全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4220篇 |
免费 | 83篇 |
国内免费 | 17篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 219篇 |
民族学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 37篇 |
丛书文集 | 22篇 |
理论方法论 | 20篇 |
综合类 | 355篇 |
社会学 | 29篇 |
统计学 | 3637篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 2篇 |
2023年 | 24篇 |
2022年 | 40篇 |
2021年 | 25篇 |
2020年 | 74篇 |
2019年 | 152篇 |
2018年 | 169篇 |
2017年 | 274篇 |
2016年 | 140篇 |
2015年 | 86篇 |
2014年 | 118篇 |
2013年 | 1258篇 |
2012年 | 374篇 |
2011年 | 109篇 |
2010年 | 123篇 |
2009年 | 141篇 |
2008年 | 127篇 |
2007年 | 96篇 |
2006年 | 96篇 |
2005年 | 98篇 |
2004年 | 82篇 |
2003年 | 63篇 |
2002年 | 70篇 |
2001年 | 67篇 |
2000年 | 58篇 |
1999年 | 64篇 |
1998年 | 59篇 |
1997年 | 45篇 |
1996年 | 30篇 |
1995年 | 26篇 |
1994年 | 39篇 |
1993年 | 27篇 |
1992年 | 26篇 |
1991年 | 13篇 |
1990年 | 18篇 |
1989年 | 9篇 |
1988年 | 19篇 |
1987年 | 10篇 |
1986年 | 6篇 |
1985年 | 4篇 |
1984年 | 14篇 |
1983年 | 13篇 |
1982年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 5篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 6篇 |
1978年 | 6篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有4320条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
42.
J. Fan R. L. Prentice & L. Hsu 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2000,62(1):181-190
This paper considers a class of summary measures of the dependence between a pair of failure time variables over a finite follow-up region. The class consists of measures that are weighted averages of local dependence measures, and includes the cross-ratio-measure and finite region version of Kendall's τ; recently proposed by the authors. Two new special cases are identified that can avoid the need to estimate the bivariate survivor function and that admit explicit variance estimators. Nonparametric estimators of such dependence measures are proposed and are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal with variances that can be consistently estimated. Properties of selected estimators are evaluated in a simulation study, and the method is illustrated through an analysis of Australian Twin Study data. 相似文献
43.
Designing and integrating composite networks for monitoring multivariate gaussian pollution fields 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
J. V. Zidek W. Sun & N. D. Le 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2000,49(1):63-79
Networks of ambient monitoring stations are used to monitor environmental pollution fields such as those for acid rain and air pollution. Such stations provide regular measurements of pollutant concentrations. The networks are established for a variety of purposes at various times so often several stations measuring different subsets of pollutant concentrations can be found in compact geographical regions. The problem of statistically combining these disparate information sources into a single 'network' then arises. Capitalizing on the efficiencies so achieved can then lead to the secondary problem of extending this network. The subject of this paper is a set of 31 air pollution monitoring stations in southern Ontario. Each of these regularly measures a particular subset of ionic sulphate, sulphite, nitrite and ozone. However, this subset varies from station to station. For example only two stations measure all four. Some measure just one. We describe a Bayesian framework for integrating the measurements of these stations to yield a spatial predictive distribution for unmonitored sites and unmeasured concentrations at existing stations. Furthermore we show how this network can be extended by using an entropy maximization criterion. The methods assume that the multivariate response field being measured has a joint Gaussian distribution conditional on its mean and covariance function. A conjugate prior is used for these parameters, some of its hyperparameters being fitted empirically. 相似文献
44.
Anirban Dasgupta George Casella Mohan Delampady Christian Genest William E. Strawderman Herman Rubin 《Revue canadienne de statistique》2000,28(4):675-687
The authors consider the correlation between two arbitrary functions of the data and a parameter when the parameter is regarded as a random variable with given prior distribution. They show how to compute such a correlation and use closed form expressions to assess the dependence between parameters and various classical or robust estimators thereof, as well as between p‐values and posterior probabilities of the null hypothesis in the one‐sided testing problem. Other applications involve the Dirichlet process and stationary Gaussian processes. Using this approach, the authors also derive a general nonparametric upper bound on Bayes risks. 相似文献
45.
James O. Ramsay 《Revue canadienne de statistique》2000,28(2):225-240
Differential equations have been used in statistics to define functions such as probability densities. But the idea of using differential equation formulations of stochastic models has a much wider scope. The author gives several examples, including simultaneous estimation of a regression model and residual density, monotone smoothing, specification of a link function, differential equation models of data, and smoothing over complicated multidimensional domains. This paper aims to stimulate interest in this approach to functional estimation problems, rather than provide carefully worked out methods. 相似文献
46.
47.
In this article, we first propose the modified Hannan–Rissanen Method for estimating the parameters of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process with symmetric stable noise and symmetric stable generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) noise. Next, we propose the modified empirical characteristic function method for the estimation of GARCH parameters with symmetric stable noise. Further, we show the efficiency, accuracy and simplicity of our methods with Monte-Carlo simulation. Finally, we apply our proposed methods to model the financial data. 相似文献
48.
级别不低于方法是一类解决多属性决策问题的重要方法.相对于其他方法力图建立可行方案集上的完全序.级别不低于方法所构建的是一种较弱的二元关系--级别不低于关系,它所要求的条件较弱,而得到的结果更为可靠.是近年来研究最为活跃、应用十分广泛的方法之一.本文将级别不低于方法划分为ELECTRE、PROMETHEE和PCCA等三大类分别进行了归纳和总结;介绍了近年来级别不低于方法的新发展,对级别不低于方法的公理化.不确定信息下的级别不低于方法以及多属性决策的敏感性分析和鲁棒性分析等问题给出了一些有意义的讨论.特别是对鲁棒性的定义和分析方法提出了一务切实可行的思路. 相似文献
49.
Ying-Ying Zhang Ze-Yu Wang Zheng-Min Duan Wen Mi 《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2019,89(16):3061-3074
For the hierarchical Poisson and gamma model, we calculate the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter of the Poisson distribution under Stein's loss function which penalizes gross overestimation and gross underestimation equally and the corresponding Posterior Expected Stein's Loss (PESL). We also obtain the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter under the squared error loss and the corresponding PESL. Moreover, we obtain the empirical Bayes estimators of the parameter of the Poisson distribution with a conjugate gamma prior by two methods. In numerical simulations, we have illustrated: The two inequalities of the Bayes posterior estimators and the PESLs; the moment estimators and the Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLEs) are consistent estimators of the hyperparameters; the goodness-of-fit of the model to the simulated data. The numerical results indicate that the MLEs are better than the moment estimators when estimating the hyperparameters. Finally, we exploit the attendance data on 314 high school juniors from two urban high schools to illustrate our theoretical studies. 相似文献
50.
In this article we develop a nonparametric estimator for the local average response of a censored dependent variable to endogenous regressors in a nonseparable model where the unobservable error term is not restricted to be scalar and where the nonseparable function need not be monotone in the unobservables. We formalize the identification argument put forward in Altonji, Ichimura, and Otsu (2012), construct a nonparametric estimator, characterize its asymptotic property, and conduct a Monte Carlo investigation to study its small sample properties. Identification is constructive and is achieved through a control function approach. We show that the estimator is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. The Monte Carlo results are encouraging. 相似文献