首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   8861篇
  免费   275篇
  国内免费   49篇
管理学   564篇
劳动科学   1篇
民族学   49篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   113篇
丛书文集   516篇
理论方法论   243篇
综合类   3056篇
社会学   377篇
统计学   4265篇
  2024年   17篇
  2023年   71篇
  2022年   66篇
  2021年   96篇
  2020年   125篇
  2019年   194篇
  2018年   255篇
  2017年   397篇
  2016年   229篇
  2015年   262篇
  2014年   396篇
  2013年   1624篇
  2012年   626篇
  2011年   450篇
  2010年   381篇
  2009年   373篇
  2008年   367篇
  2007年   428篇
  2006年   403篇
  2005年   378篇
  2004年   343篇
  2003年   310篇
  2002年   267篇
  2001年   224篇
  2000年   181篇
  1999年   124篇
  1998年   94篇
  1997年   77篇
  1996年   60篇
  1995年   53篇
  1994年   57篇
  1993年   39篇
  1992年   43篇
  1991年   26篇
  1990年   21篇
  1989年   17篇
  1988年   21篇
  1987年   12篇
  1986年   9篇
  1985年   12篇
  1984年   14篇
  1983年   16篇
  1982年   9篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   4篇
  1978年   2篇
  1977年   2篇
  1976年   2篇
  1975年   1篇
排序方式: 共有9185条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
11.
Abstract

In this article we develop the minimax estimation approach of general linear models to the semiparametric linear models when the parameters are simultaneously constrained by an ellipsoid and linear restrictions. Combining sample information and prior constraints the minimax estimator is obtained and compared with partially least square estimator by theoretical and simulation methods.  相似文献   
12.
讨论线偏振光入射 ,其电矢量与入射面有夹角 (该夹角称线偏振光的振动方位角 )时 ,反射光与折射光的偏振态 ,以及在全反射条件下 ,反射光的偏振态和获得圆偏振光的条件  相似文献   
13.
Summary.  Alongside the development of meta-analysis as a tool for summarizing research literature, there is renewed interest in broader forms of quantitative synthesis that are aimed at combining evidence from different study designs or evidence on multiple parameters. These have been proposed under various headings: the confidence profile method, cross-design synthesis, hierarchical models and generalized evidence synthesis. Models that are used in health technology assessment are also referred to as representing a synthesis of evidence in a mathematical structure. Here we review alternative approaches to statistical evidence synthesis, and their implications for epidemiology and medical decision-making. The methods include hierarchical models, models informed by evidence on different functions of several parameters and models incorporating both of these features. The need to check for consistency of evidence when using these powerful methods is emphasized. We develop a rationale for evidence synthesis that is based on Bayesian decision modelling and expected value of information theory, which stresses not only the need for a lack of bias in estimates of treatment effects but also a lack of bias in assessments of uncertainty. The increasing reliance of governmental bodies like the UK National Institute for Clinical Excellence on complex evidence synthesis in decision modelling is discussed.  相似文献   
14.
Herein, we propose a data-driven test that assesses the lack of fit of nonlinear regression models. The comparison of local linear kernel and parametric fits is the basis of this test, and specific boundary-corrected kernels are not needed at the boundary when local linear fitting is used. Under the parametric null model, the asymptotically optimal bandwidth can be used for bandwidth selection. This selection method leads to the data-driven test that has a limiting normal distribution under the null hypothesis and is consistent against any fixed alternative. The finite-sample property of the proposed data-driven test is illustrated, and the power of the test is compared with that of some existing tests via simulation studies. We illustrate the practicality of the proposed test by using two data sets.  相似文献   
15.
SαS稳定分布是一类非常重要的非高斯随机分布,具有这类分布的噪声称为冲激噪声。在冲激噪声情况下,α阶以上的矩均不存在,导致基于二阶矩的高斯模型算法性能下降,甚至不能正常工作。该文提出了一种在冲激噪声环境下线性调频信号特征参数估计的算法,通过分析冲激噪声的具体特点,给出了修正的低阶矩模糊函数,并结合Radon变换估计了冲激噪声环境下LFM信号的参数。该算法既可应用于冲激噪声下,又可应用于高斯噪声环境,故具有较好的鲁棒性。最后用计算机仿真验证了该算法的有效性。  相似文献   
16.
Comparison of Four New General Classes of Search Designs   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
A factor screening experiment identifies a few important factors from a large list of factors that potentially influence the response. If a list consists of m factors each at three levels, a design is a subset of all possible 3 m runs. This paper considers the problem of finding designs with small numbers of runs, using the search linear model introduced in Srivastava (1975). The paper presents four new general classes of these 'search designs', each with 2 m −1 runs, which permit, at most, two important factors out of m factors to be searched for and identified. The paper compares the designs for 4 ≤ m ≤ 10, using arithmetic and geometric means of the determinants, traces and maximum characteristic roots of particular matrices. Two of the designs are found to be superior in all six criteria studied. The four designs are identical for m = 3 and this design is an optimal design in the class of all search designs under the six criteria. The four designs are also identical for m = 4 under some row and column permutations.  相似文献   
17.
提出了一种基于小波变换的管理数据处理方法,把公司管理上的数据看成一个非平稳的时间序列,利用小渡函数将该时间序列分解到不同的频率通道上,然后将分解后的信号当作近似的平稳时间序列,用一些传统的统计方法进行预测,同时对中国足球彩票若干期的销售量数据进行了处理和预测,并将结果与实际销量以及用传统的AR模型的预测值进行了比较。  相似文献   
18.
20世纪90年代在社会民主主义复兴的过程中,英国和法国由于竞选方式、政策策略等一系列方面存在显著差别,被认为是社会民主主义复兴的两种典型模式,对英国道路与法国道路的相同之处和不同之处进行比较,说明二者存在共同性和差异性的原因。  相似文献   
19.
Summary. This study investigates whether there was evidence of increasing risk of still-birth with increasing paternal exposure to ionizing radiation received during employment at the Sellafield nuclear installation before the child was conceived. A significant positive association is found between the total paternal preconceptional exposure to external ionizing radiation and the risk of still-birth (after adjustment for year of birth, social class, birth order and paternal age, odds ratio at 100 mSv 1.24 (95% confidence interval 1.04–1.45)). A summary of the principal scientific findings of this study has been published in the Lancet . This paper describes in detail the statistical methods that were used in the investigation and presents the results in full.  相似文献   
20.
Book Reviews     
Books reviewed:
M Hollander and D Wolfe, Nonparametric Statistical Methods
T Leonard and J.S.J Hsu, Bayesian Methods  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号