全文获取类型
收费全文 | 5073篇 |
免费 | 134篇 |
国内免费 | 45篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 459篇 |
民族学 | 21篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 32篇 |
丛书文集 | 303篇 |
理论方法论 | 153篇 |
综合类 | 2054篇 |
社会学 | 231篇 |
统计学 | 1998篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 25篇 |
2022年 | 25篇 |
2021年 | 53篇 |
2020年 | 82篇 |
2019年 | 132篇 |
2018年 | 143篇 |
2017年 | 217篇 |
2016年 | 123篇 |
2015年 | 126篇 |
2014年 | 242篇 |
2013年 | 883篇 |
2012年 | 335篇 |
2011年 | 295篇 |
2010年 | 223篇 |
2009年 | 262篇 |
2008年 | 250篇 |
2007年 | 277篇 |
2006年 | 217篇 |
2005年 | 252篇 |
2004年 | 214篇 |
2003年 | 190篇 |
2002年 | 128篇 |
2001年 | 139篇 |
2000年 | 100篇 |
1999年 | 54篇 |
1998年 | 47篇 |
1997年 | 44篇 |
1996年 | 27篇 |
1995年 | 21篇 |
1994年 | 12篇 |
1993年 | 13篇 |
1992年 | 22篇 |
1991年 | 15篇 |
1990年 | 6篇 |
1989年 | 8篇 |
1988年 | 7篇 |
1987年 | 4篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 8篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 8篇 |
1982年 | 4篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 3篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有5252条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
121.
Motivated by the need to analyze the National Longitudinal Surveys data, we propose a new semiparametric longitudinal mean‐covariance model in which the effects on dependent variable of some explanatory variables are linear and others are non‐linear, while the within‐subject correlations are modelled by a non‐stationary autoregressive error structure. We develop an estimation machinery based on least squares technique by approximating non‐parametric functions via B‐spline expansions and establish the asymptotic normality of parametric estimators as well as the rate of convergence for the non‐parametric estimators. We further advocate a new model selection strategy in the varying‐coefficient model framework, for distinguishing whether a component is significant and subsequently whether it is linear or non‐linear. Besides, the proposed method can also be employed for identifying the true order of lagged terms consistently. Monte Carlo studies are conducted to examine the finite sample performance of our approach, and an application of real data is also illustrated. 相似文献
122.
Edimilson Batista dos Santos Nelson F. F. Ebecken Estevam R. Hruschka Jr. Ali Elkamel Chandra M. R. Madhuranthakam 《Risk analysis》2014,34(3):485-497
Fault diagnosis includes the main task of classification. Bayesian networks (BNs) present several advantages in the classification task, and previous works have suggested their use as classifiers. Because a classifier is often only one part of a larger decision process, this article proposes, for industrial process diagnosis, the use of a Bayesian method called dynamic Markov blanket classifier that has as its main goal the induction of accurate Bayesian classifiers having dependable probability estimates and revealing actual relationships among the most relevant variables. In addition, a new method, named variable ordering multiple offspring sampling capable of inducing a BN to be used as a classifier, is presented. The performance of these methods is assessed on the data of a benchmark problem known as the Tennessee Eastman process. The obtained results are compared with naive Bayes and tree augmented network classifiers, and confirm that both proposed algorithms can provide good classification accuracies as well as knowledge about relevant variables. 相似文献
123.
124.
125.
In this paper, two control charts based on the generalized linear test (GLT) and contingency table are proposed for Phase-II monitoring of multivariate categorical processes. The performances of the proposed methods are compared with the exponentially weighted moving average-generalized likelihood ratio test (EWMA-GLRT) control chart proposed in the literature. The results show the better performance of the proposed control charts under moderate and large shifts. Moreover, a new scheme is proposed to identify the parameter responsible for an out-of-control signal. The performance of the proposed diagnosing procedure is evaluated through some simulation experiments. 相似文献
126.
完善了商品流通现代化指标体系,并运用模糊综合法将商品流通现代化指标转换成了指数。研究发现商品流通现代化水平与其区域位置、总体经济实力密切相关,且受到产业结构的影响。同时,通过基于指数的聚类分析得到如下结论:"率先发展型区域"要抓住历史机遇,培养创新型人才,保持领先地位;"积极追赶型区域"要发挥地理优势,打破省之间、行业和部门之间、所有制之间的界限,积极参与各种区域经济合作;"流通欠发达型区域"要进一步推进和实施西部大开发战略,推进物流现代化。 相似文献
127.
ABDOLLAH JALILIAN YONGTAO GUAN RASMUS WAAGEPETERSEN 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2013,40(1):119-137
Abstract. Spatial Cox point processes is a natural framework for quantifying the various sources of variation governing the spatial distribution of rain forest trees. We introduce a general criterion for variance decomposition for spatial Cox processes and apply it to specific Cox process models with additive or log linear random intensity functions. We moreover consider a new and flexible class of pair correlation function models given in terms of normal variance mixture covariance functions. The proposed methodology is applied to point pattern data sets of locations of tropical rain forest trees. 相似文献
128.
Consider a random variable S being the sum of a number N of independent and identically distributed random variables Xj (j = 1, 2, ...) where the number N is itself a non-negative integer-valued random variable independent of the Xj An explicit expression of the r-th cumulant of S is given in terms of the cumulants of N and Xj, Asymptotic properties of the distribution of S are also discussed. 相似文献
129.
在国际传媒生产贸易中,传媒产品消费的本质就是价值认可式的精神性消费,在自愿获得消费物的消费中,得到精神与心灵上的满足,实现对一国传媒产品的最优化接受。由此本质出发,总结了消费的六种类型,在分析梳理其逻辑关系的基础上,论证了消费在国际传媒生产总过程中的主导地位。 相似文献
130.
As eProcurement is gaining popularity in business practice, researchers as well as practitioners have addressed the need of defining a proper eProcurement implementation strategy. This article aims to build an eProcurement implementation framework, which considers the main variables that have an impact on the eProcurement success and the links among them. The goal is to identify the main decisions that companies should take during the three principal phases of the eProcurement adoption (pre-implementation; implementation and post-implementation). Six case studies at different levels of eProcurement adoption have been used to identify the peculiarities of each phase of the process and to provide contingent guidelines. 相似文献