Identification of Multiple Outliers in Logistic Regression

The use of logistic regression modeling has seen a great deal of attention in the literature in recent years. This includes all aspects of the logistic regression model including the identification of outliers. A variety of methods for the identification of outliers, such as the standardized Pearson residuals, are now available in the literature. These methods, however, are successful only if the data contain a single outlier. In the presence of multiple outliers in the data, which is often the case in practice, these methods fail to detect the outliers. This is due to the well-known problems of masking (false negative) and swamping (false positive) effects. In this article, we propose a new method for the identification of multiple outliers in logistic regression. We develop a generalized version of standardized Pearson residuals based on group deletion and then propose a technique for identifying multiple outliers. The performance of the proposed method is then investigated through several examples.     

ADJUSTING RESIDUALS IN ESTIMATION OF DISPERSION EFFECTS

This paper studies a method of adjusting the ordinary least squares residuals, when estimating and comparing dispersions, at various levels of factors in a replicated factorial experiment. Using a general dispersion model, theoretical results demonstrate the benefits of the method of adjusting residuals. An illustrative example is included.     

Residual Analysis for Inhomogeneous Neyman–Scott Processes

Abstract. In this article, we introduce a residual analysis for inhomogeneous Neyman–Scott models based on Laplace functionals. Our simulation study shows that this residual analysis method has a good performance in assessing goodness‐of‐fit and revealing inadequacy of the fitted model. The method is employed in fitting a Thomas model to California redwood trees data and a Matérn model to the locations of hickory trees in Lansing woods, Michigan.     

An evaluation of bootstrap methods for outlier detection in least squares regression

Outlier detection is a critical part of data analysis, and the use of Studentized residuals from regression models fit using least squares is a very common approach to identifying discordant observations in linear regression problems. In this paper we propose a bootstrap approach to constructing critical points for use in outlier detection in the context of least-squares Studentized residuals, and find that this approach allows naturally for mild departures in model assumptions such as non-Normal error distributions. We illustrate our methodology through both a real data example and simulated data.     

工业产业内升级与“一带一路”战略互动研究

在“一带一路”战略布局背景下,研究我国工业产业内升级与对外直接投资的关系。分析我国工业产业发展的状况,提出工业产业内升级是助推“一带一路”战略实施的基础;利用雁行理论深入研究“一带一路”战略的实现路径,并分析“一带一路”战略对工业产业内升级的促进作用。利用实证检验和回归分析,指出工业产业内升级与“一带一路”战略实施具有互动作用。     

竖直圆柱常物性层流自然对流的半解析解

本文给出了竖圆柱定壁温自然对流问题相似解存在的条件，并用加权残数法得到了半解析解．此解适用于任意Ｄ／Ｌ（圆柱长径比）的情况，且表明：当半径Ｒ→０时，由于自然对流流量的增加，导致了放热系数的增加，以及在足够长的Ｌ处，边界层不仅相似，而且相同，该处的等壁温解与等热流解亦相同．     

A Portmanteau Test for ARMA Processes with Infinite Variance

When a control chart is used in practice, knowledge about several characteristics of the method is important for the judgement of which action is appropriate at an alarm. The probability of a false alarm, the delay of an alarm and the predictive value of an alarm are qualities (besides the usual ARL) which are described by a simulation study for the evaluations. Results for finite time are given for a shift in level of a Gaussian process.

Evaluations are made of the full likelihood ratio method that has two parameters and can be made optimal for both the size and the intensity of a shift     

A Note on Goodness-of-Fit Test in Latent Variable Models with Categorical Variables

Assessing the goodness-of-fit of latent variable models for categorical data becomes a problem in presence of sparse data since the classical goodness-of-fit statistics are badly approximated by the chi square distribution. A good solution to this problem is represented by statistical tests based on the residuals associated to marginal distributions of the manifest variables (Cagnone and Mignani, 2007 Cagnone , S. , Mignani , S. ( 2007 ). Assessing the goodness-of-fit of a latent variable model for ordinal data . Metron LXV : 337 – 361 . [Google Scholar]; Maydeu-Olivares and Joe, 2005 Maydeu-Olivares , A. , Joe , H. ( 2005 ). Limited- and full-information estimation and goodness-of-fit testing in 2n contingency tables: A unified framework . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 ( 471 ): 1009 – 1020 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Reiser, 1996 Reiser , M. ( 1996 ). Analysis of residual for the multinomial item response model . Psychometrika 61 : 509 – 528 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The quadratic form associated to the test involves the use of a generalized inverse of the covariance matrix of the sample proportions. In this article we prove that the rank of the Moore-Penrose generalized inverse is univocally determined and hence it can be used appropriately.     

A robust logistic discrimination model

Logistic discrimination is a well documented method for classifying observations to two or more groups. However, estimation of the discriminant rule can be seriously affected by outliers. To overcome this, Cox and Ferry produced a robust logistic discrimination technique. Although their method worked in practice, parameter estimation was sometimes prone to convergence problems. This paper proposes a simplified robust logistic model which does not have any such problems and which takes a generalized linear model form. Misclassification rates calculated in a simulation exercise are used to compare the new method with ordinary logistic discrimination. Model diagnostics are also presented. The newly proposed model is then used on data collected from pregnant women at two district general hospitals. A robust logistic discriminant is calculated which can be used to predict accurately which method of feeding a woman will eventually use: breast feeding or bottle feeding.     

Checking the linear transformation model for clustered failure time observations

The linear transformation model is a semiparametric model which contains the Cox proportional hazards model and the proportional odds model as special cases. Cai et al. (Biometrika 87:867-878, 2000) have proposed an inference procedure for the linear transformation model with correlated censored observations. In this article, we develop formal and graphical model checking techniques for the linear transformation models based on cumulative sums of martingale-type residuals. The proposed method is illustrated with a clinical trial data.