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31.
双代号网络计划是目前管理类专业课和工程监理培训的一个主要内容,而绘制双代号网络图是一个难点。本文就学习和教学中如何克服绘制双代号网络图的困难作一探讨。  相似文献   
32.
论述了提高大学生数学素质的重要性,指出了当前教学中不利于提高大学生数学素质的一些问题,并提供了解决问题的对策。  相似文献   
33.
A person is said to be ‘trust responsive’ if she fulfils trust because she believes the truster trusts her. The experiment we report was designed to test for trust responsiveness and its robustness across payoff structures, and to discriminate it from other possible factors making for trustworthiness, including perceived kindness, perceived need and inequality aversion. We elicit the truster’s confidence that the trustee will fulfil, and the trustee’s belief about the truster’s confidence after the trustee receives evidence relevant to this. We find evidence of strong trust responsiveness. We also find that perceptions of kindness and of need increase trust responsiveness, and that they do so only in conjunction with trust responsiveness.   相似文献   
34.
Willingness to support public programs for risk management often depends on individual subjective risk perceptions in the face of uncertain science. As part of a larger study concerning climate change, we explore individual updated subjective risks as a function of individual priors, the nature of external information, and individual attributes. We examine several rival hypotheses about how subjective risks change in the face of new information (Bayesian updating, alarmist learning, and ambiguity aversion). The source and nature of external information, as well as its collective ambiguity, can have varying effects across the population, in terms of both expectations and uncertainty.JEL Classification  D8, Q51, Q54  相似文献   
35.
高等职业院校计算机教学模式的构建   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
教学质量标准的关键在于教学过程模式的设计。改革传统的教学方式,对于当前计算机教育的发展尤其重要。本文针对高等职业教育计算机专业教学模式的构建提出建议。  相似文献   
36.
    
Identifying the strategies that are played is critical to understanding behavior in repeated games. This process is difficult because only choices (not strategies) are observable. Recently, a debate has emerged regarding whether subjects play mixed strategies in the indefinitely repeated prisoner's dilemma. We use an experimental approach to elicit mixed strategies from human subjects, thereby providing direct empirical evidence. We find that a majority of subjects use mixed strategies. However, the data also suggest subjects' strategies are becoming less mixed over time, and move toward three focal pure strategies: Tit For Tat, Grim Trigger, and Always Defect. We use the elicited strategies to provide an empirically-relevant foundation for analyzing commonly used mixture model estimation procedures.  相似文献   
37.

长期的低收益率与刚性兑付使得客户对银行理财产品的风险形成了保本保息的扭曲认识。理财产品的规范化与监管新规的执行引起了理财产品的大幅亏损,导致客户的不满及银行与客户关系的恶化。理财产品风险分级与客户风险类型不匹配可能是问题背后的潜在原因。为此,本文重新审视和检验商业银行理财风险测评的效果。通过行为实验,本文将风险测评问卷、经典的彩票选择测试和新兴的炸弹诱导测试方法进行对比。研究发现风险测评问卷度量的风险厌恶程度显著低于炸弹诱导测评,但与彩票选择测评无显著差异。三种测评方法的结果对风险追求客户的分类表现一致,但对风险厌恶客户的分类存在差异。另外,风险测评问卷将大部分客户划分为稳健与谨慎两类,导致客户类型的区分度不高。客户风险分类是风险测评的核心目的,因此银行需要更好地理解不同测评方法的差异,并慎重地选择测评方法。本研究为解决理财新规下的新问题提供了可能的思路,并为进一步改进理财风险测评提供了建议。

  相似文献   
38.
    
This paper considers the use of identity boxes as a data collection method to elicit experiences. Participants were asked to respond to questions using objects to represent their answers. The rationale for using identity boxes was to allow for a more embodied, less textual approach. The identity boxes were then also used to create an artistic installation as one form of data analysis. The reflection section in this paper shows that the approach posed potential risks around the emotional vulnerability of participants, with participants experiencing the project as cathartic and therapeutic. Some participants struggled with the process of thinking through objects as difficult. Although using a less conventional approach to research led to deeper, richer reflections and thus relevant, interesting data, concerns were raised around relevance, generalisability, and more generally the evaluation of the research. The paper concludes with a reconsideration of the identity boxes as a method.  相似文献   
39.
    
A key justification to support plant health regulations is the ability of quarantine services to conduct pest risk analyses (PRA). Despite the supranational nature of biological invasions and the close proximity and connectivity of Southeast Asian countries, PRAs are conducted at the national level. Furthermore, some countries have limited experience in the development of PRAs, which may result in inadequate phytosanitary responses that put their plant resources at risk to pests vectored via international trade. We review existing decision support schemes for PRAs and, following international standards for phytosanitary measures, propose new methods that adapt existing practices to suit the unique characteristics of Southeast Asia. Using a formal written expert elicitation survey, a panel of regional scientific experts was asked to identify and rate unique traits of Southeast Asia with respect to PRA. Subsequently, an expert elicitation workshop with plant protection officials was conducted to verify the potential applicability of the developed methods. Rich biodiversity, shortage of trained personnel, social vulnerability, tropical climate, agriculture‐dependent economies, high rates of land‐use change, and difficulties in implementing risk management options were identified as challenging Southeast Asian traits. The developed methods emphasize local Southeast Asian conditions and could help support authorities responsible for carrying out PRAs within the region. These methods could also facilitate the creation of other PRA schemes in low‐ and middle‐income tropical countries.  相似文献   
40.
    
ABSTRACT

Dependence among defaults both across assets and over time is an important characteristic of financial risk. A Bayesian approach to default rate estimation is proposed and illustrated using prior distributions assessed from an experienced industry expert. Two extensions of the binomial model are proposed. The first allows correlated defaults yet remains consistent with Basel II’s asymptotic single-factor model. The second adds temporal correlation in default rates through autocorrelation in the systemic factor. Implications for the predictability of default rates are considered. The single-factor model generates more forecast uncertainty than does the parameter uncertainty. A robustness exercise illustrates that the correlation indicated by the data is much smaller than that specified in the Basel II regulations.  相似文献   
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