When is n large enough? Looking for the right sample size to estimate proportions

The central limit theorem indicates that when the sample size goes to infinite, the sampling distribution of means tends to follow a normal distribution; it is the basis for the most usual confidence interval and sample size formulas. This study analyzes what sample size is large enough to assume that the distribution of the estimator of a proportion follows a Normal distribution. Also, we propose the use of a correction factor in sample size formulas to ensure a confidence level even when the central limit theorem does not apply for these distributions.     

A general central limit theorem and a subsampling variance estimator for α‐mixing point processes

We establish a central limit theorem for multivariate summary statistics of nonstationary α‐mixing spatial point processes and a subsampling estimator of the covariance matrix of such statistics. The central limit theorem is crucial for establishing asymptotic properties of estimators in statistics for spatial point processes. The covariance matrix subsampling estimator is flexible and model free. It is needed, for example, to construct confidence intervals and ellipsoids based on asymptotic normality of estimators. We also provide a simulation study investigating an application of our results to estimating functions.     

L'effet des obstacles aux échanges sur l'emploi généré par les chaînes d'approvisionnement mondiales

Les auteurs étudient l'effet des obstacles aux échanges internationaux de biens et de services sur les marchés du travail des pays producteurs en partant des estimations du BIT sur l'emploi imputable aux chaînes d'approvisionnement mondiales. L'analyse empirique confirme largement les prédictions d'un modèle théorique calibré avec des données de la base WIOD (2000 et 2011). Les obstacles au commerce de produits manufacturés ou de services ont un effet transfrontalier, intrasectoriel et intersectoriel, sur l'emploi, qui reflète l'interdépendance croissante entre pays et secteurs. L'effet intersectoriel s'affirme avec le temps. Les politiques commerciales semblent donc pouvoir avoir des effets externes importants sur les marchés du travail étrangers.     

Social health protection in Cambodia: Challenges of policy design and implementation

The Government of Cambodia is implementing ambitious reform initiatives to improve the country's social health protection system. In January 2018, it was announced that the Health Equity Fund (HEF), which is fully subsidized by a joint government‐donor initiative for the reimbursement of user fees for the poor at public health facilities, is to be expanded to some segments of informal workers belonging to associations, as well as to commune and village chiefs. Since 2017, the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) has provided social health insurance for formal economy workers in enterprises with eight employees or more. In January 2018, it was expanded to civil servants and all employees regardless of the size of the enterprise. However, this article highlights that the new ambitious reforms are not accompanied by careful planning as regards funding, service delivery, human resources and institutional design. This article therefore aims to examine key policy issues and challenges for Cambodia's ambitious reform of its social health protection system in terms of resource generation, population coverage, strategic purchasing and governance.     

关于Feigenbaum型泛函方程的C^1解

利用Schauder不动点定理、自同胚和紧凸子集的相关性质研究Feigenbaum型泛函方程的连续可微解的存在性和唯一性.     

我国排污权交易制度的应用研究

排污权交易制度作为一种新的治理企业污染的市场手段比政府行政管制手段具有更大的优势,它将市场机制充分地运用于环境资源的配置,在总量控制的前提下,通过排污权的交易,实现低成本治理污染,有利于环境保护和经济的可持续发展.我国已经具有了实施排污权交易的基本条件,根据我国的现实国情,设计了包括立法、信息公示、监控系统、总量控制、排污权的初始分配和市场交易等六部分构成的排污权交易制度,提出了我国实现排污权交易一些急待解决的问题.     

现代汉语“名1＋（的）＋名2”定中结构非典型领属关系研究

现代汉语＂名1＋（的）＋名2＂定中结构内部的领属关系又可分为典型的领属关系与非典型的领属关系。文章重点探讨了非典型领属关系的各种表现形式,如领属结构中存在隐喻,指称义的虚化等等。     

基于繁殖规律的生猪市场供应模型

生猪生产具有发散性蛛网效应的特点,目前市场的波动正在加剧之中。基于生猪繁殖的自然规律特点,构建了一个易于分析与预测的生猪生产模型。分析显示,目前的生猪市场正在酝酿一场新的危机。导致市场波动的根源在于及时、准确信息的缺失,致使养殖者对母猪盲目的补栏。     

巴赫金对话理论中的“盲视”——一种保罗·德曼式阅读

“对话”是巴赫金理论体系中的核心概念,它体现了他的认识论、存在论和价值论等多方面的重要思想。然而,美国著名解构主义思想家保罗·德曼却以语言的修辞性为基本立场,把对话看作是解构巴赫金思想体系的重要的“墙角石”：第一,对话作为理论术语和巴赫金现实生活的潜意识对应,在某种程度上会影响其理论体系向艺术创作的辐射力度,造成阅读过程中的盲视;第二,对话作为文艺研究方法,忽视了虚构与现实之间的关系,否认文本语言的转义性,造成了阅读过程中诗学话语和阐释话语两种阅读模式之间的不确定性。     

模态系统T的Herbrand定理

模态Herbrand定理研究是模态逻辑领域的重要开放问题.不含Barcan公式的模态系统T的Herbrand定理的获得必须完成两个方向的证明工作:首先是证明相对简单的从右到左方向;而对于相对复杂的从左到右方向,则可以通过在加标公式表列系统K的基础上增加特殊规则获得加标公式表列系统T,证明T的可靠性和完全性,并在此基础上完成从左到右方向的证明.同样的方法还可以用来证明模态系统D、K4、s4的Herbrand定理.