农地抵押贷款试点政策对农民收入的增长效应研究

文章基于2013—2019年湖南省县域面板数据,采用双重差分方法识别了农地抵押贷款试点对农民收入增长的效应。研究发现:政策对农民收入增长效应显著为正,效果提高约3.84%,以多种稳健性检验,此结论依然成立。这一政策对邻近区县具有正向溢出效应,政策效果非贫困区县强于贫困区县。此外,农地抵押贷款试点主要通过农业扶持、产业扶持、金融扶持、城市化提升等措施对当地农民收入产生间接影响,更重要的是,政策通过相应精准扶持措施促进政策效应,但仍然需要降低融资壁垒,促进农村金融农地抵押融资。研究结果进一步强调了农地抵押贷款试点需根据地区实际发展情况,因时因地因户精准施策的重要性。     

Term Structures of Credit Spreads with Incomplete Accounting Information

We study the implications of imperfect information for term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds. We suppose that bond investors cannot observe the issuer's assets directly, and receive instead only periodic and imperfect accounting reports. For a setting in which the assets of the firm are a geometric Brownian motion until informed equityholders optimally liquidate, we derive the conditional distribution of the assets, given accounting data and survivorship. Contrary to the perfect‐information case, there exists a default‐arrival intensity process. That intensity is calculated in terms of the conditional distribution of assets. Credit yield spreads are characterized in terms of accounting information. Generalizations are provided.     

住房抵押贷款还贷结构设计

首先给出了居民消费模式函数,指出了居民的消费模式符合“生命周期假说”和应用抵押贷款购房的必要性;然后建立了抵押贷款还贷效用函数,并求出抵押贷款还贷效用最大化的条件．在此基础上提出居民在应用抵押贷款购房时采取不同还贷方式所能购住房的房价,或在房价一定的情况下抵押贷款的还贷期限的测定方法;分析了影响居民购买住房的房价或还贷期限的因素,并在一定假设下计算了等额、等比递增和等比递减还贷方式下可购住房的价格．     

从金融崩溃理论来看教育贷款面临的改革

无论从目前我国教育需求的现状、教育信贷的需求对象、借款者的还贷能力、自动可执行协议的声誉机制理论、中国的社会文化背景以及银行的贷款心理 ,还是从新凯恩斯主义的金融市场崩溃理论来看 ,我国目前教育信贷改革势在必行。目前教育信贷较为繁琐的手续和贷款抵押制度不取消 ,教育信贷市场的规模就不会壮大 ,也就难以真正刺激教育需求 ,也必然难以对目前的扩大内需政策起到积极作用 ,目前的虚假的“过剩”将会持续下去     

Efficiency,Equilibrium, and Asset Pricing with Risk of Default

We introduce a new equilibrium concept and study its efficiency and asset pricing implications for the environment analyzed by Kehoe and Levine (1993) and Kocherlakota (1996). Our equilibrium concept has complete markets and endogenous solvency constraints. These solvency constraints prevent default at the cost of reducing risk sharing. We show versions of the welfare theorems. We characterize the preferences and endowments that lead to equilibria with incomplete risk sharing. We compare the resulting pricing kernel with the one for economies without participation constraints: interest rates are lower and risk premia depend on the covariance of the idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks. Additionally, we show that asset prices depend only on the valuation of agents with substantial idiosyncratic risk.     

住房抵押贷款提前偿还补偿问题研究

住房抵押贷款提前偿还不仅会增加商业银行资产与负债匹配的难度，而且会对其未来收益存在负面影响，基于借款人和商业银行各自的行为决策，建立约束优化模型，分别对浮动利率和固定利率情形下住房抵押贷款提前还款违约金率与提前还款比率之间的关系进行分析。研究发现在浮动利率和固定利率抵押贷款市场中，供给曲线和需求曲线符合一般商品市场的供求规律，但不同市场中的供给曲线及需求曲线斜率并不相同。据此，构建住房抵押贷款提前还款市场的一般均衡分析框架，分析实现社会福利最大化时的均衡解以及偏离均衡解时的福利损失。