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111.
本文构建了基于条件概率积分变换的Copula函数选择方法,通过对条件概率积分变换下Anderson-Darling(AD)、Kolmogorov-Smirnov(KS)、Cramér-von Mises(CM)这三种统计量的比较,讨论在不同样本容量和变量维数下其对多种Copula函数的拟合效果。利用GSPTSE、INMEX.MX和NDX三大股指样本,将基于条件概率积分变换的Copula函数选择方法与核密度估计和极大似然估计选择法的效果进行系统比较。结果表明,基于条件概率积分变换的检验法可以有效解决多元Copula函数的选择问题,其拟合优度检验更精确、更稳定;核密度估计检验在大样本下比较稳定,而小样本下稳定性较差;相比之下,极大似然值检验法则不稳定。 相似文献
112.
113.
Unit-level regression models are commonly used in small area estimation (SAE) to obtain an empirical best linear unbiased prediction of small area characteristics. The underlying assumptions of these models, however, may be unrealistic in some applications. Previous work developed a copula-based SAE model where the empirical Kendall's tau was used to estimate the dependence between two units from the same area. In this article, we propose a likelihood framework to estimate the intra-class dependence of the multivariate exchangeable copula for the empirical best unbiased prediction (EBUP) of small area means. One appeal of the proposed approach lies in its accommodation of both parametric and semi-parametric estimation approaches. Under each estimation method, we further propose a bootstrap approach to obtain a nearly unbiased estimator of the mean squared prediction error of the EBUP of small area means. The performance of the proposed methods is evaluated through simulation studies and also by a real data application. 相似文献
114.
AbstractIn this article, we construct two families of processes, from a unique Lévy process, the finite dimensional distributions of which converge in law towards the finite dimensional distributions of the two independent Gaussian processes. As applications of this result, we obtain families of processes that converge in law towards fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and bifractional Brownian motion, respectively. 相似文献
115.
AbstractMutual information is a measure for investigating the dependence between two random variables. The copula based estimation of mutual information reduces the complexity because it is depend only on the copula density. We propose two estimators and discuss the asymptotic properties. To compare the performance of the estimators a simulation study is carried out. The methods are illustrated using real data sets. 相似文献
116.
117.
讨论了紧集上布朗单多重时的Hausdorff维数 ,得到了几个结果 相似文献
118.
We study the residual median process, defined as the median of those observations which are greater than a number t. Using appropriate limit theorems, it is shown that the stochastic process converges in law to a Gaussian process defined in terms of a Brownian bridge. 相似文献
119.
Giuseppe Cavaliere 《Statistical Methods and Applications》1996,5(1):39-71
Summary In several studies the unit root hypothesis of EMS exchange rates is analysed within the context of devaluation expectations
estimation. By means of bootstrap inference it is shown that these procedures are not compatible with standard Dickey-Fuller
significance levels and may lead to a wrong rejection of the null hypothesis. In the case of the Italian Lira/Deutsche Mark
exchange rate, the hypothesis of a unit root is not rejected and expectations can be modelled by means of a reflected Brownian
motion. The estimated devaluation expectations are related with some macro variables which provide evidence for the structure
of expectations.
This research has been partially supported with 40% and 60% MURST grants. The author wishes to thank the Bank of Italy for
the exchange rates and the interest rates data and Ulf S?derstr?m for providing macroeconomic indicators. Useful suggestions
from Riccardo Cesari, Michele Costa and two anonymous referees are gratefully acknowledged. 相似文献
120.
Alain Boulanger 《Revue canadienne de statistique》1983,11(4):265-269
For X1, …, XN a random sample from a distribution F, let the process SδN(t) be defined as where K2N = σNi=1(ci ? c?)2 and R xi, + Δd, is the rank of Xi + Δdi, among X1 + Δd1, …, XN + ΔdN. The purpose of this note is to prove that, under certain regularity conditions on F and on the constants ci and di, SΔN (t) is asymptotically approximately a linear function of Δ, uniformly in t and in Δ, |Δ| ≤ C. The special case of two samples is considered. 相似文献