 |
民族学 | 6篇 |
人口学 | 77篇 |
丛书文集 | 98篇 |
理论方法论 | 138篇 |
综合类 | 706篇 |
社会学 | 292篇 |
统计学 | 2813篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 5篇 |
2023年 | 41篇 |
2022年 | 41篇 |
2021年 | 54篇 |
2020年 | 80篇 |
2019年 | 130篇 |
2018年 | 175篇 |
2017年 | 267篇 |
2016年 | 135篇 |
2015年 | 141篇 |
2014年 | 149篇 |
2013年 | 941篇 |
2012年 | 317篇 |
2011年 | 187篇 |
2010年 | 152篇 |
2009年 | 177篇 |
2008年 | 178篇 |
2007年 | 176篇 |
2006年 | 158篇 |
2005年 | 174篇 |
2004年 | 143篇 |
2003年 | 131篇 |
2002年 | 105篇 |
2001年 | 105篇 |
2000年 | 85篇 |
1999年 | 64篇 |
1998年 | 57篇 |
1997年 | 40篇 |
1996年 | 26篇 |
1995年 | 22篇 |
1994年 | 29篇 |
1993年 | 21篇 |
1992年 | 22篇 |
1991年 | 17篇 |
1990年 | 13篇 |
1989年 | 11篇 |
1988年 | 14篇 |
1987年 | 9篇 |
1986年 | 7篇 |
1985年 | 10篇 |
1984年 | 6篇 |
1983年 | 10篇 |
1982年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有4642条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
151.
152.
Partially linear models (PLMs) are an important tool in modelling economic and biometric data and are considered as a flexible generalization of the linear model by including a nonparametric component of some covariate into the linear predictor. Usually, the error component is assumed to follow a normal distribution. However, the theory and application (through simulation or experimentation) often generate a great amount of data sets that are skewed. The objective of this paper is to extend the PLMs allowing the errors to follow a skew-normal distribution [A. Azzalini, A class of distributions which includes the normal ones, Scand. J. Statist. 12 (1985), pp. 171–178], increasing the flexibility of the model. In particular, we develop the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for linear regression models and diagnostic analysis via local influence as well as generalized leverage, following [H. Zhu and S. Lee, Local influence for incomplete-data models, J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 63 (2001), pp. 111–126]. A simulation study is also conducted to evaluate the efficiency of the EM algorithm. Finally, a suitable transformation is applied in a data set on ragweed pollen concentration in order to fit PLMs under asymmetric distributions. An illustrative comparison is performed between normal and skew-normal errors. 相似文献
153.
This paper addresses the collinearity problems in semi-parametric linear models. Under the difference-based settings, we introduce a new diagnostic, the difference-based variance inflation factor (DVIF), for detecting the presence of multicollinearity in semi-parametric models. The DVIF is then used to device a difference-based matrix perturbation method for solving the problem. The electricities distribution data set is analyzed, and numerical evidences validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. 相似文献
154.
Unified Inference for Sparse and Dense Longitudinal Data in Time‐varying Coefficient Models 下载免费PDF全文
Time‐varying coefficient models are widely used in longitudinal data analysis. These models allow the effects of predictors on response to vary over time. In this article, we consider a mixed‐effects time‐varying coefficient model to account for the within subject correlation for longitudinal data. We show that when kernel smoothing is used to estimate the smooth functions in time‐varying coefficient models for sparse or dense longitudinal data, the asymptotic results of these two situations are essentially different. Therefore, a subjective choice between the sparse and dense cases might lead to erroneous conclusions for statistical inference. In order to solve this problem, we establish a unified self‐normalized central limit theorem, based on which a unified inference is proposed without deciding whether the data are sparse or dense. The effectiveness of the proposed unified inference is demonstrated through a simulation study and an analysis of Baltimore MACS data. 相似文献
155.
This article considers statistical analysis of dependent competing risks model from Weibull distribution in accelerated life testing, in which copula function is used to examine the dependence structure between competing failure modes. We derive the maximum likelihood estimates, the approximate, and Bootstrap confidence intervals of the parameters. The effects of different dependence structures on the estimates of parameters are investigated. The simulation is given to compare the performance of the estimates when the competing failure modes are dependent with those when the failure modes are independent. Finally, one dataset was used for illustrative purpose in conclusion. 相似文献
156.
Frailty models can be fit as mixed-effects Poisson models after transforming time-to-event data to the Poisson model framework. We assess, through simulations, the robustness of Poisson likelihood estimation for Cox proportional hazards models with log-normal frailties under misspecified frailty distribution. The log-gamma and Laplace distributions were used as true distributions for frailties on a natural log scale. Factors such as the magnitude of heterogeneity, censoring rate, number and sizes of groups were explored. In the simulations, the Poisson modeling approach that assumes log-normally distributed frailties provided accurate estimates of within- and between-group fixed effects even under a misspecified frailty distribution. Non-robust estimation of variance components was observed in the situations of substantial heterogeneity, large event rates, or high data dimensions. 相似文献
157.
In this article, dichotomous variables are used to compare between linear and nonlinear Bayesian structural equation models. Gibbs sampling method is applied for estimation and model comparison. Statistical inferences that involve estimation of parameters and their standard deviations and residuals analysis for testing the selected model are discussed. Hidden continuous normal distribution (censored normal distribution) is used to solve the problem of dichotomous variables. The proposed procedure is illustrated by a simulation data obtained from R program. Analyses are done by using R2WinBUGS package in R-program. 相似文献
158.
Based on B-spline basis functions and smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty, we present a new estimation and variable selection procedure based on modal regression for partially linear additive models. The outstanding merit of the new method is that it is robust against outliers or heavy-tail error distributions and performs no worse than the least-square-based estimation for normal error case. The main difference is that the standard quadratic loss is replaced by a kernel function depending on a bandwidth that can be automatically selected based on the observed data. With appropriate selection of the regularization parameters, the new method possesses the consistency in variable selection and oracle property in estimation. Finally, both simulation study and real data analysis are performed to examine the performance of our approach. 相似文献
159.
In this paper, we investigate a mixture problem with two responses, which are functions of the mixing proportions, and are correlated with known dispersion matrix. We obtain D- and A-optimal designs for estimating the parameters of the response functions, when none or some of the regression coefficients of the two functions are the same. It is shown that when no prior knowledge about the regression coefficients is available, the D-optimal design is independent of the dispersion matrix, while the A-optimal design depends on it, provided the response functions are of different degree. On the other hand, when some of the regression coefficients are known to be the same for both the functions, the D-optimal design depends on the dispersion matrix when the two response functions are not of the same degree. 相似文献
160.
Previously, a method was proposed for calculating a reconstructed coefficient of determination in the case of right-censored regression using the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm. This measure is assessed via simulation study for the purpose of evaluating the utility of model fit. Further, several reconstructed adjusted coefficients of determination are proposed and compared via simulation study for the purpose of model selection. The application of these proposed measures is illustrated on a real dataset. 相似文献