电商平台“砍单”行为的法律规制

在电商平台购物中发生危害消费者的公平交易权、自主选择权的经营者“砍单”行为日益增多,当事双方冲突不断。造成“砍单”行为与日俱增的根本原因是要约邀请、要约、承诺判断标准的不统一以及经营者滥用格式条款。因此,有必要对“砍单”行为进行法律规制。首先,应当注重事前规范,即统一要约邀请、要约、承诺的判断标准。其次,要规范电商经营者使用格式条款,即认定违反法律强制性规定的格式条款无效及有争议的格式条款不能单独由电商平台制定。最后,在“砍单”行为发生后,既要规范经营者对消费者的合同责任承担也要规范电商平台与经营者的责任承担,从而维护消费者的合法权益。     

CEO差序来源对民营上市公司创新产出的影响

基于差序格局理论,将CEO来源按关系亲疏分为本人、亲人、熟人和外人CEO,以2007—2019年民营上市公司为样本,实证研究了CEO差序来源对企业创新产出的直接作用、中介作用和调节作用。结果表明：CEO差序来源对民营上市公司创新产出的影响显著为负,即CEO差序来源越疏远,民营上市公司创新产出越少;创新投入在CEO差序来源对企业创新产出的影响中起到了中介作用;企业的盈利能力和现金持有水平调节了CEO差序来源对企业创新产出的影响。据此,建议民营上市公司在聘请CEO时,优先选择亲人CEO和熟人CEO,在亲人CEO资源缺乏的情况下,可聘用熟人CEO,这样,更能提升企业的创新产出;同时,企业应提高自身盈利能力和现金持有水平,为企业创新活动奠定基础。     

社会共生秩序的构建与更新

针对城乡地域共生状态发生的蜕变与更迭,通过对共生理念概念的解析,研究新时代社会共生秩序的构建策略。研究认为,共生秩序构建中存在社会认同有待加强、价值动力有待提升、公共供给阶层性差异矛盾需要缓解等挑战; 构建和创新共生秩序,需要保持人情秩序、法治秩序的现代化适应与更新,推动人情秩序向制度规范领域发展,利用法律形式的正义确定社会群体的权利关系,以适当性、必要性、均衡性原则所构成的位阶秩序来引导社会共生秩序建构,位阶秩序全链接、多价标的流程成为适应新时代社会秩序良性发展、人与自然和谐共生的秩序新构造。     

身份与功能交互下的民间信仰景观——以青海西宁湟中县扎麻隆凤凰山为例

改革开放以后,特别是21世纪以来,“文化带动旅游,旅游搞活经济”的模式在全国已经成为常见的经济形态。在这样的大背景下,许多新建的、基于神话和民间信仰打造的旅游景观,与当地居民及海内外香客对民间信仰宗教化的理解,以及国家的宗教政策形成了一种微妙的平衡。作为一处旅游景观,扎麻隆凤凰山的九天圣都筹建于20世纪末,现已成为区域内闻名的民间信仰道场。扎麻隆凤凰山身份与功能的交互与矛盾,以及扎麻隆村权力格局对其影响无疑是值得关注和研究的现象。     

New results on the likelihood ratio and score tests for the von Mises distribution

In this paper, we derive Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections [G.M. Cordeiro and S.L.P. Ferrari 1991, A modified score test statistic having chi-squared distribution to order n ^?1 , Biometrika 78 (1991), pp. 573–582] to improve the likelihood ratio and Rao's score statistics for testing the mean parameter and the concentration parameter in the von Mises distribution. Simple formulae are suggested for the corrections valid for small and large values of the concentration parameter that do not depend on the modified Bessel functions and can be useful in practical applications.     

A likelihood ratio test to discriminate exponential–Poisson and gamma distributions

The exponential–Poisson (EP) distribution with scale and shape parameters β>0 and λ∈?, respectively, is a lifetime distribution obtained by mixing exponential and zero-truncated Poisson models. The EP distribution has been a good alternative to the gamma distribution for modelling lifetime, reliability and time intervals of successive natural disasters. Both EP and gamma distributions have some similarities and properties in common, for example, their densities may be strictly decreasing or unimodal, and their hazard rate functions may be decreasing, increasing or constant depending on their shape parameters. On the other hand, the EP distribution has several interesting applications based on stochastic representations involving maximum and minimum of iid exponential variables (with random sample size) which make it of distinguishable scientific importance from the gamma distribution. Given the similarities and different scientific relevance between these models, one question of interest is how to discriminate them. With this in mind, we propose a likelihood ratio test based on Cox's statistic to discriminate the EP and gamma distributions. The asymptotic distribution of the normalized logarithm of the ratio of the maximized likelihoods under two null hypotheses – data come from EP or gamma distributions – is provided. With this, we obtain the probabilities of correct selection. Hence, we propose to choose the model that maximizes the probability of correct selection (PCS). We also determinate the minimum sample size required to discriminate the EP and gamma distributions when the PCS and a given tolerance level based on some distance are before stated. A simulation study to evaluate the accuracy of the asymptotic probabilities of correct selection is also presented. The paper is motivated by two applications to real data sets.     

Prediction intervals for future Weibull residual data

In reliability theory, risk analysis, renewal processes and actuarial studies, the residual lifetimes data play an important essential role in studying the conditional tail of the lifetime data. In this paper, based on some observed ordered residual Weibull data, we introduce different prediction methods for obtaining prediction intervals (PIs) of future residual lifetimes including likelihood, Wald, moments, parametric bootstrap, and highest conditional methods. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the so obtained PIs and one data analysis is performed for illustration purposes.     

On a system of nonhomogeneous components sharing a common frailty

The components of a reliability system subjected to a common random environment usually have dependent lifetimes. This paper studies the stochastic properties of such a system with lifetimes of the components following multivariate frailty models and multivariate mixed proportional reversed hazard rate (PRHR) models, respectively. Through doing stochastic comparison, we devote to throwing a new light on how the random environment affects the number of working components of a reliability system and on assessing the performance of a k-out-of-n system.     

Relations Between Alphabetized Name Order and Nomination Counts in Peer Nomination Measures

Peer nominations, a central method for measuring peer relationships in developmental research, typically involve asking children or adolescents to choose peers who fit various criteria from an alphabetized roster of classmates or grade‐mates. Although such measures have been used for decades, very little research has investigated the effects of alphabetical name order on the number of nominations received by peers. This study collected peer nominations for 20 items among 607 eighth grade participants in two schools. Regression analyses showed that earlier name order significantly predicted higher nomination counts for eight of the items, and explained over 5 percent of the variance in four affective variables (friendship, acceptance, acquaintanceship, and received liking). Across variables, name order effects were negatively correlated with internal reliability of nominations, implying that order effects may be related to the consensus of the peer group. Name order also had a minimal effect on inter‐correlations among a subset of variables. Implications and concrete recommendations for controlling and reducing name order effects in future research are discussed.     

关于对贞卜辞同字异形判定的三个问题

对贞卜辞是甲骨文中有特色的文例形式，我们从对贞卜辞的判定、同字异形现象的判定以及两条卜辞刻写先后顺序的判定三个方面来细致研究对贞卜辞，进而为下一步的研究打下基础。