A note on the universal optimality criterion for full rank models

The aim of this note is to suggest a revised formulation of the universal optimality criterion for full rank models as stated in Kiefer (1975). We have presented the relevant results with indications of some possible applications.     

Gamma failure‐time mixture models: yet another way to establish efficacy

Using a Yamaguchi‐type generalized gamma failure‐time mixture model, we analyse the data from a study of autologous and allogeneic bone marrow transplantation in the treatment of high‐risk refractory acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, focusing on the time to recurrence of disease. We develop maximum likelihood techniques for the joint estimation of the surviving fractions and the survivor functions. This includes an approximation to the derivative of the survivor function with respect to the shape parameter. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters. We also compute the variance‐covariance matrix of the parameter estimators. The extended family of generalized gamma failure‐time mixture models is flexible enough to include many commonly used failure‐time distributions as special cases. Yet these models are not used in practice because of computational difficulties. We claim that we have overcome this problem. The proposed approximation to the derivative of the survivor function with respect to the shape parameter can be used in any statistical package. We also address the issue of lack of identifiability. We point out that there can be a substantial advantage to using the gamma failure‐time mixture models over nonparametric methods. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

农家女进城的生存转向与城市意象研究

上世纪90年代以降,在文学的农民工进城叙事中,出现了性别向度上农家女进城的生存转向叙事。在空间对峙与文化并置中,她们作为游移的文化活体,在性别化的人与城的隐喻化、模式化、空间化、边缘化的文学构想中,农家女意象荷载着丰厚的文化内涵。基于城乡发展失衡与二元户籍制度的划分,文学的城市呈现出否定意象的文化症候,其历史进步性、文化熔炉的聚合性、生存家园的建构性成为被遮蔽的灰色地带。     

中国农业竞争力国际比较

以中国农业为研究对象,在生产竞争力、技术竞争力、市场竞争力、资本竞争力4个指标的基础上,建立了中国农业国际竞争力评价指标体系。采用主成分分析法,对11个国家2011年农业竞争力的综合排名进行研究。结果显示,我国农业国际竞争力在11个国家中排名第7,农业科研支出、农业总固定资本、种植业固定资产、土地开发和机械设备应用等指标具有明显竞争优势,国际市场竞争力、技术竞争力方面和劳动生产率等指标处于明显的劣势。进而提出提高农业的劳动生产率,重视农产品的市场营销,强化农业科研投入效率等建议。     

On Kendall's Autocorrelations

This brief article extends the theory of sample Kendall's autocorrelations by providing their exact variances at lags higher than one under the null hypothesis of randomness, by introducing and investigating their weighted modifications, and by numerical demonstration of these results and their usefulness.     

A rank test for stochastically ordered alternatives

A rank test based on the number of ‘near-matches’ among within-block rankings is proposed for stochastically ordered alternatives in a randomized block design with t treatments and b blocks. The asymptotic relative efficiency of this test with respect to the Page test is computed as number of blocks increases to infinity. A sequential analog of the above test procedure is also considered. A repeated significance test procedure is developed and average sample number is computed asymptotically under the null hypothesis as well as under a sequence of contiguous alternatives.     

Penalized Maximum Likelihood Principle for Choosing Ridge Parameter

We consider the problem of choosing the ridge parameter. Two penalized maximum likelihood (PML) criteria based on a distribution-free and a data-dependent penalty function are proposed. These PML criteria can be considered as “continuous” versions of AIC. A systematic simulation is conducted to compare the suggested criteria to several existing methods. The simulation results strongly support the use of our method. The method is also applied to two real data sets.     

Comparison of nonparametric analysis of variance methods: A vote for van der Waerden

ABSTRACT

For two-way layouts in a between-subjects analysis of variance design, the parametric F-test is compared with seven nonparametric methods: rank transform (RT), inverse normal transform (INT), aligned rank transform (ART), a combination of ART and INT, Puri & Sen's L statistic, Van der Waerden, and Akritas and Brunners ANOVA-type statistics (ATS). The type I error rates and the power are computed for 16 normal and nonnormal distributions, with and without homogeneity of variances, for balanced and unbalanced designs as well as for several models including the null and the full model. The aim of this study is to identify a method that is applicable without too much testing for all the attributes of the plot. The Van der Waerden test shows the overall best performance though there are some situations in which it is disappointing. The Puri & Sen's and the ATS tests show generally very low power. These two and the other methods cannot keep the type I error rate under control in too many situations. Especially in the case of lognormal distributions, the use of any of the rank-based procedures can be dangerous for cell sizes above 10. As already shown by many other authors, nonnormal distributions do not violate the parametric F-test, but unequal variances do, and heterogeneity of variances leads to an inflated error rate more or less also for the nonparametric methods. Finally, it should be noted that some procedures show rising error rates with increasing cell sizes, the ART, especially for discrete variables, and the RT, Puri & Sen, and the ATS in the cases of heteroscedasticity.     

The robustness of the likelihood ratio test,the nonparametric sum rank test,and f-ratio tests when the populations are from the negative binomial family

In this study, the robustness of power and significance level of several statistical testing methods was evaluated under the assumption that the test populations were from Poisson, negative binomial, or geometric distributions. The F-ratio test, with or without appropriate transformations, was shown to be both safe and robust for all distributions examined.     

Tables of the cramér-von mises distributions

Tables of the one- and two-sample unweighted Cramer-von Mises statistics are given, and compared with the limiting distribution. The two-sample statistic may be useful in (for example) clinical trials when a proportional hazards assumption (which leads to the use of the log-rank test) is unjustified: see, for example, Schumacher (1984). It is often possible to stop clinical trials early if the Cramer-von Mises test (rather than say, the log-rank test) is employed.