A maximum likelihood prediction function for the linear model with consistency results

An alternative technique to current methods for constructing a prediction function for the normal linear regression model is proposed based on the concept of maximum likelihood. The form of this prediction function is evaluated and normalized to produce a multivariate Student's t-density. Consistency properties are established under regularity conditions, and an empirical comparison, based on the Kullback-Leibler information divergence, is made with some other prediction functions.     

Log-density Deconvolution by Wavelet Thresholding

Abstract.  This paper proposes a new wavelet-based method for deconvolving a density. The estimator combines the ideas of non-linear wavelet thresholding with periodized Meyer wavelets and estimation by information projection. It is guaranteed to be in the class of density functions, in particular it is positive everywhere by construction. The asymptotic optimality of the estimator is established in terms of the rate of convergence of the Kullback–Leibler discrepancy over Besov classes. Finite sample properties are investigated in detail, and show the excellent empirical performance of the estimator, compared with other recently introduced estimators.     

On Properties of Predictive Priors in Linear Models

Utilizing the notion of matching predictives as in Berger and Pericchi, we show that for the conjugate family of prior distributions in the normal linear model, the symmetric Kullback-Leibler divergence between two particular predictive densities is minimized when the prior hyperparameters are taken to be those corresponding to the predictive priors proposed in Ibrahim and Laud and Laud and Ibrahim. The main application for this result is for Bayesian variable selection.     

Negative exponential disparity based family of goodness-of-fit tests for multinomial models

This paper investigates a new family of goodness-of-fit tests based on the negative exponential disparities. This family includes the popular Pearson's chi-square as a member and is a subclass of the general class of disparity tests (Basu and Sarkar, 1994) which also contains the family of power divergence statistics. Pitman efficiency and finite sample power comparisons between different members of this new family are made. Three asymptotic approximations of the exact null distributions of the negative exponential disparity famiiy of tests are discussed. Some numerical results on the small sample perfomance of this family of tests are presented for the symmetric null hypothesis. It is shown that the negative exponential disparity famiiy, Like the power divergence family, produces a new goodness-of-fit test statistic that can be a very attractive alternative to the Pearson's chi-square. Some numerical results suggest that, application of this test statistic, as an alternative to Pearson's chi-square, could be preferable to the I ^2/3 statistic of Cressie and Read (1984) under the use of chi-square critical values.     

Saddlepoint condition on a predictor to reconfirm the need for the assumption of a prior distribution

Saddlepoint conditions on a predictor are introduced and developed to reconfirm the need for the assumption of a prior distribution in constructing a useful inferential procedure. A condition yields that the predictor induced from the maximum likelihood estimator is the worst under a loss, while the predictor induced from a suitable posterior mean is the best. This result indicates the promising role of Bayesian criteria, such as the deviance information criterion (DIC). As an implication, we critique the conventional empirical Bayes method because of its partial assumption of a prior distribution.     

Robust likelihood functions in Bayesian inference

In order to deal with mild deviations from the assumed parametric model, we propose a procedure for accounting for model uncertainty in the Bayesian framework. In particular, in the derivation of posterior distributions, we discuss the use of robust pseudo-likelihoods, which offer the advantage of preventing the effects caused by model misspecifications, i.e. when the underlying distribution lies in a neighborhood of the assumed model. The influence functions of posterior summaries, such as the posterior mean, are investigated as well as the asymptotic properties of robust posterior distributions. Although the use of a pseudo-likelihood cannot be considered orthodox in the Bayesian perspective, it is shown that, also through some illustrative examples, how a robust pseudo-likelihood, with the same asymptotic properties of a genuine likelihood, can be useful in the inferential process in order to prevent the effects caused by model misspecifications.     

A NEW FAMILY OF DIVERGENCE MEASURES FOR TESTS OF FIT

The aim of this work is to investigate a new family of divergence measures based on the recently introduced Basu, Harris, Hjort and Jones (BHHJ) measure of divergence (Biometrika 85 , 549–559). The new family is investigated in connection with hypothesis testing problems, and new test statistics are proposed. Simulations are performed to check the appropriateness of the proposed test statistics.     

对于静磁场方程中的矢量的讨论

本文讨论了静磁场方程中矢量的内涵,指出了不同方程中矢量的共同性和差异性。对于静磁场方程的积分形式,利用毕一沙定律,证明了方程中的矢量都是闭合电流的整体激发的。这是不同方程中矢量内涵的共同性。也证明了安环环路定理对部分电路中电流激发的B不适用,而磁场“高斯定理”的B则可以是一段电路的电流激发的。这是不同方程中B矢量的差异性。对静磁场方程的微分形式,利用矢量分析的定理或通过必要的分析,也得到了对应的微分方程中B矢量内涵的同一结论。