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971.
Geoffrey P. Lomax 《Risk analysis》2000,20(5):747-754
Social theories of risk suggest that a combination of scientific and cultural perspectives converge to influence risk perception. This article first surveys sociological perspectives suggesting that risks from modern technological development have become predominant concerns in the social consciousness. Particular attention is given to those theses describing how social elements work to create perception of risks in relation to new technologies. The themes that emerge from this survey are then related to contemporary debates concerning biotechnology. Specific attention is given to recent controversies regarding genetically modified crops, and parallels are drawn between debates over nuclear power and biotechnology. A procedural ethic for public discourse and decision making over the diffusion of genetically modified foods is offered. Ethical and social theories are linked with the hope that by recognizing the social dimensions of debates over new technologies a broader framework for conducting risk analysis may emerge. 相似文献
972.
提出了利用威布尔分布参数的图分析法预测磁光盘可靠寿命的方法,克服了以往仅针对单一或特定结构的分析,将磁光盘作为一个系统来综合考察,以误码率作为磁光盘的失效判据,通过对磁光盘两个温度点的高温恒定应力加速寿命试验结果的分析,计算出了磁光盘在 25℃正常大气条件下的可靠寿命。 相似文献
973.
Gronnesby and Borgan (1996) propose an overall goodness-of-fit test for the Cox proportional hazards model. The basis of their test is a grouping of subjects by their estimated risk score. We show that the Gronnesby and Borgan test is algebraically identical to one obtained from adding group indicator variables to the model and testing the hypothesis the coefficients of the group indicator variables are zero via the score test. Thus showing that the test can be calculated using existing software. We demonstrate that the table of observed and estimated expected number of events within each group of the risk score is a useful adjunct to the test to help identify potential problems in fit. 相似文献
974.
开展燕尾式隧道支护体系现场监测试验,研究分析了围岩与初支接触压力、锚杆轴力、钢拱架应力和初喷砼层应力。试验结果表明:大跨断面围岩压力对施工的动态响应明显,连拱断面围岩压力伴随后行洞室开挖产生的空间效应变化显著;锚杆多承受拉力作用,大跨段锚杆支护效果较连拱段明显,锚杆支护参数存在进一步优化的空间;初喷砼层与钢拱架普遍承受压力作用,均发挥了相应的支护作用。研究成果可为类似工程的修建提供参考。 相似文献
975.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(1-2):47-62
Within a Monte Carlo study finite sample results are obtained for different generalized rank tests based on randomly censored life time data. It is pointed out that conditional tests should be applied in practice whenever drastic differences between the censoring distributions for the underlying groups do not appear. The tests are slight modifications of known permutation tests for censored data. 相似文献
976.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(7):815-826
Tests for the equality of variances are of interest in many areas such as quality control, agricultural production systems, experimental education, pharmacology, biology, as well as a preliminary to the analysis of variance, dose–response modelling or discriminant analysis. The literature is vast. Traditional non-parametric tests are due to Mood, Miller and Ansari–Bradley. A test which usually stands out in terms of power and robustness against non-normality is the W50 Brown and Forsythe [Robust tests for the equality of variances, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 69 (1974), pp. 364–367] modification of the Levene test [Robust tests for equality of variances, in Contributions to Probability and Statistics, I. Olkin, ed., Stanford University Press, Stanford, 1960, pp. 278–292]. This paper deals with the two-sample scale problem and in particular with Levene type tests. We consider 10 Levene type tests: the W50, the M50 and L50 tests [G. Pan, On a Levene type test for equality of two variances, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 63 (1999), pp. 59–71], the R-test [R.G. O'Brien, A general ANOVA method for robust tests of additive models for variances, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74 (1979), pp. 877–880], as well as the bootstrap and permutation versions of the W50, L50 and R tests. We consider also the F-test, the modified Fligner and Killeen [Distribution-free two-sample tests for scale, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 71 (1976), pp. 210–213] test, an adaptive test due to Hall and Padmanabhan [Adaptive inference for the two-sample scale problem, Technometrics 23 (1997), pp. 351–361] and the two tests due to Shoemaker [Tests for differences in dispersion based on quantiles, Am. Stat. 49(2) (1995), pp. 179–182; Interquantile tests for dispersion in skewed distributions, Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput. 28 (1999), pp. 189–205]. The aim is to identify the effective methods for detecting scale differences. Our study is different with respect to the other ones since it is focused on resampling versions of the Levene type tests, and many tests considered here have not ever been proposed and/or compared. The computationally simplest test found robust is W50. Higher power, while preserving robustness, is achieved by considering the resampling version of Levene type tests like the permutation R-test (recommended for normal- and light-tailed distributions) and the bootstrap L50 test (recommended for heavy-tailed and skewed distributions). Among non-Levene type tests, the best one is the adaptive test due to Hall and Padmanabhan. 相似文献
977.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(4):431-443
We consider the issue of performing accurate small-sample likelihood-based inference in beta regression models, which are useful for modelling continuous proportions that are affected by independent variables. We derive small-sample adjustments to the likelihood ratio statistic in this class of models. The adjusted statistics can be easily implemented from standard statistical software. We present Monte Carlo simulations showing that inference based on the adjusted statistics we propose is much more reliable than that based on the usual likelihood ratio statistic. A real data example is presented. 相似文献
978.
Yan Li 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(9):1690-1708
In applications, a two-sided hypothesis test problem sometimes needs to be changed to a three-hypothesis one with the two alternative hypotheses properly selected. In this article, we obtain the hypothesis design and the three-hypothesis sequential test scheme under the Koopman–Darmois distribution by solving a system of equations that meet requirements on the error rates and average sample number. This method provides a useful guide for practitioners to design hypotheses in multihypothesis test problems with controlled error rates and sampling cost. Formulas of the scheme's error rates and average sample number are obtained using numerical quadrature for the discrete-time situation. 相似文献
979.
《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):567-587
ABSTRACT A simple test based on Gini's mean difference is proposed to test the hypothesis of equality of population variances. Using 2000 replicated samples and empirical distributions, we show that the test compares favourably with Bartlett's and Levene's test for the normal population. Also, it is more powerful than Bartlett's and Levene's tests for some alternative hypotheses for some non-normal distributions and more robust than the other two tests for large sample sizes under some alternative hypotheses. We also give an approximate distribution to the test statistic to enable one to calculate the nominal levels and P-values. 相似文献
980.
This paper considers two general ways dependent groups might be compared based on quantiles. The first compares the quantiles of the marginal distributions. The second focuses on the lower and upper quantiles of the usual difference scores. Methods for comparing quantiles have been derived that typically assume that sampling is from a continuous distribution. There are exceptions, but generally, when sampling from a discrete distribution where tied values are likely, extant methods can perform poorly, even with a large sample size. One reason is that extant methods for estimating the standard error can perform poorly. Another is that quantile estimators based on a single-order statistic, or a weighted average of two-order statistics, are not necessarily asymptotically normal. Our main result is that when using the Harrell–Davis estimator, good control over the Type I error probability can be achieved in simulations via a standard percentile bootstrap method, even when there are tied values, provided the sample sizes are not too small. In addition, the two methods considered here can have substantially higher power than alternative procedures. Using real data, we illustrate how quantile comparisons can be used to gain a deeper understanding of how groups differ. 相似文献