Introducing social insurance for long‐term care in Taiwan: Key issues

Nadash P, Shih Y.‐C. Introducing social insurance for long‐term care in Taiwan: Key issues Taiwan will shortly complete its comprehensive social safety net, which includes national health insurance, retirement security, and unemployment insurance, by introducing long‐term care (LTC) insurance – putting it ahead of the many countries that rely on a patchwork of policies to address the need for LTC. The program, to be implemented in 3 to 5 years, will cover all citizens on a primarily social insurance basis. The range of LTC policy options considered is discussed, particularly how to structure the program, how to finance and regulate it, and how to develop its inadequate LTC infrastructure and workforce. Particularly thorny issues include the choice of social insurance, the feasibility of cash benefits, and how to address Taiwan's heavy reliance on foreign workers. Taiwan's increasingly democratic character, along with high levels of public support for the program, creates significant pressure on politicians to deliver on their promises to implement LTC reform. Key Practitioner Message: ?Emphasizes the importance of policy learning from other environments; ?Highlights the need for a strong regulatory and provider infrastructure for delivering long‐term care services; ?Emphasizes the need for training, support, and appropriate regulation of the long‐term care workforce.     

遗产债务清偿若干问题比较研究

本文主要探讨了继承人和受遗赠人清偿遗产债务的责任,以及继承人之间在遗产债务清偿时的连带责任,并提出了建议。     

辽代帝王再生仪的常例与变例

再生仪是辽代帝王特有的一种人生礼仪,它是古老的杀耄君习俗之演变,同时又融入了本命信仰。正是由于后一点,每十二年举行一次是其常例,由于种种特殊原因而提前或延期举行则是其特例。     

民之难治与儒家治世智慧

对于任何一个时代的政治家来说,社会治理问题都是一个难题.毋庸讳言,当代中国的社会治理问题显得尤为困难.这种主要表现在以下三个方面: 其一,当代中国人在心理上具有以往不可比拟的急切而旺盛的财富欲求,一些人为了攫取财富,常常无所不用其极.日出而作、日人而息的传统闲适社会早已代之以无利不起早的匆匆身影和为利而斤斤计较.凡有人群,不管大小,肯定都有"挤".     

低生育率时代的中国生育政策调整——基于对低生育率社会经济负效应的分析

人口生育政策不是人口增长状况的唯一决定因素,人口增长也不是经济增长的唯一因素.从生育政策到人口增长再到经济增长与发展存在复杂的传导机制.人口控制政策为改革开放以来的经济增长贡献很大,但并不意味着"高经济增长、低人口增长"是中国长期经济增长的永恒模式.从经济学家关于危机和反危机的理论与一些国家的实践经验看,适当的人口增长有利于经济长期处于准繁荣状态,而持续低迷的人口增长不是长期经济增长的福音.     

Non-parametric Estimation of Tail Dependence

Abstract.  Dependencies between extreme events (extremal dependencies) are attracting an increasing attention in modern risk management. In practice, the concept of tail dependence represents the current standard to describe the amount of extremal dependence. In theory, multi-variate extreme-value theory turns out to be the natural choice to model the latter dependencies. The present paper embeds tail dependence into the concept of tail copulae which describes the dependence structure in the tail of multivariate distributions but works more generally. Various non-parametric estimators for tail copulae and tail dependence are discussed, and weak convergence, asymptotic normality, and strong consistency of these estimators are shown by means of a functional delta method. Further, weak convergence of a general upper-order rank-statistics for extreme events is investigated and the relationship to tail dependence is provided. A simulation study compares the introduced estimators and two financial data sets were analysed by our methods.     

铅华洗尽见真淳——20世纪90年代小说一瞥

从20世纪90年代小说的独立性、艺术的自觉和多元化等角度以及思潮流派色彩弱化、长篇小说繁荣和强烈的社会批判意识等方面说明20世纪90年代小说的成就高于80年代的小说成就。     

终身教育—出版界迎接知识经济挑战的对策

中国现代出版业是与现代教育的普及、进步相伴共生 ,互为前提的。现今形势下 ,传播先进文化的出版业自身 ,尤其需要注入终身教育的思想 ,只有解决这个至关重要的观念问题 ,才能不断提高自身素质 ,以应对来自各方面的竞争或挑战     

A hybrid approach based on saddlepoint and importance sampling methods for bootstrap tail probability estimation

We propose a simple hybrid method which makes use of both saddlepoint and importance sampling techniques to approximate the bootstrap tail probability of an M-estimator. The method does not rely on explicit formula of the Lugannani-Rice type, and is computationally more efficient than both uniform bootstrap sampling and importance resampling suggested in earlier literature. The method is also applied to construct confidence intervals for smooth functions of M-estimands.     

正则化长波方程的显式精确解

利用推广的齐次平衡法,给出了正则化长波方程的一种Backlund变换。从方程的平凡解出发通过两种方式得到了RLW方程的一些显式精确解,诸如孤波解、周期解、有理分式解,以及椭圆函数解。