中外民意调查方式的发展趋势

随着世界经济进入新的历史时期,民意调查已成为当今各国管理社会、政党执政、考核民生的重要手段,形成世界通行的一种政治管理模式和发展潮流。在经济全球化和世界信息化迅猛发展的形势下,呈现出诸多新的发展趋势。     

晚清革命思潮发生与发展的动态过程

革命思潮是革命思想的发展,而革命思想则源于革命意识。晚清革命意识的形成,固然为国人受不良现实剌激的结果,也与仇满、反满的历史记忆和西方革命学说传播不无联系。不断汇聚的革命意识经过"编码",逐渐形成较为理性和系统的革命思想。而职业革命者对革命的论证与宣传,则使革命思想的张力增强,传播强度提高,革命的观念场与意识流逐渐成型,且不断发展,革命思潮于焉形成。     

全球化背景下中国传统文化发展趋势反思——以吉登斯《失控的世界》为例

全球化背景下,中国传统文化不断受到世界文化的冲击,传统文化的未来受到人们的高度关注.本文结合吉登斯《失控的世界》中“全球化”、“传统”和一些现代性理论,揭示全球化背景下“传统”本身的特点,以及当今中国传统文化发展的趋势.     

我国灾后废墟管理的进程、问题与趋势初探

废墟管理和垃圾废物处理,是灾后恢复重建以及环境保护工作的难点和重要内容。近年来,我国自然灾害频繁,废墟量不断增多,废墟垃圾若不综合利用、处理,不仅影响灾后恢复重建,而且还会加重生态灾难。而我国在废墟管理方面还相对落后,在废墟处理、管理等环节存在突出问题和技术难题。借鉴日本废墟管理有益经验,废墟管理呈现向专业化、市场化、智能化和法制化方向发展的趋势。     

Sex segregation in India's formal manufacturing sector

Using an index of dissimilarity based on data from the Annual Survey of Industries for 1989/90 and 2000/01, the authors find that sex segregation across India's so‐called factory sector decreased over this period. Most of the apparent improvement, however, was due to changes in the industrial structure of employment, not desegregation per se. The index is also sensitive to the number of industries in the underlying classifications. At the national and state levels, formal job opportunities for women are effectively very limited: they are highly concentrated in a small number of traditional “women's” manufacturing industries, such as food, tobacco, apparel, weaving and spinning.     

20世纪30年代北平大学中的左翼思潮

20世纪30年代左翼思潮在大学生中相当流行,不过由于学校立场、师生关系等各种因素,其在不同学校表现的强度和形式亦有所不同。本文以大学较为集中的北平为对象,考察左翼思潮在各校中的分布情况,认为在左翼思潮兴盛的学校,学生占据着主导地位,这一点亦有助于我们理解左翼学生从事文化运动时所采取的策略。     

Assessment of a hybrid reform path: Social and labour policies in Uruguay, 1985–2005

Since Uruguay's return to democracy in 1985, a shift in economic and social policy has radically changed the country. The outcomes have been shaped by adjustment to international circumstances “by default”, stop‐go market reforms and the inconsistent pace and content of reforms. Unlike other countries in the region, Uruguay has not followed a resolutely neo‐liberal course, but rather a hybrid one. The end result has been a liberal labour regime coupled with a three‐dimensional social policy balancing the market, the old corporatist welfare State and the new welfare state targeting specific beneficiaries.     

Estimation of firm-specific technological bias,technical change and total factor productivity growth: a dual approach

This paper deals with modeling firm-specific technical change (TC), and technological biases (inputs and scale) in estimating total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Several dual parametric econometric models are used for this purpose. We examine robustness of TFP growth and TC among competing models. These models include the traditional time trend (TT) model and the general index (GI) model. The TT and the GI models are generalized to accommodate firm-specific TC and technological bias (in inputs and output). Both nested and non-nested tests are used to select the appropriate models. Firm-level panel data from the Japanese chemical industry during 1968- 1987 is used as an application.     

明中叶文艺思潮对戏曲发展的影响

明中叶至清初时期出现的个性解放和浪漫主义文艺思潮对戏曲的发展产生了深远的影响。在戏曲艺术领域 ,越来越多的剧作家倡导戏曲创作要真实、通俗和自然 ,要摈弃虚伪、迂雅和做作 ;倡导个性解放的浪漫主义开始盛行一时 ,戏曲中语言的通俗化使其更能表现世俗生活中的人情百态 ,且易于为市民阶层所理解和欣赏     

Optimal designs for exponential regression

This paper is concerned with the optimal design problem for the particular case of non-linear parametrisation:the parameters to be estimated are included in exponents.Some properties of locally optimal designs as functions of estimated parameters are investigated and a table of such designs in given.We consider also designs to be optimal in the sense of minimax approach.