On a Class of Random Probability Measures with General Predictive Structure

Abstract. In this study, we investigate a recently introduced class of non‐parametric priors, termed generalized Dirichlet process priors. Such priors induce (exchangeable random) partitions that are characterized by a more elaborate clustering structure than those arising from other widely used priors. A natural area of application of these random probability measures is represented by species sampling problems and, in particular, prediction problems in genomics. To this end, we study both the distribution of the number of distinct species present in a sample and the distribution of the number of new species conditionally on an observed sample. We also provide the Bayesian Non‐parametric estimator for the number of new species in an additional sample of given size and for the discovery probability as function of the size of the additional sample. Finally, the study of its conditional structure is completed by the determination of the posterior distribution.     

Some classes of distributions and their application in queueing

New classes of distributions are defined in analogy to the properties NBU, NBUE known from reliability. They are applied to obtain bounds on certain parameters of the GI/G/1 queue, such as the mean and the variance of the stationary waiting time, the probability of waiting, and the covariances of waiting times.     

Smooth tests of fit for censored gmma samples

In this paper properties of two estimators of Cpm are investigated in terms of changes in the process mean and variance. The bias and mean squared error of these estimators are derived. It can be shown that the estimate of Cpm proposed by Chan, Cheng and Spiring (1988) has smaller bias than the one proposed by Boyles (1991) and also has a smaller mean squared error under certain conditions. Various approximate confidence intervals for Cpm are obtained and are compared in terms of coverage probabilities, missed rate and average interval width.     

Best linear unbiased estimation of location and scale parameters of the log-logistic distribution

If an assumption, such as homoscedasticity, or some other aspect of an inference problem, such as the number of cases, is altered, our conclusions may change and different parts of the conclusions can be affected in different ways. Most diagnostic procedures measure the influence on one particular aspect of the conclusion - such as model fit or change in parameter estimates. The effect on all aspects of the conclusions can be described by the difference in two log likelihood functions and when the log likelihood functions come from an exponential family or are quasi-likelihoods, this difference can be factored into three terms: one depending only on the alteration, another depending only on the aspects of the conclusions to be considered, and a third term depending on both. The third term is interesting because it shows which aspects of the conclusions are relatively insensitive even to large alterations.     

Properties and applications of the sarmanov family of bivariate distributions

We discuss properties of the bivariate family of distributions introduced by Sarmanov (1966). It is shown that correlation coefficients of this family of distributions have wider range than those of the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern distributins. Possible applications of this family of bivariate distributions as prior distributins in Bayesian inference are discussed. The density of the bivariate Sarmanov distributions with beta marginals can be expressed as a linear combination of products of independent beta densities. This pseudoconjugate property greatly reduces the complexity of posterior computations when this bivariate beta distribution is used as a prior. Multivariate extensions are derived.     

The cut-off point based on underlying distribution and cost function

Cut-off sampling has been widely used for business survey which has the right-skewed population with a long tail. Several methods are suggested to obtain the optimal cut-off point. The LH algorithm suggested by Lavallee and Hidiroglou [6] is commonly used to get the optimum boundaries by minimizing the total sample size with a given precision. In this paper, we suggest a new cut-off point determination method which minimizes a cost function. And that leads to reducing the size of take-all stratum. Also we investigate an optimal cut-off point using a typical parametric estimation method under the assumptions of underlying distributions. Small Monte-Carlo simulation studies are performed in order to compare the new cut-off point method to the LH algorithm. The Korea Transportation Origin – Destination data are used for real data analysis.     

Small Sample Bias in the Gamma Frailty Model for Univariate Survival

The gamma frailty model is a natural extension of the Cox proportional hazards model in survival analysis. Because the frailties are unobserved, an E-M approach is often used for estimation. Such an approach is shown to lead to finite sample underestimation of the frailty variance, with the corresponding regression parameters also being underestimated as a result. For the univariate case, we investigate the source of the bias with simulation studies and a complete enumeration. The rank-based E-M approach, we note, only identifies frailty through the order in which failures occur; additional frailty which is evident in the survival times is ignored, and as a result the frailty variance is underestimated. An adaption of the standard E-M approach is suggested, whereby the non-parametric Breslow estimate is replaced by a local likelihood formulation for the baseline hazard which allows the survival times themselves to enter the model. Simulations demonstrate that this approach substantially reduces the bias, even at small sample sizes. The method developed is applied to survival data from the North West Regional Leukaemia Register.     

Generalized exponential distributions

The three-parameter gamma and three-parameter Weibull distributions are commonly used for analysing any lifetime data or skewed data. Both distributions have several desirable properties, and nice physical interpretations. Because of the scale and shape parameters, both have quite a bit of flexibility for analysing different types of lifetime data. They have increasing as well as decreasing hazard rate depending on the shape parameter. Unfortunately both distributions also have certain drawbacks. This paper considers a three-parameter distribution which is a particular case of the exponentiated Weibull distribution originally proposed by Mudholkar, Srivastava & Freimer (1995) when the location parameter is not present. The study examines different properties of this model and observes that this family has some interesting features which are quite similar to those of the gamma family and the Weibull family, and certain distinct properties also. It appears this model can be used as an alternative to the gamma model or the Weibull model in many situations. One dataset is provided where the three-parameter generalized exponential distribution fits better than the three-parameter Weibull distribution or the three-parameter gamma distribution.     

A relationship between a family of waiting time distributions and the asymptotic residual waiting time distribution

For a class of renewal process waiting time distributions defined herein, one may describe the distribution of asymptotic residual waiting times. The relationship between the two distributions characterizes the class, which includes the gamma distribution. Possible consequences for hypothesis testing are discussed.     

Umvu estimation for certain family of exponential distributions

In this paper we study certain properties of estimable and UMUV-estimable functions in a subfamily of the one-parameter exponential family of distributions for which there exists a sufficient and complete statistic following a Gamma distribution. These results are applied to the problem of estimation in the transformed chi-square family.